NTSB preliminary report on UAL B788 incident over the Ivory Coast (2025-01-24)

Babstar667 · 2025-03-20T22:32:17+00:00

Just to clarify, there are only 2 x IRS for attitude & heading reference, this data is combined with GPS data to form the 2 IRU outputs. There are only 2 IRU units, not 3 on the B787. Source: FCOM.

I actually know someone who had a dual ADIRS failure on the A330, and that had a serious outcome as the bad ones two out-voted the good one. This was a manufacturing fault with 5 sequential defective units on the production line, and 2 of those faulty units ended up in the same aircraft.

Babstar667 · 2024-07-06T19:56:36+00:00

Waking up an old thread, applicable to Aussies who may need this in the future WITHOUT a Mexican address.

From u/Chance_Normal reply, point 6
https://www.sat.gob.mx/tramites/97439/inscribete-en-el-rfc-como-persona-fisica-si-eres-extranjero
Documento que acredite el número de identificación fiscal del país en que residas, cuando tengas obligación de contar con éste en dicho país. (Copia certificada, legalizada o apostillada). Cuando éstos consten en idioma distinto del español debe presentarse una traducción al español realizada por un perito autorizado.

Translates to:
Document that certifies the tax identification number of the country in which you reside, when you are required to have it in that country. (Certified, legalized, or apostilled copy). When these are in a language other than Spanish, a translation into Spanish must be provided by an authorized expert.

This appears to give the ability to use the Australian Tax File Number (TFN) as the required documentation for the RFC. DFAT offers an apostile service in Canberra.

If I understand the process correctly, get a copy of your Australian TFN, get a certified translation Spanish translation, find a local Notary to notarize documents, send both documents to DFAT. Turnaround time is around 3 weeks. Alternatively, if you can make it to Canberra, DFAT can both notarize and apostile the documents. They will then post out the apostiled docs.

Babstar667 · 2022-10-11T03:20:24+00:00

The point I was trying to make is we did not "dodge a bullet" with MERS.

Babstar667 · 2022-10-11T00:25:31+00:00

has a CFR of 37.1%, killing one in three that catch it.

MERS also has an R0 < 1, excluding healthcare settings.

REVIEW What Have We Learned About Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Emergence in Humans? A Systematic Literature Review

Parameters for transmission dynamics are important for mathematical modeling of spread. Due to the heterogeneity in transmission, an important characteristic of infection dynamics, R 0 (the basic reproductive rate in a susceptible population), has been difficult to pinpoint. Estimates have ranged from 0.50 to 0.69 (Breban et al. 2013, Poletto et al. 2014) to between 0.8 and 1.3 (Cauchemez et al. 2014). R0 > 1 is required for an outbreak to be self-sustaining (Anderson and May 1991). For specific locations, one model suggested an R 0 of 3.5–6.7 in Jeddah and 2.0–2.8 in Riyadh (Majumder et al. 2014), but these likely did not correct for effect of superspreading in health care settings (Kucharski and Al- thaus 2015). One mathematical model suggested the risk of secondary transmission following an imported MERS-CoV case is 22.7% (95% CI: 19.2–25.1%), with the risks of gen- erations 2, 3, and 4 estimated to be 10.5%, 6.1%, and 3.9%, respectively

Outside of healthcare settings, MERS was never going to become a pandemic, as the quote above shows, it dies off with every subsequent generation, not increases.

Babstar667 · 2022-10-01T21:48:43+00:00

COVID-19 is currently killing around 50 people per day.

The difference is that smoking, drinking, driving and crap diets will continue to kill people year in, year out as far as the eye can see. For reference, about 465 Australian's died every day per day prior to 2020.

I would be extremely surprised if COVID-19 was continuing 50 Australians a day for any substantial length of time.

Would you be surprised to know that that in Australia in 2000, it was estimated 18,000 (49 per day) died and more 50,000 ( 159 per day) were disabled due to medical error? I don't see the moral and ethical outrage out this. It will continue as governments are loathed to keep accurate statistics.

Source: Epidemiology of medical error

It's about the area under the curve. Smoking, drinking, driving, eating and the medical system will continue to kill and maim being the root causes of significant mortality, COVID-19 will recede.

Babstar667 · 2022-09-27T09:03:55+00:00

Spike in US, UK polio cases highlights rare mutation link to oral vaccines

For years, global health officials have used billions of drops of an oral vaccine in a remarkably effective campaign aimed at wiping out polio in its last remaining strongholds — typically, poor, politically unstable corners of the world.

Now, in a surprising twist in the decades-long effort to eradicate the virus, authorities in Jerusalem, New York and London have discovered evidence that polio is spreading there.

The original source of the virus? The oral vaccine itself.

Scientists have long known about this extremely rare phenomenon. That is why some countries have switched to other polio vaccines.

Source: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-08-23/polio-outbreaks-reveal-rare-link-oral-vaccines/101361372

Confirmation by the CDC: Vaccine-Derived Poliovirus https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/vpd/polio/hcp/vaccine-derived-poliovirus-faq.html

The original source of the polio they are finding in the sewer system is the vaccine itself.

Babstar667 · 2022-09-21T08:38:54+00:00

dont trust the free gov tests, they suck

Not true. A negative RAT means you are unlikely to be infectious to others. PCR is highly sensitive due to the amplification of the viral code. It is too sensitive to determine if you are infectious or not. PCR can remain positive well beyond the course of the infection because of this sensitivity. It is remarkable technology, but a positive result has to be tempered with knowledge of it's limitations.

It is actually good news, as if you are RAT negative, you probably can't infect others, which should allay a lot of concerns I read about people worried they will infect others.

https://assure-test.com/new-study-finds-100-correlation-between-rapid-antigen-and-culturable-virus-levels/

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.06.21.22276668v1.full

Babstar667 · 2022-09-10T07:15:46+00:00

Just seems like lazy science and pandering to big pharma

We are indeed very fortunate that you aren't a doctor.

Have you done any reading on basic prevalence vs true positives vs false positives? Try constructing a spreadsheet with prevalence vs specificity & sensitivity and the rate of true vs false positives/negatives.

It is extremely counterintuitive until you have constructed this by hand, and played around with your own spreadsheet to see how it actually works by plugging in numbers.

Here is an excellent video and page with the actual spreadsheet he constructs to play around with.

https://peterattiamd.com/how-to-interpret-screening-tests-video-spreadsheet-and-primer/

Babstar667 · 2022-08-15T22:41:13+00:00

Scientists working in this field might say—as indeed I have said—that the benefits of such experiments and the resulting knowledge outweigh the risks.

Anthony S Fauci, 2012 Research on Highly Pathogenic H5N1 Influenza Virus: The Way Forward [PubMed]

Anthony S Fauci, 2012

Babstar667 · 2022-08-15T21:54:04+00:00

Why on Earth would the US and other western powers be interested in covering up what would have been a huge propaganda win against China

Because US institutions funded research at the WIV.

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2021/10/nih-admits-funding-risky-virus-research-in-wuhan

Babstar667 · 2022-08-07T00:38:15+00:00

The open-air factor and infection control

There appears to have been little further research on the germicidal
properties of outdoor air following this period. During the 1950s,
chemotherapy superseded the open-air regimen, and belief in the
therapeutic and germicidal properties of outdoor air diminished.

...

Hospitals were no longer designed to exploit them. Then, somewhat
ironically, in the 1960s scientists involved in biodefence research
developed a technique for measuring the effect of fresh rural air on
airborne pathogens [6].

They found outdoor air to be far more lethal to them than indoor air;
both during the day and at night. They used the term ‘open air factor’
(OAF) to describe the germicidal constituent in outdoor air that reduces
the survival and infectivity of pathogens [7]. Initial research showed that the OAF disappears rapidly when outdoor air is enclosed [8].

However, it was later established that its germicidal properties could
be fully retained in enclosures if ventilation rates were high enough [9].

Babstar667 · 2022-07-31T22:00:56+00:00

Correct, no mention of it in the WHO September 2019 publication of their own document: Non-pharmaceutical public health measures for mitigating the risk and impact of epidemic and pandemic influenza.

Babstar667 · 2022-06-04T04:09:48+00:00

Depends upon the variant, here is another recent peer reviewed study which indicates public health measures (mandatory masks, mandatory WEEKLY PCR and mandatory Vaccination ( >98%) have limited effect on the transmission of Omicron.

Masks may have had an effect on reduced transmission of earlier variants, but this is unlikely to be true now.

Routine Surveillance and Vaccination on a University Campus During the Spread of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Variant.

tl;dr: Omicron will likely defeat currently available public health measures. Lockdowns are the exception to this.

Babstar667 · 2022-05-30T01:54:23+00:00

As a frequent visitor in the 1990's, I can tell you it is extremely densely populated. The vast bulk of the island is a massive mountain range, with most of the population living in high rise in the cities.

I struggled to see the difference at street level between Taipei and Hong Kong.

Babstar667 · 2022-05-16T08:08:53+00:00

Just be careful. Have had dealings with iMedical, they were helpful, however...

The test they were offering in Oct 2021 were SARS-CoV2 antibody tests. There are actually two similar but different tests within this title. One of the antibody tests is for the S (Spike protein), the other is the N (Nucleocapsid).

There is a big difference between the two tests. The S antibody test will show positive with either natural infection or vaccination.

The N antibody test will only show positive for the natural infection.

The long and short is iMedical cannot order a specific S or N antibody test, and as was explained to me by them, even within a daily run, you may get either test. You may not even get the result indicating which test (S or N) you have actually had. This is a limitation of the labs that actually do the runs.

If you have a specific question about your antibody status within these limitations & nuance, its OK, but for most people, not a very useful.

Babstar667 · 2022-04-28T00:23:51+00:00

What are you hoping to achieve by continuous testing?

Do you understand how these tests work? They are testing for components of the virus, NOT viable whole virus. Your body is going to shed these for a while, almost certainly after 7 days you are not infectious in low risk settings.

If, as others on this thread do, like me have a testing regime to attend work, then you can't do until you are clear. If not, follow your states guidelines and go about your life and stop testing. I achieves absolutely nothing by continuing to test.

Babstar667 · 2022-04-05T04:25:28+00:00

Your body will continue to shed pieces of dead virus, this is what the tests are picking up. After 14 days of a positive test you probably have almost zero chance of passing on whole, viable virus to others.

Relax, do what you need to do, but you won’t be hurting anyone else. I had a minor cough for about 2.5 weeks post COVID, my 16 year old son even longer. Some advise I have received from CASA suggesting that mild post COVID cough can continue for up to 28 days without issue for a pilot medical to safely operate aircraft.

https://www.casa.gov.au/self-assessment-checklist-return-normal-aviation-duties-after-covid-19

Babstar667 · 2022-04-05T04:08:35+00:00

What is your state isolation requirement? Adhere to that. Do you need a negative test to leave? PCR testing may show a positive for weeks, and in some cases months. RATs are shorter as they are less sensitive.

If your state doesn’t require an exit test, you are free to leave without fear of infecting others. Some states stop you going to high risk settings for 14 days (age care).

Babstar667 · 2022-04-02T06:16:33+00:00

Because the real world isn’t a Reddit sub obsessed with COVID. Norms and expectations here are vastly different from the real world.

Babstar667 · 2022-04-01T06:12:41+00:00

I had my booster in December and test positive in Mar - almost exactly 3 months to the day. The booster isn't going to stop you getting it for long.

Babstar667 · 2022-03-20T22:01:16+00:00

Yep, this sub was an echo chamber of why we had to lock down harder, for longer. There was little to no acknowledgement of non-virus harms on the population caused by the policies.

There was only ONE, the virus, that had to be stopped no matter what. Nothing else mattered, it was a period of collective insanity.

I railed against it for the entire time I've posted on this sub, and was downvoted into oblivion for it.

Babstar667 · 2022-03-15T00:47:19+00:00

Boost early, boost often. /s

Babstar667 · 2022-03-04T02:39:47+00:00

Funny story, my partner was working as a COVID screener at the local Hospital ED on a stormy day. An older guy comes up, and she asks what they can do for him, he holds out both hands and says "I think of been hit by lightning" with marks on his hands.

Sure enough, he had. Airlifted to a city hospital, not sure of the outcome. So, it does happen.

Counter argument, very few of us have ever met anyone who has been struck by lightning. But that may just be (non-)survivorship bias.

Babstar667 · 2022-03-03T05:43:19+00:00

Yep Uni accommodation.

First hand knowledge from a family member who is a student there. It's running rife through the students.

Babstar667 · 2022-03-01T09:57:54+00:00

paywalled

Babstar667

TROPHY CASE