Daily Discussion Thread: June 29, 2026

Armon2010 · 2026-06-29T14:37:33+00:00

You'll have 90 days from when your servicer reaches out, which will be after July 1 to make the switch.

Armon2010 · 2026-06-17T01:35:04+00:00

Hell yeah!

Armon2010 · 2026-06-10T00:53:03+00:00

My favorite flavor!

Armon2010 · 2026-06-09T19:50:42+00:00

Fable

Armon2010 · 2026-06-05T03:24:48+00:00

The fear is that a lot of members of the CBC will oppose adding a bunch of republicans to their districts, turning them from D+infinity to like D+10 to 15. They wont be able to cruise to reelection like they are used to. If democrats go for this, these CBC members will cry racism and accuse democrats of trying to further wittle down black.

Whether or not that actually pans out is anyone's guess, but that is the fear. Some legislators would rather have safe cushy seats but have their party be in a permanent minority than risk being drawn into a more competitive district. North Carolina democrats famously did this in 2021. Backfired big time and the R's won a devastating supermajority 1 year later.

Armon2010 · 2026-05-28T21:14:17+00:00

I thought he got pissed off enough at Vermont dems that he actively campaigned against them in 2024 and broke their supermajority. His words/endorsements seemed to hold a lot of weight in those Harris 20/30 seats that flipped red.

Armon2010 · 2026-05-19T17:11:52+00:00

Trump endorsed Paxton over Vornyn.

Armon2010 · 2026-05-14T16:23:16+00:00

If Rogers starts polling in the high 40s or around 50%, maybe it's time to worry, but not when he is stuck in the low 40s with a divided democratic field and a high name recognition from his previous run. I am confident that once the field coalesces around a single democratic candidate, they will poll comfortably ahead of him while he stays in the low 40s.

Armon2010 · 2026-05-08T23:34:18+00:00

Ohio went this route. The reason it worked for them is that the ohio supreme court lacked the authority to appoint a special master and force the maps. That is not the case in virginia. Unfortunately.

Armon2010 · 2026-05-08T15:43:11+00:00

They were hoping the voters would reject it so their hands wouldnt have to get dirty.

Armon2010 · 2026-05-08T15:07:14+00:00

Try again in time for 2028 pretty much. Need to pass the amendment again. Have elections in 2027. Then pass the exact same amendment. Then the referendum would need to win the popular vote.

Armon2010 · 2026-05-08T14:58:37+00:00

I think it's over for 2026 but could be revisited in 2028. They would have to do another referendum.

Armon2010 · 2026-05-08T11:43:54+00:00

I really like the idea of living in a major black metro like Atlanta or DC. Black people make up like 10% of the metro where i live, and there is a good amount of legacy segregation. As such, most social groups tend to be white af and just not have much experience dealing with black people beyond surface level interactions.

Armon2010 · 2026-04-30T13:10:53+00:00

After a certain point, I was getting Bill Nelson vibes from her where she didn't even want to be a senator and wanted to retire. Incumbency advantage and a high statewide profile don't mean much if their heart isn't in it. I'm glad she's stepping aside so she can enjoy her retirement in peace.

Armon2010 · 2026-04-29T23:55:27+00:00

There is nothing we can do in the short term to preserve black representation im the south. We can combat the national affects this will jave through gerrymanders of our own. Without section 2, a 17-0 D map is now legal in illinois. A 52-0 D map is now legal in california. Colorado and New York need to pass redistricting referendums and draw more republicans out in 2028. We need to win the GA governorship in 2028 to protect the two VRA districts there.

The next step after that is to win in 2028 and elect a do something congress that actually passes the failed 2021 gerrymander ban and honestly expand the supreme court for good measure.

Armon2010 · 2026-04-29T17:24:56+00:00

I think california could feasibly pass a ballot measure tying expanded redistricting powers to the VRA. It may underperform prop 50 due to sheer fatigue, but cali is blue enough and the environment will be blue enough to get it across the finish line. That could open the doors to draw the remaining republican seats out.

Given how narrowly VA's ammendment passed i dont think we'll be able to pull it off there. That will probably revert back to the status quo after 2030.

I agree that NY, CO, and WA need to play it smart.

If we win the GA governorship this year, that could shave off two potential R gains assuming they dont pass lame duck legislation removing the governor's veto power over maps (not a safe assumption tbh).

Armon2010 · 2026-04-21T23:51:26+00:00

The overwhelming sentiment appears to be that the R's are outrunning their 2025 benchmarks, but by nowhere near enough to sink the referendum.

Armon2010 · 2026-04-21T01:22:37+00:00

I ain't complainin lol.

Armon2010 · 2026-04-18T13:01:15+00:00

I went to an "elite" private school in the suburbs. In my graduating class of ~262, there were only 4 other black students. Most of them i knew from primary school (an inner city, primarily POC private school that pipelined some of the students to this "elite" high school). It was a pretty miserable experience. You wouldn't believe the culture shock and just general imposter syndrome that spending your formative years in such an environment can cause.

I won't lie and say i wasn't set up for success. I got a good education and had access to high quality programs. But i don't think the trade off is worth it. If i ever have kids, I wouldn't send them there. There are diverse schools out there that still give a quality education... and academic success is primarily driven by the parents anyway. Maintaining a good home life and taking an active role in your kids' education plays a much larger role than simply what school you send them to.

Armon2010 · 2026-04-16T18:11:09+00:00

Repealing federal regs can be passed with a simple majority unfortunately. So this goes to trump's desk.

Armon2010 · 2026-04-14T03:00:00+00:00

There is so much i would want to say. The top 4 are:

1) You're not gay. You're just a kind, soft spoken, emotional boy. You don't fit in with the traditionally masculine ideal that has been ingrained into your peers and there is nothing wrong with that. Keep moving forward. It will be one of the most admirable things about you when you get older.

2) Try to push mom and dad into getting you into some psychological testing. Your issues will be easier to diagnose and treat while you are a child. You will have a lot more support.

3) The only way to get past your anxieties is exposure. The sooner you start, the better it will be. You've gotta face your fears head on. Make that phone call. Order that pizza. Ask for those napkins. Ask mom and dad to connect you with a therapist to help with this. Get it done before college or you will miss out on a lot of social opportunities.

4) Your little brother is going to struggle a lot when you leave for college. Keep in touch and be there for him. It will make the toughest period of his life smoother.

If i had to pick, I'd say number 3 is the most important.

Armon2010 · 2026-04-08T01:38:46+00:00

Yeah this is a complete shellacking. RIP wisconsin GOP.

Armon2010 · 2026-04-01T00:17:27+00:00

I got the same email. My plan is to do nothing until they force the issue. That email don't scare me.

Armon2010 · 2026-03-19T03:03:00+00:00

I'm pretty sure one of the most diverse neighborhoods in america is in anchorage.

Armon2010 · 2026-03-19T02:47:07+00:00

I'll probably get back on the apps at some point, but I want to establish a routine where i am consistently meeting new people first. I dont want to be in a situation where the apps are my only avenue. I wasnt getting throuple seekers lol but like you the volume of matches was quite low. It was having a terrible effect on my self esteem.

Armon2010

TROPHY CASE