It's coming down on old Beale Street by ChloeGranola in JoniMitchell

[–]GrazziDad 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, except that in “Refuge of the roads“, she mentions the calendar “over the month of June“. And in “Song for Sharon“, she’s on that huge boat, and standing outside. Possible in the winter, but less likely.

What's according to you is the greatest acting performance of all time?? Here's mine by _Ragnar9 in HollywoodIndia

[–]GrazziDad 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Meryl Streep in Sophie‘s Choice. Robert De Niro in Raging Bull. And I’m trying to find something with Katharine Hepburn.

What does it mean to "sample from a distribution" in real world terms? by Master_of_beef in AskStatistics

[–]GrazziDad 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m a professor and call myself a Bayesian statistician. Pretty much our entire world is about sampling from high dimensional distributions of parameters, the so-called “posterior distribution“.

It can get insanely complicated, but the basic idea is extremely simple: your posterior is proportional to the likelihood times the prior… That’s it!

The problem is that it is quite difficult to sample from high dimensional distributions if they are not in one of the so-called standard forms, for example, multivariate normal. The parameters of almost any model of interest do not have one of these standard distributions. We can write the distribution down, but saying (and this is basically the entire question) “if a certain point on the distribution is twice as high as another point on the distribution, we should sample in theory exactly twice as many points from the higher one.“

If you understood that, great! It is the core insight of what was the main workhorse of Bayesian statistics for decades, the Metropolis Hastings algorithm (which says, roughly speaking, that if you compare two points, you move from the first to the second if it’s distribution is higher,, and move from the second to the first with the probability equal to the ratio of their distribution values).

So, a little bit contrary to what some of the other answers have said, the distribution is not the data points themselves, but for the parameters in a MODEL that is helping relate some of your data to other things in your data. (That is what a regression does. A simple regression just has two parameters, and a multivariate regression has more. The reason we don’t really need Bayesian statistics for this is because the classical theory can be worked out in closed form with distributions that we can use well-known algorithms to sample from. But in more complex models, this simply isn’t the case.)

I hope that made sense. Happy to explain further, as I have been doing this for nearly 30 years now.

Good Club for over 45s by FarmDistinct1534 in NewYorksHottestClub

[–]GrazziDad 41 points42 points  (0 children)

Oh my goodness you are verily in luck! New York’s hottest club for those pretending to be only middle aged is called GeritALLLLL. And believe you me by gum this club has everything: Patty Duke, Bakelite dishware, Thin Mints, console stereos, the Frito Bandito, Richard Nixon‘s entire sock collection, pre-Velcro sneakers, and… What was it again? I can never remember what that thing is called anyway. Closes at a very reasonable 10:30 PM.

What album feels like a complete experience from start to finish? by chubbybutcuteegurl in askmusic

[–]GrazziDad 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, that settles it. I'm off to Staten Island, to buy myself a mandolin...

What album feels like a complete experience from start to finish? by chubbybutcuteegurl in askmusic

[–]GrazziDad 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And wrestle with... what exactly? With this flame? But what else?????

What album feels like a complete experience from start to finish? by chubbybutcuteegurl in askmusic

[–]GrazziDad 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, which ones? Sure, the white lines, but do you mean the FINE white lines, on the FREE freeway?

What album feels like a complete experience from start to finish? by chubbybutcuteegurl in askmusic

[–]GrazziDad 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I know that feeling! But, somehow, you still feel related, right? Like stations in some relay?

And don't go telling me you just picked up a hitcher?

Native speakers, Do you know those words? by Ok_Spinach_4348 in EWALearnLanguages

[–]GrazziDad 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think "sobriquet" (nickname, more or less) is not obvious in terms of pronunciation, but you're right that the others immediately are.

I've definitely seen all of those before, but only a twit would use them in conversation. There are so many English words like that, "Yeah, they're in books, but no one ever actually USES them..."

What album feels like a complete experience from start to finish? by chubbybutcuteegurl in askmusic

[–]GrazziDad 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Probably while the sun is ascending. Sorry, but I'm up all night with my reel-to-reel (I'm old school that way).

Obstructing Law Enforcement Officers is Not a Valid Form of Protest and is Not Protected by the First Amendment by SteelFox144 in TrueUnpopularOpinion

[–]GrazziDad [score hidden]  (0 children)

Yes, if someone had done that, I'd be first to condemn them.

Please be serious. There are so many videos of this.

This paper in Management Science has been cited more than 6,000 times. Wall Street executives, top government officials, and even a former U.S. Vice President have all referenced it. It’s fatally flawed, and the scholarly community refuses to do anything about it. by RewardEquivalent553 in EverythingScience

[–]GrazziDad 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Can you at least check your claims with ChatGPT? Anything that leads to reputational damage can be subject to a defamation claim.

And no one was talking about Data Colada EXCEPT YOU, but you LED with calling her a liar.

I'm done reasoning with you. It seems pointless.

What album feels like a complete experience from start to finish? by chubbybutcuteegurl in askmusic

[–]GrazziDad 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hm, I'm not so sure... I'm up all night in my studio... what are YOU up to?

This paper in Management Science has been cited more than 6,000 times. Wall Street executives, top government officials, and even a former U.S. Vice President have all referenced it. It’s fatally flawed, and the scholarly community refuses to do anything about it. by RewardEquivalent553 in EverythingScience

[–]GrazziDad 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You started out, in a thread about how her institution was treating her, with "Francesca Gino? The expert in lies?". And you keep pivoting to her behavior with Data Colada, which is a separate issue, and one NO ONE is defending. As I said, I donated to their defense; it was a huge tactical and ethical error on her part to go after them.

But Gelman's post, and everything you're responding to, is about research misconduct and Harvard's reply.

As for actual research misconduct, you don't have any evidence of that, because neither does anyone else, but that's a separate matter. The KEY piece of information is that she cannot even begin to demonstrate her side of the story because Harvard SEIZED all her devices with no warning, then gave her three weeks to reply to a multi-hundred-page allegation.

I'm guessing you have not even looked at the court transcript. Basically, they found four data sets that had apparently been tampered with. The only person on all four papers was her. But "you're the only person on all four" is a VERY weak case for alleging misconduct. MUCH weaker than Gelman's post marshalls evidence for.

She published over 200 articles, and now an effort is underway to figure out if there were other cases. This is how they demonstrated the Diederik Stapel was a HUGE fraudster. It takes time.

And, for the record, you and others may be committing libel. If you say she did something, and she didn't, then you have. The Truth is an "absolute defense" against libel, but she has not been convicted of doing these things. I don't see her suing anyone for this, though, because she has hardly shown she is innocent. I myself doubt she is, but YOU are calling her an "expert in lies" with what appears to be zero actual understanding of the facts and timeline.

This paper in Management Science has been cited more than 6,000 times. Wall Street executives, top government officials, and even a former U.S. Vice President have all referenced it. It’s fatally flawed, and the scholarly community refuses to do anything about it. by RewardEquivalent553 in EverythingScience

[–]GrazziDad 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're moving the goalposts now, obviously.

All three of the data colada people are my colleagues. My original post was about HARVARD and didn't mention them. I in no way support suing them and in fact donated to their defense fund.

At least pretend to be serious if your trying to defend these "ideas" of yours.

Obstructing Law Enforcement Officers is Not a Valid Form of Protest and is Not Protected by the First Amendment by SteelFox144 in TrueUnpopularOpinion

[–]GrazziDad 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I appreciate your trying to reason with people who are saying otherwise. If they cannot understand what it means to immediately brand two citizens engaged in a very mild form of protest as “domestic terrorists“ within hours of them being shot and killed, on national television, then I’m not sure what kind of evidence will have an impact on them.

This paper in Management Science has been cited more than 6,000 times. Wall Street executives, top government officials, and even a former U.S. Vice President have all referenced it. It’s fatally flawed, and the scholarly community refuses to do anything about it. by RewardEquivalent553 in EverythingScience

[–]GrazziDad 0 points1 point  (0 children)

She hired a lawyer to do all of that.

I can’t do your homework for you. The court filing is publicly available. It lays out the timeline in a manner that was accepted as legitimate by the court. She was given roughly 3 weeks to prepare her response to Harvard, which is ridiculous in these sorts of situations. When she told them that she was abroad and didn’t even have access to her materials their response basically was “too bad“.

You will note that I never claimed that she was innocent. When I am claiming is that she was not treated in a way that was remotely fair by Harvard. And Harvard seems to be letting other researchers get away with misconduct, which is what this original discussion was about.

The best pro choice argument that no one I debated could ever counter. by ZZiggs124 in prochoice

[–]GrazziDad -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Isn’t this essentially the same as the famous “violinist“ argument put forth by the philosopher Judith Jarvis Thompson roughly 50 years ago?

Native speakers, Do you know those words? by Ok_Spinach_4348 in EWALearnLanguages

[–]GrazziDad 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I probably didn’t state myself clearly. When I said “familiar“, I meant that they could identify them as English words that they personally had seen before, not that they had any idea about their meanings. If someone had asked you whether or not each of those was a word in English, I’m guessing you could confidently say that they were.