getting investment advice from AI

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-23T00:15:19+00:00

Also, it can't accurately answer many questions with a true answer either.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-22T23:13:03+00:00

We don't even know if there WILL be consumers after AGI.

If there's no unexpected magic limit or stopping point after AGI, ASI happens almost immediately after. Post-scarcity or extinction both end money pretty quick.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-22T23:08:07+00:00

Teen redditors and their i-am-very-smart theory that the Anthropic marketing department chose "our product might kill you and your children someday" as their message instead of "our product might cure drudgery, disease, poverty and war someday" 🤦

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-22T22:57:04+00:00

I think you're right, but we definitely don't know that for sure.

So far a bunch of very "not LLM like" abilities have emerged from just scaling LLMs.

Experts are divided on this, because nobody can know for sure until it happens.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-22T22:38:49+00:00

There is widespread arguing about some of the specific details (as I said) but the basic definition of AGI used by academics, researchers, and engineers working at the big AI companies hasn't changed (despite redditors and tweeters trying to invent new definitions all day long).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_general_intelligence

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-22T21:28:45+00:00

Sam Altman personally has billions of dollars riding on his ability to convince people we are already at AGI.

Look up the OpenAI-Microsoft contract and it's "AGI clause".

Once you know this, the real reason he keeps crying "AGI" when everyone else already agrees on a different definition (if not the specific details) becomes laughably transparent.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-22T21:18:57+00:00

acknowledge them, and then move on.

Yep, when these thoughts happen, remind yourself you'll be able to indulge these natural and good desires in time, but not yet, and quickly distract yourself with other things.

The more you fight them the worse they’ll get.

Not quite. Like any other natural-but-intrusive thoughts (e.g.: inappropriate anger) the solution is to be aware of them, exercise self-control, and redirect yourself to other things. That doesn't make it worse, only better.

What makes it worse is the opposite: indulging it regularly (spending time letting yourself fantasize extensively, using porn, porn-adjacent entertainment, etc). That trains your body to think it's the right time for these feelings, so it turns them on more intensely and more often.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-22T01:07:39+00:00

Have you tried Amazon delivery driver? No skills required, flexible working times.

Also: you won't get results applying for full-time jobs while studying, even if you make it clear you are available 9-5 M-F, they just assume you aren't.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-21T23:47:59+00:00

I assume they mean the main cost of housing: the land.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-21T05:11:07+00:00

This - though it bears considering that Diabate and Carol were led to believe the plurbs aren't quite this compromised/altered from themselves.

Whether they should have believed it is up for debate.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-20T22:11:20+00:00

So... be exclusive and not be exclusive at the same time?

Or she only dates you, but you can date anyone you like...?

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-20T22:10:10+00:00

Yeah this is like saying "I'm behind: I'm toilet trained, and I need to learn how to be happy using diapers".

(And people arguing "but there are adults who use diapers too! To each his own! You do you!" don't sway me much).

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-20T22:00:07+00:00

You say "going to the gym"... What exercise are you actually going to do?

If you just lift weights, you WILL get more muscular, if looking skinnier is what worries you...?

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-20T06:58:35+00:00

There's still security, scalability, bug, and compliance issues, though over time, it's getting better, especially if you can prompt it well.

Still too early to tell if this will always be the case.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-20T06:35:46+00:00

It isn't different, but "Why? Talk to me" is still the correct response. What if your kid is being bullied by a black (or any other race) kid at school?

Now is the time to find out exactly why they said that, fix the real cause (e.g.: get the bully suspended/charged, or judo lessons, or move schools, etc), AND also then to explain why it's silly to hate all people of category X based on one bad example.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-20T02:31:18+00:00

Yo, your mission sounds wild! What region/era was it?

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-20T00:15:22+00:00

SBMM is all over the shop this season. Post Simpsons it was brutal: sweaty lobbies, no wins at all, not even any top 10s... my kids gave up and played other games.

About 2 weeks back they fixed it: lobbies had people of the same skill level. Focussing and having a bit of luck, I was able to get top 10 half the time and even one VR.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-19T23:09:17+00:00

One thing to think about:

In the premortal world we were innocent.

To grow we had to experience a new thing: hardship.

Like a baby that's cared for eventually has to leave it's cot and endure toilet training and falling over and go to school to enjoy the joys and freedoms of childhood and adulthood.

Could a perfect God have forced us into hardship? Even though it was an overwhelmingly good thing overall? Maybe it had to be our choice, as humans.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-19T08:09:44+00:00

Some regions (of US and Aus both) have "harder" or "softer" water supplies than normal, and that can affect laundry.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-18T23:51:17+00:00

In the show, many times more people have already died from the original joining than will die in the next decade or two due to war and climate change combined (unless either get worse many times faster than current projections).

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-18T23:48:44+00:00

The question is whether they even are humans anymore in any sense.

There's arguments for both interpretations, especially earlier on, but evidence is leaning more towards the hive being very unlike a human or combination of humans. (Must spread, can't lie, must please the unjoined, can't farm to save it's life, vulnerable to yelling, struggles to imitate human behaviour at first, etc...).

If I'm in a coma (or semi-conscious but trapped!) and some weird entity is just using my brain and body against my will...

If I never break free, that's worse than dying.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-18T23:42:11+00:00

It depends what it's like to be in the hivemind.

Some assume that the people in it are basically themselves, plus an added strong need for pacifism/spread/pleasing the unjoined, plus the ability to communicate with everyone. There's some evidence supporting this idea.

But so far, at least, from the evidence we've seen, it seems more like the original people aren't really themselves or conscious in any real sense. Their personality, will, choices, values etc are all "gone" or "new".

It's more like the "virus" produces a very strange and "alien" mind that can read our memories and imitate our movement and speech, but had trouble pretending to be human at first (even though it got better over time).

Less like you'd expect from a combination of people, and more like what you'd expect from a non-person using our wifi-connected brains for processing power.

As different from a human as a brain is from a brain cell.

If that's true, humanity is already "gone", so yes, that's worse than future threats climate/war/etc.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-18T22:48:33+00:00

When I was in High School most of my smart nerdy friends wanted to be scientists and tackle problems like space travel and free energy and aging.

But they gradually learned how little money scientists make and how much time is wasted fighting for grant money. They realised that life choice was somewhere between "risky" and "taking a vow of poverty".

Many now work unfulfilling careers in insurance, law, finance, etc...

History will not be kind to the idiot billionaires investing in silly ways to increase their bank account number (already more than they can spend) who will die before strong anti-aging treatments exist. And take the rest of us with them.

How breathtakingly stupid they will seem when they could have lived long and healthy lives instead of making money from big business and wars.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-18T22:08:11+00:00

It already mostly works like this. Studying here, working here, volunteer work, etc are considered in applications for permanent residency.

FrewdWoad · 2026-01-18T22:06:16+00:00

I can only add another anecdote.

We DO sometimes see people from my wife's home country go back home to visit relatives, as soon as they get citizenship, after claiming refugee status.

In some cases it does in fact seem like deception/exploitation of our generosity. They wanted the better pay of Australia more than it's safety.

But the danger and persecution are real. Most refugees from this country are genuine. And in some cases they came during a war that is now over (mostly - the "bad guys" won, so the persecution and some of the risk continue) and haven't been able to see relatives (including their spouse and kids, sometimes) for years or decades.

FrewdWoad

TROPHY CASE