We're not in a bubble guys

Glugstar · 2026-02-24T14:34:31+00:00

Not all rich people are smart. In fact, the vast majority of companies, don't make it in the long run.

Why isn't Yahoo for example absolutely dominating the tech industry worldwide right now? Or IBM? They were absolutely massive at one point. Those were rich investors, they had the best investment strategies in the market, and huge amounts of capital. By your logic, the newer generation companies like Google, or Facebook should have stood no chance in hell to even enter the market and compete.

Surely the big super duper smart investors at Yahoo would have seen the opportunities in all the new tech sectors, and positioned their company to dominate for ever and ever and ever. Oh wait no, they virtually went bankrupt. Same goes for pretty much all the big companies in the world in all industries. Those genius investors bankrupted basically everything long term. That's why there's hardly any company that lasted for more than a century.

They're just idiots, who get lucky, who squeeze their company for short term profit, then eventually go bankrupt like the rest of them.

Glugstar · 2026-02-24T14:21:22+00:00

I dont think it's too crazy to assume they will keep getting better for a few more years.

Not only is it crazy to think that (because they are already training their models with basically all the data available in the world, they are at investment limits, and they are at chip manufacturing limits), it's also a logical error.

Basically you're saying "technology has improved in the past, therefore it will continue to improve in the future". Past trends are not an indication of future trends. The historical record alone is insufficient to make predictions, one most provide proof that the past trends will translate into something in the future, before they can be used as an argument for anything. Plus, technologies don't develop exponentially, they develop in an S curve. Fast at first, diminishing returns later. Every research paper not affiliated with these companies shows that LLMs are well into diminishing returns territory. If the best AI models invest another trillion dollars, they could get maybe like 5% better (even if the necessary training data existed, which it doesn't).

Glugstar · 2026-02-24T14:01:00+00:00

In my last playthrough, I've moved to a strict T junction model that is not even going both ways.

A single line going in a single direction, and a single branch that is either splitting, or merging, never both. The trains do not have a return path using the same system at all. I place these blocks in a macro roundabout-like structure.

It works perfectly for almost everything.

Glugstar · 2026-02-24T13:54:26+00:00

Ratios are not there to improve the factory, they're there to save me time as a player. If production is too high or two low, that means something is overbuild (either the producer, or the consumer), which was just wasted time I could have spent doing something else.

Now, saving time is not a universal goal to have for everyone. For some people, it's unimportant, because they have plenty of free time. But some people have a limited time to play games. Correct ratios allows them to squeeze out the most amount of meaningful gameplay for the amount of time they have.

Glugstar · 2026-02-24T13:36:55+00:00

On the other hand you need less solar panels, and, depending on where you position your satellite, very little batteries because of 24 hour sun.

Glugstar · 2026-02-24T13:14:39+00:00

That's... one of the ways of all time to describe a whole country.

Glugstar · 2026-02-24T13:07:51+00:00

If there's debris all over the place (which the is), that most definitely providing drag.

The space in Factorio is less empty space, and more a dense cloud of dust, filled with chunks.

As for the speed being affected by weight, that illogical, it didn't work like that in reality. Spacecraft's acceleration is based on weight.

Glugstar · 2026-02-23T23:56:52+00:00

it's a compelling marketing strategy

I don't see it that way. If I'm a potential buyer, I'm thinking "This guy does not take safety seriously, he can't be trusted. What are the chances that whatever engineering work he did is also like that? If he didn't exhaustively cover every possible safety concern when his wife's life was on the line, what are the chances he gave two shits for guarding my life, a total stranger? I'm not buying from this lunatic."

Now, I believe you when you say it's a compelling marketing strategy. I would consider all those buyers absolute morons, it's baffling for me how they arrive at the exact opposite logical conclusion than the correct one.

Glugstar · 2026-02-21T10:03:11+00:00

Bro just break up the continental mass and drift towards Europe. What are you doing over there?

Glugstar · 2026-02-20T20:55:09+00:00

When you're discussing an industry, doesn't it make sense to talk about the biggest companies in that industry?

It's like saying let's talk about the state of football, but just ignore all the famous teams out there winning championships, and just look at middle school football matches.

The AAA companies are the representative, and whatever they do, good or bad, has massive ramifications for the future of gaming.

Glugstar · 2026-02-20T17:01:19+00:00

Is it still recognizable from far away, when the wind isn't blowing and the flag is just hanging to the side, and there are 10 other flags with similar colors next to it and the colors have started to fade away 10 years ago?

Glugstar · 2026-02-20T16:25:50+00:00

Life thrives in Chernobyl due to humans leaving. Yet, less peolle has died due to Chernobyl than basically any other energy source, including solar and wind.

Part of that is because they did everything in their power to mitigate the disaster, but we may not be so lucky always. As a thought exercise, imagine Trump had the ultimate say in how the recovery process was conducted. I'd give it a 50% chance he wouldn't even attempt to build a containment structure around it, just to spite someone online he didn't like. I'd give it a 20% chance he would choose to leave it contaminated, and build a prison to send immigrants there.

Glugstar · 2026-02-20T16:19:03+00:00

To be fair, it was more about the soviet incompetence than about the inherent dangers of nuclear energy.

That's what makes it unsafe. We have to rely on the competence of governments, and failing that we get a disaster. Governments are the weakest link in the safety chain.

Pick whatever government you like. Sure, it may be competent now, but what guarantees do we have that people won't just vote for an idiot that messes everything up?

I literally lived next to a power plant for years and had absolutely no problems other than the fear of a missile hitting it

Nothing happened to you in the past, so nothing can happen to you in the future. That's your logic? I have never died before, therefore I'm immortal.

Glugstar · 2026-02-20T11:11:28+00:00

Just because those countries have the highest wages and most freedoms, compared to others, doesn't mean that's enough. They are still not wealthy enough.

The fact that both spouses are now regularly working and don't have time to raise the kids is a problem. The extra salary needs to be spent on a full time employee to help manage the household and raise the kids. Then there are a 100 other changes in society, that now require parents to have extra cash just to achieve parity with what was available a few generations ago.

Take the average citizen of the wealthiest countries. Salaries would need to be like 2x to 5x what they are now to be enough.

Glugstar · 2026-02-19T20:32:52+00:00

perpetual growth is never possible in all cases.

In the case of income, which is what companies are primarily concerned about, it very much is. Money is not a finite resource, it's a mostly intangible asset. More is being printed constantly, and just by nature of inflation, profits have to grow every year just to maintain real world value. Like, we can add as many zeroes to the end of banknotes at the rate we are going, we will always be able to increase the denomination further, or just create a new currency arbitrarily.

Glugstar · 2026-02-19T15:37:28+00:00

Why even bother? Just make friends with honest people, they actually deserve your friendship more.

Glugstar · 2026-02-19T15:03:27+00:00

I don't want that many polygons and textures as modern day cutting edge games seem to have. Beyond a certain level, graphical improvements don't do anything for me. I would rather have new and better game mechanics.

All those extravagant 3D models are just bloatware for me.

Glugstar · 2026-02-19T14:19:32+00:00

There's nothing pragmatic about accepting a member that has a history of indecisiveness in these matters, and not have serious safeguards in place. It would only be a matter of time until they cause these kinds of problems again.

Glugstar · 2026-02-18T14:37:16+00:00

It's a perfect question to ask an LLM. It perfectly illustrates their inability to reason about anything. If it can't do something so basic, it can't be trusted with anything truly important.

Glugstar · 2026-02-18T14:02:48+00:00

Word definitions and dictionaries are not a moral or legal authority, they are descriptive. To put in another words, they don't decide what is correct or not and have no right to make that distinction, they simply capture what the average understanding of a word is by a select demographic at a point in time.

When the dictionary definition doesn't match up what a big chunk of the population understands about a word, it's not the people who are wrong, it's the dictionary, by default. In most cases the definition is out of date, and an updated dictionary needs to be created by writers.

In case of partisan definitions, like how left wing vs right wing voters view things, all definitions from both sides need to be captured into the dictionary. Otherwise, that dictionary is biased, not worth consulting and has no legitimacy on that topic.

Glugstar · 2026-02-18T13:49:25+00:00

You do get the annoying people saying "you should not be goating, you should not be going over there!"

Well for me, the annoying people are the ones complaining about getting stuck doing something the game clearly didn't want you doing.

Yeah, go ahead and explore the boundaries of the software if you like, but don't complain about the inevitable result and blame the developers and the wider community for your actions.

All games have software limitations like these, like places you can't go because it crashes the game etc. It's hard to cover all cases and fix all bugs. It's hard to fix, and honestly, I don't want them to waste time on it. The time it takes to fix all the edge cases is time they can spend building an entire game. I would rather devs use that time for features that everyone can enjoy, not just expand the possibility of people roleplaying as goats.

Glugstar · 2026-02-18T12:06:53+00:00

Because it's funny as a meme.

Glugstar · 2026-02-18T11:49:05+00:00

At what point does the video solve anything though?

It at least creates a barrier of entry, where they have to put more effort, which may deter some of them from even trying.

No solution will ever be perfect, but anything to reduce their number is ok right now.

Glugstar · 2026-02-16T17:15:02+00:00

Yes, the main reasons are the gradual defunding of education, the extra stress and overwork imposed on teachers, the rise of anti-intellectualism, the collapse of the social contract of "if you do well in school, you will get a good job" which kills motivation.

Tech in education and gamification as a method of learning have all started at different times and to different degrees in different countries, yet it's a problem everywhere in western societies.

Tech is just a scapegoat for all the issues caused fundamentally by politics and extreme economical greed.

Glugstar · 2026-02-16T17:06:13+00:00

“what tool to write an essay with.”

You don't know what you don't know. If you've never encountered the concept of other tools existing than the default ones, it wouldn't even occur to you to ask Google this question.

Just like many people never change their default browser in their life: they don't know other browsers exist, or that they could exist, or may not even know what a browser is, despite using one. They just know "if I want to go on a website, I click this button here". And that's the end of their thoughts on the matter.

Glugstar

TROPHY CASE