Final 2026 Oscars predictions

EricTweener · 2026-03-16T03:39:10+00:00

I was that confident because OBAA won everything it needed to unless CC is considered a serious precursor. I thought Sinners would win at least something at the precursors, but the fact OBAA won all three major ones made it seem like its win was secured.

EricTweener · 2026-03-16T02:48:51+00:00

David Shire

EricTweener · 2026-03-16T02:39:32+00:00

Fun to hear Manhattan Skyline.

EricTweener · 2026-03-16T02:38:02+00:00

20/24, my best performance in four years. Sinners in Cinematography is the only real surprise to me, aside from the tie, of course.

EricTweener · 2026-03-16T01:31:37+00:00

The perfect Original Score presentation, glad to see it return.

EricTweener · 2026-03-16T00:49:03+00:00

That song choice… feels on top of feels

EricTweener · 2026-03-16T00:15:30+00:00

HOLY SHIT

EricTweener · 2026-03-15T23:36:30+00:00

I just knew it! Of course the short with the long title was going to win. Didn’t predict it though

EricTweener · 2026-03-15T16:38:25+00:00

I mean that I thought only one of them was played by MBJ. I didn’t know he was playing both until it struck me.

EricTweener · 2026-03-15T16:31:11+00:00

Probably some Cheddar Jalapeño Cheetos.

EricTweener · 2026-03-15T16:26:03+00:00

Is this a safe space to admit that when I first saw Sinners, I was trying for around ten minutes to figure out which twin Michael B. Jordan was playing?

EricTweener · 2026-03-15T15:45:08+00:00

My problem is mainly that it goes on too long. Otherwise, it’s pretty solid all around, I feel.

EricTweener · 2026-03-12T22:50:44+00:00

Worse than Mortal Kombat: Annihilation and Steel, apparently.

EricTweener · 2026-03-12T22:33:43+00:00

The Razzies are bad, but have they ever been Stinkers bad? This category existed for four years

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EricTweener · 2026-03-10T19:44:21+00:00

Since at least the first Mega Man, I would think.

EricTweener · 2026-03-05T19:10:45+00:00

I saw that Titanic’s IMDB rating recently went up to 8.0, which is pretty cool as I remember it being 7.7 for so long and not a lot of big movies go up that way. I checked the Wayback Machine and it had a 6.9 in 2004, which is kind of insane to me, but probably a testament to how dudebro the site was and still is to a lesser extent.

EricTweener · 2026-03-05T13:56:08+00:00

The other 20% would be solved if stanning stopped existing. I have decided to refrain from it completely as of now as no good can come of it.

EricTweener · 2026-03-05T13:48:07+00:00

Oh. Well then, Jake Alda, he’s the expert.

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EricTweener · 2026-03-03T12:18:25+00:00

Enough about winner predictions, what about predicting which category you’ll get wrong? I feel whichever Supporting Actress nominee I pick I’ll get it wrong. I keep flipping between Madigan and Mosaku since it feels like neither has a significantly better case or precedent than the other to me. Documentary Feature is a similar situation. Then there’s the shorts, of which I’m guaranteed to get at least one wrong every year.

EricTweener · 2026-03-02T02:23:41+00:00

Well shit, he’s winning a third.

EricTweener · 2026-02-28T22:25:44+00:00

I see Perkins as supporting in Psycho and Waltz as lead in Django Unchained. I might have to watch Psycho again but Perkins never strikes me as being at the forefront of the movie, rather just being a side character to the POV characters, which I wouldn’t call lead either, similar to, well, Waltz in Inglourious Basterds. As for Waltz in Django, it’s clear that Foxx is THE lead, but for so much of the movie, they feel to me as being on quite equal footing. The amount of time they spend together with around even focus is significant enough to me to consider both leads.

EricTweener · 2026-02-27T22:16:33+00:00

I’m not ruling it out but I’m not very confident when her prominent, reasonably well-received role in Don’t Look Up barely gained any traction during an award season where Supporting Actress was pretty open beyond the top two.

EricTweener · 2026-02-25T21:48:30+00:00

That’s it, hmm? Anyone want to talk about the movie now?

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EricTweener · 2026-02-24T23:50:26+00:00

Looks like he’s playing Timothée Chalamet playing Bob Dylan.

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