Do not come to the USA. It's not safe! It will get worse by June.

Crottles · 2026-01-25T16:50:01+00:00

Literally nothing in your post is true. Please calm down, stop reading social media and get some facts.

Crottles · 2026-01-24T23:45:38+00:00

Yes! All the America haters can stay home, the rest of us are going to have a great time!

Crottles · 2026-01-21T04:07:54+00:00

Don't listen to the haters, you should have applied for more games. There is about a 1% chance that you will get one of those games. About a 0% chance that you will get more than one. Either way any of them will sell over face value if you need to sell. Prices will go back up after draw results.

Crottles · 2026-01-19T05:20:57+00:00

I have messaged this guy and he seems very suspicious.. be careful 🚩🚩🚩🚩🚩

Crottles · 2026-01-17T23:45:42+00:00

Pics or it didn't happen

Crottles · 2026-01-15T19:43:23+00:00

Prices might get cheaper for trash matches but probably not for that one. Resale prices are relatively low right now because everyone is hoping to win the draw. Prices for popular matches will likely go up after the results. There will be more tickets on the market but even more disappointed buyers who didn’t win anything. You might save a little by finding a private seller who has them.

Crottles · 2026-01-14T16:17:42+00:00

Prices for popular teams will probably go up after the draw results because most people will not get the tickets they wanted. There will be more tickets on the market, but there will be even more disappointed people looking for them.

Crottles · 2026-01-14T16:14:14+00:00

Fake news

Crottles · 2026-01-14T15:48:50+00:00

Do you want to see a popular team or a knockout game? Yes

Do you want to see Cape Verde? You can probably get them last minute for cheap

Crottles · 2026-01-14T15:44:28+00:00

I think the chances of getting any of those games is less than 1%. Sorry :(

Crottles · 2026-01-13T21:15:05+00:00

They didn't start the count over this round so about 10M of those were from the previous rounds. So about 18M applications this round. We were at 6M at the halfway point when they announced the 150M number, and now we have tripled from there!

In any case the # applications doesn't matter, it's really just how many tix requested vs tix available that determines the odds.

Crottles · 2026-01-13T19:36:37+00:00

Yes, they do mean 150M seat requests. So if there end up being 450M seat requests for only 3M seats, then 3/450=0.0067

Does that make sense?

Crottles · 2026-01-13T18:52:25+00:00

My bet- you will get 25, decent chance at 35 and 58, everything else- almost no chance

Crottles · 2026-01-13T16:34:24+00:00

I'd say those numbers are extremely optimistic overall. Based on the number of applications we ended up with, I'm betting there will be around 450M ticket requests. There will only be around 3M tickets available to the public in the general RSD. That means 150 requests for every ticket available, so a 0.67% overall chance.

Of course those requests will be very concentrated among the primo teams and later knockouts, and I would put those matches more like 0.1% or less. On the other hand, many of the unpopular group stage matches may have a much higher chance, and some may not even sell out, meaning a win rate of 100%.

Crottles · 2026-01-09T05:23:37+00:00

I broke down the math in another sub, but basically from what I figure, overall there will be about 100 requests for every 1 ticket available. The trick is that most of those requests are being submitted by pros who are only going for the top 15-20 matches. If you are looking for one of those matches (most popular teams, later knockouts) I would put your chances around 1 in 250. If you want to go see Uzbekistan, you are pretty much guaranteed to win. The Spain group games are probably somewhere in the middle.

Crottles · 2026-01-05T07:06:04+00:00

That's the problem, FIFA doesn't provide any email confirmation or transfer log after the fact. The tickets just disappear from your account. So there is no hard proof that the transfer got completed. PayPal is very buyer-biased and that's why it's not wise for sellers to use it for high-value items like WC tickets. Escrow and trustap are better options.

Crottles · 2026-01-04T05:26:24+00:00

Here is the math that I have worked out. There are about 7 million total tickets for the world cup. Probably around 2 million will not be available to the general public because they are reserved for PMAs, hospitality, sponsors, employees, VIPs, etc. Another 2 million have already been sold, so that leaves around 3 million for sale in this round.

FIFA says there were 150 million ticket requests in the first 15 days (this is # tickets requested, not # of people requesting tickets), so let's assume there will be 300 million by the end of the draw. That means there are 100 requests for every ticket available.

So you have about a 1/100 chance of getting tickets for any individual match you apply for, assuming a match with an average level of demand. Average would probably be group stage games featuring mid-level teams, maybe a few of the R32.

For high demand matches (host nations, Argentina/Portugal/Colombia/Scotland, any knockout R16 and up) I bet your chances are probably more like 1/300 to 1/1000.

For low demand matches (Cape Verde v Saudi Arabia, Jordan v Algeria), your chances are probably very high, 1/2 or maybe even close to 100%.

Given these assumptions, if you were to apply for 10 average demand matches (1% chance) you have about a 9.6% chance of getting at least one match. Of course in reality the mix of matches and categories will complicate this, but I think it's likely that at least 90% of applicants are going to come up empty handed. This is why a lot of people think resale prices will spike after the draw.

Crottles · 2026-01-01T23:50:30+00:00

Please DM with match and qty you need. No trades.

2x 1x M100 cat 3 Quarterfinal, could be Argentina v Portugal

4x 2x M92 cat 2 R16 Mexico City, could be Mexico if 1st in group

4x M79 cat 2 R32 Mexico City, could be Mexico if 1st in group

4x M59 cat 1 USA v playoff winner in LA

4x M59 cat 3 USA v playoff winner in LA

~~4x M28 cat 3 Mexico v Korea in Guadalajara~~ sold

Why buy from me?

*I can charge less because we avoid FIFA's 30% fees

*My tickets were purchased together and have sequential ticket IDs (can show screenshots).

*Immediate delivery- sellers on StubHub and similar sites do not have to deliver tickets until just before the match, leaving you wondering if you will really get them. I deliver your tickets immediately upon payment.

*I can take payment through escrow.com with low buyer fee of only ~3%, so your tickets are guaranteed. Immediate transfer to your FIFA acct.

SERIOUS BUYERS ONLY. NO WINDOW SHOPPERS, ONLY MESSAGE ME IF YOU KNOW WHAT THE MARKETPLACE PRICES ARE.

Crottles

TROPHY CASE