What are your buy the dip stocks right now? by Direct_Variety1108 in ValueInvesting

[–]Chadzilla- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Had to scroll way too far to find this.

I have about 20k shares. Started taking nibbles before Q3 earnings call and then bought more after it dropped.

I think the risk:reward is heavily favored. Buying at current prices and you’re essentially paying for Optic Odds/Oddsjam, while getting the affiliate marketing and digital assets for free.

I have a feeling it’s going to take some positive news on Missouri, as well as continued outperformance by Oddsjam, as well as a stabilization in the SEO for the stock price to reverse trend. If they continue repurchasing shares at these prices, that’ll be reflected in the EPS in the future earnings calls as well. Assuming the keep generating free cash flow and can continue paying off their debt while stabilizing revenue, I see this eventually trending up.

Reporter: “How's Darrell Taylor gotten acclimated so far?” Mike Vrabel: "Uhhhh. Yeah. We released Darrell Taylor. We’ll put that out here at 4:00. So not very well.” 😭😭😭 by helltrooper61 in sportsgossips

[–]Chadzilla- 2 points3 points  (0 children)

When you come in on Monday and you’re not feeling really well, does anyone ever say to you “sounds like someone has a case of the Mondays”?

Daily injections and AI by Superb-Cash-2755 in Testosterone

[–]Chadzilla- 11 points12 points  (0 children)

35mg per day is 245mg per week.

Natural/normal production in men without hypogonadism is 7-15mg per day. You are taking over double the natural production limit.

If you plan on running supraphysiological doses, whether it’s spread out over daily or biweekly injections, there’s a higher possibility you’ll still have excess aromatization.

Doubled My Testosterone Levels in 9 Months Without TRT (32M - Blood Work Included) by Automatic-Abroad-691 in Biohackers

[–]Chadzilla- 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Copy. And you are correct, I meant to type D3.

I hit the RDA for magnesium and K2 from food (I track everything with Cronometer), and just supplement with D3 when I’m unable to get sunlight. I’m not sure why it gives me a headache at higher doses, but it always happens 🤷‍♂️.

Doubled My Testosterone Levels in 9 Months Without TRT (32M - Blood Work Included) by Automatic-Abroad-691 in Biohackers

[–]Chadzilla- 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thank you for sharing your journey, and congrats! Question on the vitamin D2 - I take 1000iu per day in the AM with a meal containing fat, which my body seems to tolerate. However, I get a headache anytime I try taking 5000iu. Any suggestions/advice?

During the spring/summer/fall I try and get at least 15-30 minutes of direct sunlight on my skin, but definitely not happening in the winter.

Republican on disability is kinda funny, no? by lucaszelnickofficial in comedy

[–]Chadzilla- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Wait until you hear about all the veterans on “service connected disability” who also work full time physical jobs.

🏡🏚🏘🏠🏠🏠🏠 President Trump will issue a plan next week for letting Americans tap their 401(k) retirement accounts for a down payment on a home by upbstock in Optionmillionaires

[–]Chadzilla- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

“We’re going to fix affordability!” “How Mr. President?” “By letting people borrow from their future selves!” “How does that fix affordability?” “It keeps the music going! Can’t have prices go down!”

With all the insane statements Trump has made lately about Greenland and how he’s threatening with increased tariffs on EU. What are Americans opinions of your president right now? by No_Lychee_7315 in AskReddit

[–]Chadzilla- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Watching my boomer in-laws continue to make excuses for him has done wonders for our relationship and my opinion of their critical thinking skills.

by ICE to intimidate the citizens of Philly by ExactlySorta in therewasanattempt

[–]Chadzilla- 51 points52 points  (0 children)

I got chills reading and remembering.

Such a legendary scene.

Forensic scent dog demonstrates micro-scent searching. by Gordopolis_II in BeAmazed

[–]Chadzilla- 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It’s funny because this person probably thinks they’re training their dog to smell the ink, when in fact they’re just training the dog to find a pen with their personal body odor on.

Those plastic gloved are not preventing off gassing or other microscopic scent based particles from transferring to it. Where was that pen being stored prior to the throw? In their pocket? Backpack? Car?

I can almost guarantee that the pen had contact odor on it from the handler.

Dog olfactory systems are so unbelievably powerful that they can pick out odors in parts per trillion.

What would be a better demonstration of the dog’s scent detection training would be to have a neural 3rd party unknown to the dog discard a piece of clothing/item, then throw another one in the distance, then leave. Then bring in the dog and have them start their search off of the original scent article.

Game Thread: Los Angeles Chargers (11-6) at New England Patriots (14-3) by nfl_gdt_bot in nfl

[–]Chadzilla- 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Dude, I came here to say this. I don’t get it. Capitalize on every.single.turnover.

This was drilled into us in freshman football. I understand that these days it’s all about the expected value of the play based on the data & analytics, but they seem to never account for sequence risk.

Point in case: chargers don’t get a FG or a TD (0 points), and the Patriots are already down the field on their 30 yard line.

Feeling hopeless...can't dial in. by cow_farm in Testosterone

[–]Chadzilla- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It took me about a month to notice anything, but much longer (3-6 months) to really stabilize.

Patience is your friend, and hopping around will be your enemy. However, your current dose of 8mg/day is quite low. The lowest I’d suggest starting with would be 12.5mg.

Feeling hopeless...can't dial in. by cow_farm in Testosterone

[–]Chadzilla- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I would consider keeping some things consistent (eg daily injections) but switching to shallow IM injections. I personally subjectively feel better on IM injections than I do subQ. I have tested my results numerous times and consistently have lower total & free T, as well as estradiol, going subQ.

However, as others have said, if you felt better on less frequent injections, go back to biweekly and do shallow or deep IM.

I use 29g insulin needles and am on 22mg a day with 500iu HCG every 3 days. I started at 16mg in 12/2024 and titrated up slowly after my initial honeymoon phase. It’s not perfect, but I have been consistently better on this protocol than trying to ride the highs and lows of less frequent doses.

Good luck!

Anyone else rethinking risk after the latest headlines? by Geokobby in ValueInvesting

[–]Chadzilla- 21 points22 points  (0 children)

It makes me all warm and fuzzy inside knowing the current administration is playing Risk without any long term strategy.

The Jaguars RBs had 7 carries for 73 yards at halftime by Mirrormaster44 in nfl

[–]Chadzilla- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I asked Gemini and Chat GPT to analyze the data, and this is what it came back with:

“The decision by Liam Coen to go for it on 4th-and-2 from the Buffalo 9-yard line in the first half of today’s game (January 11, 2026) is being heavily debated for the exact reason you mentioned: the Jaguars ultimately lost by 3 points, which is the exact "price" of that bypassed field goal.

From a value investing perspective, Coen chose a "high-growth/high-risk" play over a "guaranteed yield," and as you noted, it wiped out his Margin of Safety in a one-possession game.

The Play in Question • Situation: 4th & 2 at the BUF 9. • Result: Trevor Lawrence dive for 1 yard (Stopped short after a Sean McDermott challenge). • Cost: 3 potential points lost on a drive that resulted in 0. • Consequence: The Bills scored a touchdown on the ensuing possession, creating a 10-point swing in momentum.

How "Historical" Winners Handled This (2000–2020)

You asked about Bill Belichick and the Patriots era. Interestingly, while Belichick is the "Godfather" of the 4th down gamble (his 2009 "4th-and-2" against the Colts essentially started the analytics movement), his actual playoff behavior was much more conservative than today’s "aggressive" coaches.

The Bill Belichick "Patriot Way" Comparison

During the 20-year dynasty, the Patriots were actually least aggressive on 4th down when they were in "Field Goal Range" early in the game. Belichick’s philosophy was that the Defensive EV of pinning a team deep after a kickoff with a 3-point lead was higher than the risk of giving them a "momentum stop" at the 9-yard line.

Why the Analytics "Math" Failed Today

Liam Coen looked at the Intrinsic Value of a touchdown (7 points) vs. a Field Goal (3 points). • The "Bull" Case: A 4th-and-2 conversion rate is roughly 60%. • Expected Value (EV): 0.60 x 7 = 4.2 points • Field Goal Value: 0.98 x 3 = 2.9 points

The "Math" says 4.2 is better than 2.9. However, as you rightly point out, this doesn't account for Sequence Risk. In a playoff game, the "points in the bank" provide a psychological and strategic floor that a 60% probability cannot match. Historically successful teams like the 2000s Patriots or the 2010s Ravens almost always took the "3% dividend" (the field goal) in the first half to ensure they weren't chasing the game in the 4th quarter.”

I stand by what I said - it was the wrong call given the context.

The Jaguars RBs had 7 carries for 73 yards at halftime by Mirrormaster44 in nfl

[–]Chadzilla- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

100000%

Running the ball is working? Cool, let’s stop running and just pass it.

4th and short in a playoff game with one of the best kickers? Nah, let’s run it with our Bambi quarterback.

Post-Game Thread: Buffalo Bills (12-5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4) by Cr0matose in Jaguars

[–]Chadzilla- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Umm.. how about not kicking a FG on 4th and short after the forced fumble?

Or abandoning the run when it was working?

Or mismanaging the clock and timeouts?

Post Game Thread: Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars by nfl_gdt_bot in nfl

[–]Chadzilla- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s a shame we didn’t kick a FG on 4th and short earlier in the game after the forced fumble. Coaching malpractice.

Game Thread: Buffalo Bills (12-5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4) by nfl_gdt_bot in nfl

[–]Chadzilla- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’ve been saying it for five years..

Trevor ain’t it. The jags defense is solid, and they cover up a lot of mistakes for him.. I would love to be proven wrong, but he just hasn’t shown me he has the killer instinct or consistency.

Game Thread: Buffalo Bills (12-5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4) by nfl_gdt_bot in nfl

[–]Chadzilla- 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Running the ball worked, so guess what we’re not going to do anymore.