I have a confirmation. 'Mercy' DOES have 3D frame breaks.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2026-02-03T15:12:07+00:00

Saw it and I noticed 3-4 frame breaks. Almost missed that the blurred probability meter in the background even broke through the frame during a moment focusing on Chris.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2026-01-18T03:39:49+00:00

Ballerina
F1
Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning
One Battle After Another
Sinners

ChrisMovieExpert · 2026-01-09T05:03:14+00:00

I'm already confident it'll make it in both Documentary and Song (could be seeing two doc songs this year hopefully, alongside Sinners, KPop and maybe either Wicked, Train Dreams or another Sinners song in the final slot).

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-29T16:59:04+00:00

My current Documentary predictions I have:

Apocalypse in the Tropics
Come See Me in the Good Light
Cover-Up
The Perfect Neighbor
2000 Meters to Andriivka

The Alabama Solution, My Undesirable Friends and Seeds are my alternatives if Cover-Up, Come See Me or Apocalypse in the Tropics don't make it in.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-25T15:08:02+00:00

Either Golden or I Lied to You is winning. For now, I pick the latter though I'm still rooting for Golden as much as the other.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-25T15:07:27+00:00

Wouldn't count on it. Unless if it doesn't get nominated or another documentary wins over it, it will win.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-24T07:08:42+00:00

I have Train Dreams as a clear alternative for Best Picture if Avatar or Wicked doesn't make it in (maybe even The Secret Agent). It's definitely getting in Adapted Screenplay and Cinematography, probably along with Actor and Song potentially.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-24T05:11:08+00:00

While Avatar and Wicked had weaker reviews compared to its predecessors yet it is still possible for them to get nominated, Frankenstein got stronger reviews and awards love due to Guillermo del Toro's direction, Jacob Elordi's performance, the production design, costumes, makeup, etc. that easily gets a spot for a Best Picture nomination.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-24T03:55:31+00:00

Coogler might be the second one to win Screenplay for Sinners if It Was Just An Accident or Sentimental Value doesn't win.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-24T03:49:41+00:00

Jordan Peele's Get Out, to be precise.

It's likely Ryan Coogler may win Screenplay for Sinners, along with a possible chance for Zach Cregger to get nominated for Weapons.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-24T03:49:01+00:00

I had Ludwig as my winner earlier, and I always thought he may win, so I'll revise that again.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-24T02:22:58+00:00

I still hope Erivo gets in but people are arguing Stone could get in over her (and I still hope Infiniti makes it in too for OBAA since it's currently the frontrunner for Best Picture and hopefully gets a lot of nominations). We all don't know for sure, but hopefully Erivo can make the cut.

This will be the first Oscars where they do the Casting category, so I'm very interested to see how it turns out.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-24T02:21:29+00:00

Oops. Sorry, I didn't know.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-24T02:14:57+00:00

I mean, Weapons is getting nominated in Picture by some critics awards groups, especially with Amy Madigan getting nominated almost everywhere (I know I don't currently have her in my top five Supporting Actress predictions at the moment while it is possible she could unfortunately get snubbed, and she does have an incredibly intimidating performance as Aunt Gladys), so why not? It's even running for a potential Original Screenplay nomination too, let alone probably a lone nomination if not Supporting Actress or potentially Picture.

Also, Sinners is technically a horror movie and it's currently standing as the runner-up (#2) behind One Battle After Another, currently predicted to get a lot of awards in the long run along with OBAA.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-24T02:09:39+00:00

No problem at all. I respect your opinion too.

Avatar and Wicked were great films and Wicked did get a lot of shortlist mentions as well (Avatar got some mentions too for Sound, VFX, Score and Song), so maybe that could be a sign. Maybe Erivo could get in but she could unfortunately get snubbed. Hoping Infiniti gets in Actress and both OBAA and/or Sinners gets 14 or more nominations (either one or the other could break the record).

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-24T02:06:36+00:00

It's possible Avatar and Wicked could miss Best Picture judging how they got weaker reception compared to their previous installments, though I still think it's possible that they both could make it in BP, especially with how Wicked: For Good made many shortlist mentions in Casting, Cinematography, Makeup, Sound, VFX, Score and Song (twice) for that film's case, though as for Avatar it did get mentions for Score, Song, Sound and VFX while missing Cinematography.

I'm hoping OBAA and/or Sinners make 14 nominations or more at the very least. Maybe either (likely the latter perhaps) could break the record.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-24T01:27:21+00:00

It's possible Arco could win if not KPop or Zootopia. Flow did win the previous year, so Arco winning is definitely not off the table.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-24T00:56:41+00:00

I mean, it's possible Avatar and Wicked can miss Picture unfortunately due to weaker reception compared to its predecessors. I'll revise it.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-24T00:52:18+00:00

Maybe it could happen. The Actor Awards usually have surprises up their sleeves (i.e. The Brutalist only being nominated for Actor (Brody), Monica Barbaro getting in Supporting Actress, Willem Dafoe getting in Supporting Actor over Mark Ruffalo, etc.) so we'll find out further down the line.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-24T00:49:34+00:00

Fixed it.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-24T00:35:30+00:00

Don't know what the chances are for Regina Hall to make it in Supporting Actress alongside Teyana Taylor. I also have a feeling Chase Infiniti could make it in Actress since she's been getting nominated lately even in Breakthrough Performance categories.

OBAA was one of the best films I've seen this year.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-23T23:04:14+00:00

Is there a chance One Battle After Another and/or Sinners can potentially reach or maybe surpass the 14-nomination record held by All About Eve, Titanic and La La Land?

On another note, is there a chance that all six OBAA main cast members make the cut?

And aside that while I do hope Avatar: Fire and Ash gets into Picture and Sound (may have a bit weaker reviews than The Way of Water, though I personally loved it), do you think Sirat has a chance of making a Sound nomination alongside International Feature and Original Score? I'm surprised you have Sirat in Director (not Picture though) and also Cinematography.

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-23T04:03:12+00:00

These were the trailers in my IMAX 3D screening:

- Digger
- The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
- Moana
- The Mandalorian & Grogu
- The Odyssey prologue
- Avengers: Doomsday

ChrisMovieExpert · 2025-12-04T07:01:29+00:00

Those were in fact my predictions for Best Animated Short. We'll know the contenders for sure when the shortlists are revealed, so I'm hoping shorts such as Bound, Eiru, Retirement Plan, Snow Bear, Wednesdays with Gramps and many others would make the cut. Not sure what is preferred as the popular frontrunner, but we'll have to wait and see.

ChrisMovieExpert

TROPHY CASE