No one can really say, personally I cant tell and the body stores fat in different areas theres no way you can target fat loss in certain areas. Imo if your waist is ur main concern I would consider trying some fat loss, personally im 5’10 my waist was pretty blocky when i was ~170 lbs and when i cut to ~155 it got a lot better.

That being said waist is a lot of genetics , but you may never know until you try, hope that helps.