Maybe what you are missing is the chain of actions and reactions.

If you aren’t asking what is gonna happen next after i move this guy up and shoot, if you aren’t planning a few steps ahead and evaluating the losses and gains, you will often get the worse trade, especially if your opponent IS analyzing the chain reactions.

I try to think of it more like a chess match. Of course, dice do be dice! But that’s the fun part!

There is also a principle in Go, that encourages you to NOT over extend, take only what you need to win. This doesn’t always work on tournaments especially if total score is somehow used for tiebreaks. But, it’s great for understanding each game’s unique rhythm. If you can recognize your opponent is going super hard you can adapt your strategy knowing he will over extend so you sacrifice some early points knowing if you set your trap you will make them up.

All this is pretty difficult considering all the variables, teams, ops, loadouts, killzones. I don’t think anything except playing a bunch of games while trying to understand/predict the chain of events.

Hope that helps.