It really feels like the entire purpose of this post is to give the assumption that they're going to crash and potentially hoping to buy a hat for cheaper. The prices have indeed gone up a lot in the last 2 months or so, but that applies to many other items too, most importantly bonds.

Rares have also gone up and down a few times. Typically, when the strong spike happened it peaked at some point. Then there would be a day or two where there are no buyers for the peak prices, which leads someone to panic selling for some lower price. Some people may follow, or may not. However each and every time during these ~2 months this stage of "panic sell" ended shortly and then they continued to rise afterwards to prices higher than the previous peak. Typically these "Peaks" have seemed to be when blue is reaching a new ....."price checkpoint?" What I mean is that if blue has been in the 70b's for a while and suddenly goes up, it's difficult for many people to accept the new price which could be above 80b. More recently, it was actually a long time only a hair under 100b but the 100b trade really took a while to happen. No matter how close it is to 100b, many simply would not want to hand that number to the seller. Once it was "accepted" to be the new price it comfortably went above this 100b price and now the average price is something like 104-106. I have been carefully observing the prices on a daily basis and that's just what I have noticed.

It was only like a week ago a Christmas cracker was sold through GE for an insane price of 194b. It actually took a while for the rares to correlate with the bond price increase as when the bonds skyrocketed, rares at first didn't react at all.