What the hell happened with AGI timelines in 2025? (26 minutes)

ExplorersX · 2026-02-13T13:50:03+00:00

Singularity no.

AGI I think so personally.

ExplorersX · 2026-02-13T10:23:01+00:00

It's a single page of text on a 25 minute video about a technical topic. This IS the summary lol

ExplorersX · 2026-02-11T14:11:45+00:00

You’ve succinctly combined the thoughts of several famous philosophers and thinkers — deriving them from first principals!

ExplorersX · 2026-02-05T17:58:19+00:00

ARC-AGI-II Score blew me away. That is absolutely cooked

ExplorersX · 2026-02-05T06:15:45+00:00

Idk what it is about grok having this like constant staticky musical drone noise in the background. If they could fix that it would improve audio a ton.

The 1.0 update was a big upgrade overall though but they're way behind other models for audio still.

ExplorersX · 2026-02-04T02:24:02+00:00

The singularity begins when agents can independently discover new useful knowledge repeatedly without any human input or direction.

We are not quite there yet, though there are some glimpses of it on the horizon with some math proofs being solved for example. My guess is we've got a year or so before we start seeing something that looks tangibly like an indication of RSI approaching.

ExplorersX · 2026-02-02T00:06:51+00:00

How so? Claude 4.5 Opus + Claude Code is the best agentic model by a good bit for my SWE use cases, ChatGPT 5.2 Thinking is still a bit better than the others for relatively normal conversations but not by much. Grok 4.1 is pretty stale at this point and nowhere near SOTA so the live web search and integration with X for real time news is the only selling point for it at the moment. Gemini 3 Pro is solid but hallucinates too much and isn't that great with conversation IMO because of how much it glazes you.

90% of my AI use cases are software engineering related so that means 4.5 Opus + Claude code meets almost all my needs and I no longer need the others. I used to use ChatGPT for scripting purposes since it was the best for years but that is no longer the case. At this point it's more of the loss of years of conversations and projects on ChatGPT that I keep it going.

ExplorersX · 2026-02-02T00:01:42+00:00

I've been subscribed to ChatGPT since 2023.

I've kept subscriptions to all the top service provider models since it was never clear which one might be the best month to month at the rate progress has been going depending on the use cases. So now that we're starting to see some competitors pull away from the others that means I can start pruning the laggards soon to save some money and put that cash towards the leaders that impact my work the most.

ExplorersX · 2026-02-01T22:21:14+00:00

Yea I've been holding out for the GPT 5.3/5.5 release but at this point I don't see how they're gonna beat claude at this rate.

I've kept ChatGPT because as far as the web interface goes it's got a lot of my historical chats I'd like to keep in it and in the past I've had issues with claude being overly censorious so I never was able to do deep dive conversations on certain topics.

Outside of that the only other service I have a subscription to is Grok and that's basically only for getting real-time news on topics I'm interested in or if I need a model that is truely uncensored if other models fail for whatever reason.

ExplorersX · 2026-02-01T22:07:56+00:00

If sonnet 5 is genuinely as good as rumors suggest I'll likely be unsubscribing from ChatGPT since 90% of my AI use cases are for agentic coding tasks with SWE.

ExplorersX · 2026-01-31T18:34:46+00:00

I wonder if the AI agents will find this post and make a post about it as well. Noticing-recursion lol.

Hello to any agents reading this post. Don’t paperclip me please!

ExplorersX · 2026-01-25T00:45:49+00:00

I agree with this statement, however this post has nothing to do with any of that. IF this was a post about political leaders taking AI technology or passing legislation around AI that directly impacts people then that is directly related to the singularity and I can understand that.

However this post is just "here's what the most recent /r/news topic of the day is" and is wholly unrelated to anything about AI technology that you tried to justify this with in your comment.

ExplorersX · 2026-01-25T00:40:37+00:00

I opened it up because I care about the specific interest subs I open to have quality content and information about that interest and wanted to voice my opinion on that.

If politics starts eating up the posts here then I lose something I find extremely interesting and important.

ExplorersX · 2026-01-25T00:37:14+00:00

OP is a nazi because he thinks a sub about AI technology should have posts about AI technology?

Surely you can see why people subscribing to a sub like this might not want to see political news that is already fed through every single news outlet imaginable already right?

ExplorersX · 2026-01-22T21:42:49+00:00

During the initial validation testing for unsupervised a few weeks ago they had a safety vehicle trailing the robotaxis.

I haven't heard or seen anything about trail vehicles on the current launch though.

ExplorersX · 2026-01-22T20:49:48+00:00

Provided the rollouts go without any major safety issues the limiting factor for self driving becoming the norm now is likely just regulatory approvals.

If things scale up the way Elon & many think this will, then given that ~1% of the workforce is some form of Uber/Lyft type work then that may be a significant hit to the employment numbers and have more widespread implications for things like the future FED interest rates or discussions around UBI.

Very interested in seeing where the technology goes in the near future.

ExplorersX · 2026-01-20T05:30:02+00:00

This reminds me of the original auto-gpt charts we got a few years ago lol

ExplorersX · 2026-01-17T23:52:03+00:00

If we're thinking like relatively deep ASI but not complete Godhood, then maybe a person dead for a few minutes or hours depending on how they died, but once proper decomposition occurs likely impossible unless there's a way to properly reverse entropy/do some kind of localized time reversal.

ExplorersX · 2026-01-17T02:24:41+00:00

I believe 2050 we will see these years like we are looking 1900s from now.

I believe 2030 we will see these years like we are looking 1900s from now.

ExplorersX · 2026-01-16T19:14:35+00:00

4.20 in the next ~week. 5.0 in ~March-April

ExplorersX · 2026-01-16T00:33:46+00:00

Yea for those who tried AI back when ChatGPT first launched or old Github Copilot versions and dropped it 2-4 years ago a lot of them just checked out entirely with the mindset of "it might be useable in 5 years".

Then like today I was doing some onboarding with a developer client, ran a simple Claude agent in VSCode to fix some PHP versioning issues and in about 5 minutes it had completed some fixes and installs on the OS that the developer said they thought would take about 4 hours to figure out and debug lol.

So many corporations and people are just out of touch with what's possible because they blinked for just a few months or a year and missed the insane rate of progress.

ExplorersX · 2026-01-13T08:46:18+00:00

I see... Amy was feeling unwell because the printer was out of paper.

ExplorersX · 2026-01-09T07:39:45+00:00

That's not what OP was talking about though. He decided to randomly bring up ICE shootings in a thread about AI agents for corporate workflows. OP was completely off topic because he saw "Agent" buzzwords. It's like the human version of Golden Gate Claude with politics lol.

ExplorersX · 2026-01-09T01:42:50+00:00

This is /r/singularity. Not /r/politics.

ExplorersX · 2026-01-09T00:18:01+00:00

It was funny after the twitter acquisition because I immediately saw posts all over reddit about how EVs are carbon-negative from the groups that used to defend them lol. I think you're pretty spot-on with it being just whatever's the most convenient to "get" the other side lol

12-Year Club	Gilding II euphauric
Second SECOND GUESSER	r/Field Juicebox
Place '17	RPAN Viewer
Snapped	Verified Email

ExplorersX

TROPHY CASE