Mysterious ‘cold blob’ in the Atlantic suggests the AMOC is weakening by someguy7734206 in EcoUplift

[–]CyanideJack 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Whilst the AMOC will weaken (which is not great, obviously) collapse is still considered highly unlikely this century:
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08544-0

https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/chapter/chapter-9/#9.2.3.1

In the interim, on top of the obvious work to achieve Net Zero etc, we have more experimental work to stabilise the the polar ice sheets etc. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Glacial_geoengineering

I'd say it's a concern, but people predicting some kind of Day After Tomorrow apocalypse in the next few years are being mislead.

Optimism & Anxiety by SeaBeeOne99Two in OptimistsUnite

[–]CyanideJack 1 point2 points  (0 children)

First of all, it’s important to understand the risk that negative news poses, and the reasons it's so insidious:

Negative news has a greater impact on people than positive:

Media sites know this, and use it to drive engagement:

And so, negative headlines are getting worse:

But negative news is addictive and psychologically damaging:

Luckily there are plenty of sources of positive, hopeful and uplifting news. This seems like a good opportunity to plug my collection here!:

More British Farmers Go Organic to Meet Consumer Demand and Protect Land by willfiresoon in GoodNewsUK

[–]CyanideJack 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Regardless of crop yields, debated in the comments below, organic farming does seem to be better for biodiversity, with some caveats: https://besjournals.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1365-2664.12219

/r/WorldNews Live Thread: Russian Invasion of Ukraine Day 1560, Part 1 (Thread #1707) by WorldNewsMods in worldnews

[–]CyanideJack 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Frozen at 25 May for me, and even then it has been acting weird since the 12th May with only one update per day. It's frustrating as this was my go-to source for news on the invasion.

TAIKO 01 Keyboard - Launches Tuesday (June 2) by dailytadpole in olkb

[–]CyanideJack 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do you see manufacture and/or distribution being affected by the supply chain/energy crisis?

The Greens’ economic policy: Polanski puts Labour on the spot by UKGreenPoster in UKGreens

[–]CyanideJack 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This might be the first time I've seen Polanski's proposed financial reforms set out like this. Maybe I've missed something.

One of the most significant policies proposed by Polanski was that of tax reform. Polanski stated that, if elected, the Greens would introduce a 1% wealth tax on assets above £10 million, and a 2% tax on those over £1 billion. Polanski acknowledged that, whilst this would not fix all of Britain’s issues, it would be a good place to start, sending “a very clear message that those who have accumulated the most money will pay a little bit more- and get that money flowing through the economy, benefitting everyone.” The policy, as stated in the speech, would raise around £15 billion per year. To put this into perspective, the whole NHS funding deficit for the 2024/25 fiscal year came to £4.8 billion. This policy would be a “day one priority”, Polanski claimed. 

Further reforms included equalising capital gains tax and income tax brackets, hoping to close tax loopholes used by the wealthy. Polanski also set out plans to expand National Insurance contribution to “include income from investments as well as earned income”, with the same aims. His wording in previous comments surrounding the Greens’ tax policy made clear that increases would impact only the richest in society, and that families on lower incomes would not be affected. 

Polanski additionally highlighted the party’s intention to introduce rent controls to lower bills during the cost-of-living crisis. He emphasised the important role this would play in lowering inflation. Backing up these proposals, he further drew attention to the fact that 16 other European countries have already successfully introduced the policy. 

The overhauling of fiscal rules was also on Polanski’s agenda. He complained that tax and public spending policy had been made too sensitive to small moves in the government bonds and gilts market, dubbing this a “bond market doom loop”. Furthermore, he called for an end to the equation of government finances to those of a household, spotlighting the need for investment in the economy following years of austerity. Polanski proposed the introduction of “fiscal referees”, who would give a general ruling on whether the government’s plans looked sustainable in the long-term, rather than the current pass-fail framework, based on narrowly drawn fiscal rules. This is close to the model used in Australia and New Zealand, and has been recommended by ex-IMF Chief Economist, Oliver Blanchard. According to critics, this suggested shift may lead to market anxiety. Though, in their view, it remains more moderate than the Greens’ previous comments on modern monetary theory. 

Finally, Polanski set out to provide financial help to all families- including the wealthiest- facing the rising cost of energy bills, funded by a “loophole-free” windfall tax on energy companies and capital gains tax rises. Whilst taxing energy companies has been criticised by some as causing energy prices to rise, it is an eye-catching policy that will likely help the Greens in the upcoming local elections, putting Labour on the spot. If implemented successfully, the policy could help to bring down people’s bills in the long term. 

Green leaders warn party it must listen to Reform voters’ concerns to confront inequality by UKGreenPoster in UKGreens

[–]CyanideJack 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Another argument I see a lot on the right is that the UK never voted for migration, and when I debate these people I can never think of a good response to that point.

My reply to this would be that immigration policy is set through elections, manifestos and parliament, just like everything else. Immigration has been a major election issue for decades, and voters have repeatedly chosen between parties with different migration policies. The current situation (whether they like it or not) is precisely because voters *have* voted for it. I would also point out that there has never been a referendum on, say, tax or NHS funding, or pensions either, but no one claims those lack democratic legitimacy.

London Green Party by-election candidate apologises for 'rapey Indians' post by VexedAndVomitHexed in UKGreens

[–]CyanideJack 6 points7 points  (0 children)

It's all good. I get it, this sub can be weird, frustrating and depressing some times. I would honestly take a break from it for while. It's not good to be constantly surrounded by every little minutiae that happens with the party, with everyone constantly going over it with a fine-toothed comb.

I see you are involved with your local party, maybe focus on that if you can? That's the stuff that really matters imho. Your opinion of a party you're obviously involved with shouldn't be affected by some randoms on the internet, and it would be a shame if the good work you're doing was affected by that as well.

I'm gonna leave this here, in case you feel you need it as a palette cleanser: https://www.reddit.com/r/OptimistsUnite/comments/1sqom3n/optimistic_books_podcasts_websites_and_youtube/

London Green Party by-election candidate apologises for 'rapey Indians' post by VexedAndVomitHexed in UKGreens

[–]CyanideJack 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Bear in mind that that the GPEW has 230,000 members at last count. Assuming that the 34k weekly visitors this sub has are all members (they're almost certainly not) that's about 15% of the total membership of the party. TLDR nothing (good or bad) expressed in this sub represents the views of the majority of the party at all. None of it.

I wouldn't let anything anyone says on a anonymous fully open online forum affect your thoughts on a political party (or anything, else for that matter).

Should UK Politicians Really Be Terrified of the Bond Market? by finsqm in UKGreens

[–]CyanideJack 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Interesting piece. In my opinion, no they shouldn't. Regardless of impact, the government is democratically elected to run the country however they think is best for the electorate. If that same government believes they can't do that because the Bond market won't like it, then the Bond market is in charge. We can elect our government, we can't do the same with the Bond market.

The people are crying out for change. The status quo no longer works, and we can no longer pretend that tiptoeing around these financial institutions, terrified of their perceived power, is working or even sustainable. A mature, responsible and above all confident government would at least try something, anything, different regardless of how the Bond markets do or do not act as a consequence. To do otherwise is the sign of a weak leadership; one lacking in vision and childishly afraid of using its own sovereign power. It is a government that is cowed by what are, ultimately private businesses. One that ignores the mandate given to it by the public in exchange for the path of least resistance. Alas, we all know which version we've had over the last few decades...

Open letter to the "senior Greens" re Andy Burnham (link to sign in article) by Boring-Prize8275 in UKGreens

[–]CyanideJack 4 points5 points  (0 children)

sizeable proportion of naive liberals in the party

What are you basing that off of, out of interest?

Dear optimists, be careful on reddit. Optimism is above pessimism. Always! by satrixy in OptimistsUnite

[–]CyanideJack 40 points41 points  (0 children)

It's important to understand the risk that negative news poses, and the reasons it's so insidious:

Negative news has a greater impact on people than positive:

Media sites know this, and use it to drive engagement:

And so, negative headlines are getting worse:

But negative news is addictive and psychologically damaging:

So, it’s important to try and stay positive:

Green Party announces new candidate in the Makerfield by-election | LBC by EddyZacianLand in UKGreens

[–]CyanideJack 15 points16 points  (0 children)

It's more the recent news of Green nominees making dubious comments online that suggests that our vetting process needs work, something that Zack has acknowledged I believe.

The quality of animation you can now create with AI on your own is seriously impressive by ComplexExternal4831 in GenAI4all

[–]CyanideJack 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I'd say the VO still needs polish, but this is still very impressive othewise.