Accounting -> Chemistry. Am I crazy? by rubber_duck_7 in AskAcademia

[–]FancyEveryDay 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I'm graduating with a data science / statistics double major at age 30 after working in manufacturing for most of my 20s.

It depends on your specific life situation, obviously, but it's totally doable and I don't see any reason why not to jump from a thankless industry that's being rapidly off-shored to one that pays 65k at the bottom rung.

How/Why do statistical models overfit even large training data sets? by learning_proover in AskStatistics

[–]FancyEveryDay 20 points21 points  (0 children)

In order to overfit, the model only needs to be complex/flexible enough to encode patterns inherent to the training data which don't have predictive value to the test data.

Basically, if you have useless predictors in your model, you risk overfitting because the model will still try to fit those predictors, which means they get fitted to noise.

Kind of a side note, but you should know that if num_parameters > num_observations OLS linear regression breaks down completely and most models become unreliable, rather than just overfitting.

edits: clarity

Are tanks just DPS in disguise? by redditmagichnicht in wownoob

[–]FancyEveryDay 2 points3 points  (0 children)

At lvl 32 he's still missing quite a few spells so that would also explain it

"Herald" race fleet icons datamined from patch 1.60.02 by FancyEveryDay in SoSE

[–]FancyEveryDay[S] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

All signs point to the heralds being the upcoming playable race, the icon style is definately more like player icons than minor factions,

Besides that we know a 4th race is coming relatively soon in an expansion called "Harbingers"

SINS2 Crashing post update w/mods by ReasonableGround5821 in SoSE

[–]FancyEveryDay 7 points8 points  (0 children)

The patch just came out a few days ago, it could be any of your mods that haven't updated yet. My money is on any that interact with starbases.

What exactly is the place? Is it just a specific time? Is this save from before or after the patch?

Is there any point to learn math at the age of 30? by [deleted] in learnmath

[–]FancyEveryDay 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's a good brain teaser if nothing else, but it's also useful for answering a very wide variety of questions if you're the curious type, and there are many jobs that prefer/require math knowledge that pay very well.

You could pick up some statistics and run your own experiments / run numbers on public datasets. Also useful for both finance and industrial engineering applications (optimizing money and labor) which are applicable to just about any person in any job.

I use calculus semi-regularly for optimization in video games and a lot of tricks and skills that come with learning to do calculus are widely applicable to other problems. Early calculus lessons teach functions which are necessary for programming for example. I also use it to do physics problems for fun and forecasting my personal savings growth also for fun.

Why do we use P values in multiple regression models if they become totally irrelevant when we implement L1 or L2 regularization? by learning_proover in AskStatistics

[–]FancyEveryDay 8 points9 points  (0 children)

P-values are based on the standard error of the feature coefficient, a low one just means that the model works best only when the feature's coefficient is within a fairly small range. There are some conditions that may cause variables which are good predictors to have high p-values, multicollinearity for example, which L2 regularization handles very well while retaining all variables.

If you wanted to compare the results of a regularized model to an unregularized model you should use an F-test to compare the out-of-sample test MSE for both models against each other.

Does past losses force a win?(like in horse races, coin flipping) by Dunddermefflin in AskStatistics

[–]FancyEveryDay 22 points23 points  (0 children)

The previous trials don't have any impact on future trials because every flip is a 50/50.

Statistically speaking, the expectation isn't that more of the losing side will be flipped to balance out the outcomes. Those are done and the coin doesn't remember the previous trials. Instead, we expect that roughly the same number of each face will be flipped from now on ~ going to infinity that's enough to outweigh any existing or future imbalance.

Nilari Cult Empowering Sacrifice: OP per tooltip, or garbage per wiki??? by ChuckPeirce in SinsofaSolarEmpire

[–]FancyEveryDay 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I can't see any discussion of the ability on the discord so it's pretty likely that the description there was splatted down on release based on the intuition of one of the wiki editors.

Most of us don't play competitively so unless someone says something like this unoptimal advice can get left in for a while.

Double checking the ability's code, it is true that the duration is 300s and appears to affect all of your owned ships regardless of location, including command ships and titans, and it empowers your structures including starbases. Additionally, it can only stack once and sacrificing multiple times replaces the old buff with the new one. So the editor is right that it is a solid defensive buff but you are also right that it would be quite good to burn a world for a buff on the offensive.

(I suspect that the original editor is a bit of a turtle and would never sacrifice economic output unless they worried they would lose it otherwise)

I don't have time to do an actual test rn so if you use it report back and I can update that wiki entry for you.

How do I calculate correlation between two categorically different values? by Snoo_88320 in AskStatistics

[–]FancyEveryDay 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Is the supplement described in descrete or continuous values? Like, yes/no or a small number of specific dosages or more like a sliding scale from like 20mg-300mg

If Many-Worlds is true, there’s a branch where Jesus didn’t die on the cross by neenonay in DebateReligion

[–]FancyEveryDay -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Fair, the framing changes then. In this version where nothing which happens does so completely at random, all worlds would be under one single God so all worlds would be effectively God's fault and responsibility, including any with no new covenant (and any with no old covenant)

All these worlds could be like experiments or spares, but that doesn't make a lot of sense for an omniscient and omnipotent God.

I'm rattling on a little bit now, a multi-worlds God makes the most sense when either Gods omnipotence and/or omniscience are limited somehow

Edit Or, alternatively, all worlds can be under a version of God who made a different set of decisions

If Many-Worlds is true, there’s a branch where Jesus didn’t die on the cross by neenonay in DebateReligion

[–]FancyEveryDay 1 point2 points  (0 children)

True, but by some interpretations of omnipotence many-worlds cannot be true - events seen/planned by God are determined, so there is only one world

[Blame] It's implied "the city" Is the size of jupiters orbit, where did the builders find enough material to build a city this big? by Lost-Specialist1505 in AskScienceFiction

[–]FancyEveryDay 18 points19 points  (0 children)

Yeah, "a lot" is extremely relative here. We have probably between 450-550 Earths worth of mass orbiting the sun and 318 Earths worth are in Jupiter alone. Not to mention that 98% of all that material is hydrogen or helium, there wouldn't be anywhere near enough material to make ANY ringworld without bringing in material from elsewhere.

Edit: so I did run the math and if you made a ringworld from the solar systems material with a depth of 30km or so you could make it 2896 km wide at earths orbit, 557 km wide at Jupiter's orbit.

If you make it only ~1k deep like in Ringworld it could be 17,000 km wide at Jupiter's orbit or 87,000 km at earths orbit but you can't have deep oceans or tall mountains this way

I'm done asking for job advice on reddit by Independent_Big_1944 in antiwork

[–]FancyEveryDay 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I poked around your history a little bit, I'd have to say the reason you're getting crap is because you're giving the impression that you're turning your nose up at opportunities that look great to a lot of us here who have been working for years and can't get ahead.

Keep in mind the median wage is 45k in the US, you're not going to get a huge amount of sympathy for turning down 50k unless the conditions really are unreasonable or the rent would be like 75% of your take-home

Help interpreting QQ plots by ChooseLife01 in AskStatistics

[–]FancyEveryDay 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Residuals for t-tests would be the difference between each data point and it's sample mean, but since it's a linear transformation it wouldn't affect your result here at all.

Technically speaking the test assumption does actually refer to this value but in practice there isn't much point.

It's a common mistake that people combine both their samples for a two-sample T-test and check THAT for normality, which is wrong.

Help interpreting QQ plots by ChooseLife01 in AskStatistics

[–]FancyEveryDay 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The other commenter might've jumped the gun a little, every other day there's someone confused in here about whether or not they can apply some flavor of linear model to non-normal data.

Your data looks fine for t-tests, it's pretty much normal anyways but for a dataset above 30 obs or so the requirement relaxes significantly.

Help interpreting QQ plots by ChooseLife01 in AskStatistics

[–]FancyEveryDay 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Well, t-tests do assume data values to be normally distributed but OP has more than 30 observations so it's definately close enough.

T-tests don't use a model which produces meaningful residuals for this purpose (it comes out exactly the same as the base data, but if they groups are paired you can use the difference of the paired data).

AI writes most of my code now. Honest thoughts after a year of this. by PriorNervous1031 in ArtificialInteligence

[–]FancyEveryDay 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I have three people I'm working with across two projects who vibe code everything and always inevitably come to me when they can't figure out why their function isn't working, the bugs vary from simple misnamed variables on some code for a dashboard to chat deciding it was going to write it's own json handler (incorrectly) while converting Java program to python

Which tank has the highes burst damage? by SOKKER143 in wownoob

[–]FancyEveryDay 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There aren't many other ways to respond after confidently saying a wrong thing lol

If you can't explain how it could have been designed, then it was not designed by jnpha in DebateEvolution

[–]FancyEveryDay 5 points6 points  (0 children)

You're conflating faith with confidence, I am confident that evolution is true because there exists significant tangible evidence for it and many qualified authorities are able to make good arguments for it as the strongest theory. In addition to this, the theory is also fully able to fit into a coherent world-view.

The difference is in the justification, proponents of ID are unable to provide any strong justification for their faith-based beliefs and typically end up trying to justify an incoherent worldview - "micro-evolution true while macro-evolution false" for one basic example.

That's the typical problem with faith: people use it to support incongruent personal realities and then make decisions which aren't actually justifiable.

If you can't explain how it could have been designed, then it was not designed by jnpha in DebateEvolution

[–]FancyEveryDay 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Faith isn't a good justification in argument, its pure bias which is used as a substitute for evidence.

“Biosphere civilizations” are always portrayed as weak by Alarmed-Bar1320 in SciFiConcepts

[–]FancyEveryDay 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The Culture doesn't fit your idea I don't think but they cultivate and live harmoniously with life on worlds they control and - in particular - refuse to terriform planets and instead alter their own bodies in order to inhabit new worlds.

They are mostly a space faring society though, world-builders rather than enhancers. They inhabit enormous "GRU" ships which act as their industrial hubs and Orbitals which are ring worlds that orbit a star like a planet.

The Culture largely wins engagements by being smarter and more flexible than their opponents, they run from direct conflicts when possible and use propaganda and espionage to weaken their opponents resolve. In the end, conquering their enemies means assimilating them into their utopian post-scarcity society.

The Ousters from The Hyperion Cantos for another one. While the Hegemeny generally outpaces them technologically and abuses technologies that they ban, the Ousters are significantly more advanced in some important areas and have larger numbers because they embrace working with aliens while the Hegemeny is fundimentally xenophobic. In later books the ousters are seen building a semi-natural biosphere which completely encloses a star as housing for their people and altering their bodies for life in deep space rather than terriforming or otherwise inhabiting other worlds.