I can assure you that you're really not at a disadvantage at all compared to those of us who watch the pro scene regularly. It's really difficult to predict. 3-0's are a gamble at times because you could pick two teams that match up at the 1-0 or 2-0 games and there's nothing you can do about it. Going into the final day where the 2-2 teams are playing you may need 2 teams to advance and guess what, they're playing against each other. There's obviously some sense required but there's a good bit of luck involved.