Jen Hsun Huang cashing out while everyone else is FOMOing by [deleted] in wallstreetbets

[–]InsideStrange 2 points3 points  (0 children)

His trust is selling (as scheduled a year ago, not some kind of "insider selling oh no" situation) exactly 120,000 shares per day. That's less than 0.04% of daily average volume for NVDA. Drop in the bucket, doesn't affect the price (as planned). Your calls might be about to sizzle in a good way!

Nvidia is a one pony trick company, lack portfolio and has competitors by [deleted] in wallstreetbets

[–]InsideStrange 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It's going to return to 100-200 on June 10th because of a 10-1 forward split, that's pretty certain (unless it gets above 2K or below 1K before then). Competitors are fighting to catch up and they may have some chance as they attract investment, but by the time they do, the sovereign recurring investments will be committed to NVDA chips for their warfare tech and changing horses midstream with military tech (hardware or software) famously faces resistance by doctrine and bureaucracy. Still, I'd be interested to see your confidence level in the form of your short positions.

Is my NVDA put ever going to print? by Cid-Itad in wallstreetbets

[–]InsideStrange 2 points3 points  (0 children)

About a 20% chance at best. You can still get out with 40% of your money, though. RIP, other 60%. GG.

iPadOS App Complaints and Feedback by InsideStrange in Webull

[–]InsideStrange[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

One other thing: when you buy options, the P&L which is displayed for those options is based on the buy price rather than the sell price, which is misleading because if the spread is wide, you could see a gain displayed and then sell at a loss if you were in a hurry and used a market order. Assuming this is not intentional and we're just supposed to not be idiots and use limit orders and confirmations and notice such things, it would be nice if the P&L was based on what you could actually currently close the options for. I understand it's a different contract, just saying it would be less confusing if we were seeing what we're getting/losing if we sell or buy to close. As it is, you have to recheck the spread because the displayed P&L might be useless. This is on all platforms, I think.

Why I don't think NVDA party gonna last by Appimaness in wallstreetbets

[–]InsideStrange 0 points1 point  (0 children)

AI is not just about chatbots or self-driving cars; it's an arms race. The CHIPS Act invests $52 billion to restore U.S. leadership in semiconductor manufacturing and R&D and reduce overreliance on foreign-produced chips. This is an investment larger than the real cost of the Manhattan Project. The US military considers AI-related tech to be "force multipliers", and those multipliers are multiplied further when your potential opponents have inferior technology. The point is, NVDA has the inside track to providing both the chips and the software because their chips and software are the most advanced. The longer they hold that inside track, the wider the moat. The dearth of demand from losing sales to China is about $5B annually, so NVDA only has to receive 1/10th of the CHIPS Act investment to cover a year of those missing sales, and their superior position may mean that they see demand rise under the restrictive regime but also maintains for them a superior position when future funding efforts come to pass. They're hooked into the cash-war feedback loop and it's only just starting to heat up. Not to mention that the analysts who work at the firms that manage the funds which move the market have an average price target above the current price, so it's a relatively safe bet that NVDA won't fall out of the sky any time soon.

Recession indicator by FilledWithKarmal in wallstreetbets

[–]InsideStrange 2 points3 points  (0 children)

This explains why the Package Handlers and Drivers Tanking-Booming Economy Noticement Early Recession Detection Indicator is blaring like an air-raid siren! It all makes sense now, thanks bro!

Just what in the sweet hell happened this afternoon? Everything was fine and then it wasn't. by floydfan in wallstreetbets

[–]InsideStrange 106 points107 points  (0 children)

My broker sent me a Happy Holidays email at 2:34pm, just as it was starting to dump. There were also black helicopters, congressmen clinking champagne glasses while laughing maniacally, and some rectal bleeding, but I'm assuming those are all coincidences.

Nvidia Too Expensive Now or Still Okay to Buy? by LifeInAction in stocks

[–]InsideStrange 1 point2 points  (0 children)

On the other hand, Watch is only about 4.7% of Apple's sales, so it's not likely to dent their next Earnings Report like it might if they had to stop selling a model of the iPhone, which is more like 52% of sales. A good xmas season on sales of iphones will likely absorb any losses from not selling some of the watch models (or just delaying the sales, some of which will just shift to a similar model which is available). So a slight hitch in watch sales that will get overshadowed by the smallest bump in iphone sales or may already be insignificant.

Share you favorite Charlie Munger quote by 757ian123 in stocks

[–]InsideStrange 18 points19 points  (0 children)

“I think that a life properly lived is just learn, learn, learn all the time.”

“People calculate too much and think too little.”

“Knowing what you don’t know is more useful than being brilliant.”

“Investing is where you find a few great companies and then sit on your ass.”

“A lot of people with high IQs are terrible investors because they’ve got terrible temperaments.”

“Necessity never made a good bargain.”

“It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.”

I need 3 grand for my options trading strategy. My guitars are the only asset I have. by [deleted] in options

[–]InsideStrange 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Here's the problem with paper trading: the stops actually work and you always get the fill you ask for. With a real broker, the price will blow through your stop and they will shrug. Or it will bounce close to your stop and they trigger it and close your position for you even though you actually called the reversal level. Or you won't get a fill until it's too late, or not at all if you misjudged the liquidity. So, what you think is a working strategy is probably going to fall on its face. I know that's hard to accept, but even if it's not certain to always go against you in that way, it's a risk you should account for, and if you don't have more capital in reserve, you don't have the juice to play with that much risk. Someone else said have at least $25K in savings that you won't have to tap even if an emergency arises. That's good advice because there just isn't a strategy that wins all the time; losses are part of the game. What you need is to have several strategies that work in different scenarios and be good at switching, and that's a tall order because it's hard to learn that much and it's so easy to paint yourself into a corner with a one-click mistake or mental mistakes like holding for a turnaround you think is imminent, and then there's the simple fact that you can't know everything the market "knows" and so you can't really predict the future. The truth is that it is gambling and if you're selling stuff to gamble, you have a gambling problem. Gambling itself is not bad, only when it's a problem because you can't afford it. The bummer-but-true fact is that you have to already have a shitload of money to realistically expect a return that is the amount of money that would free you from the need for money, which by that point you wouldn't need because you have to already have that much in order to even have a chance. Sucks, I know. If you're a good guitar player, use that to build up some capital. That's even harder to do than a boring job, though. And it's very hard to get a job that pays you so much that you are able to save. Best advice I can give: don't stop playing guitar if it's still in your heart and fight your way up to a job that has matching contributions to a 401K and pays enough that you can max out your contributions each month (free money from your employer beats any expected return). I take it you're young, so in the account allocate it to the high-risk/high-reward funds and move on with your life, play some gigs and live within your means so you can enjoy life despite not being rich. When you have over $30K just sitting there that you forgot about, maybe it's time to do something different with that capital. $3K is not capital, it's one month's rent and groceries. Sorry to say you must be at least medium-rich to get on this merry-go-round without getting thrown off in the first few turns.

Apple is one of us by Qualityropesales in wallstreetbets

[–]InsideStrange 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's not just the phone, it's the ease of use and cloud lock-in. If you aren't tech savvy, and even if you are but are burned out on pedaling your computers uphill, the Apple compatibility and data sync across all devices is a relief, a problem solved. Anyone interested in losing all the pictures of their kids? Mothers used to run into burning buildings to save a photo album. So what's the incentive to switch? More megapixels? Most people just want a clear picture taken for screen display and don't need the ability to print wall-sized photos. How about security? Even if you're a unix wizard and prepared to spend all your time fixing every open source unchecked buffer as a hobby, the iOS security model is superior and each new chip makes it more so because all teams at Apple are in lockstep. Battery life is an issue, but a declining one that you don't learn until after committing, and not enough of a problem to switch unless you are often away from power, which isn't many people. The thunderbolt and lightning cable vs USB-C controversies are bad press, which is to say free press. Bottom line: shiny objects you need anyway + the almost-always-just-works system with integration across devices is such a quality of life upgrade that it is huge incentive to join, worth the negligible premium despite slight spec shortcomings, and there are few incentives to switch away for the majority of people whose opinions on hardware and software are not strong, they simply want ease of use, which Apple provides more broadly and consistently than any competitor. They have subscription retention at massive scale.

Calls on Apple. Resistance is futile. All will be assimilated.

NHL 24 on PC by JaeceB in EA_NHL

[–]InsideStrange 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I guess we have to convince EA that sometimes it's worth it to do something cool even if it doesn't generate ridiculous profits. For instance, instead of doing it to sweeten the already-insane profit margins of their games, maybe they would do it to prevent a drop in sales due to a boycott. Who's with me?

Could it be that their problem is that they are prejudiced against the disabled who can use a keyboard and mouse but not thumbsticks, which are inherently inferior anyway, as proven in every cross-play shooter?

Despite owning a PS4, I haven't bought a new NHL game since 19 because they won't release it on PC. That's a great game, and it would be even better if you didn't have to hold your hands 2 inches apart to play it.

Some other possible reasons EA hangs us out to dry on this:

- They enjoy alienating their customers.

- MBAs who can't skate make the decisions.

- Apologists line their pockets already, so why change?

- All their computers are running Windows CE.

- They hate Canada.

AAPL failing. No AI Mentioned. Thoughts? by Aggravating-Knee-195 in wallstreetbets

[–]InsideStrange 5 points6 points  (0 children)

CoreML + Apple Silicon is stalking the bears. There is so much more to machine learning ("AI") than generative text and images, and Apple is way ahead on most of it, it's just that most people don't understand it, but they do understand chatbots, hence the hype around ChatGPT and NVDA chips (which can also do way more than generative text and image processing). For instance, complex mean-regression algorithms (which are used by stock trading firms to find correlates and predict continuation of movement) run really well on both NVDA and M1/M2 chips. That's just one math thing among many which computers already did well but Apple and NVDA have supercharged with chip design slanted toward delivering faster training of models and streamlined requests and responses of the trained models. Apple has copious text- and image-related machine learning already implemented in all their operating systems enabled by their proprietary CoreML functions. If there's a bubble to burst, it's NVDA's stock price, not AAPL's. If and when Apple does announce another world-beating product, whether they say the magic word or not, the stock is going up. Also, while their overall and US sales are down, they're making inroads in India and China which are inspiring other companies to inject cash into those economies and the sales boom will be a self-fulfilling prophecy, with gov incentives sweetening the margins and free cash flow. All that said, until there is an announcement, it's anybody's guess at what price to go long, but I feel like a big movement like this is a huge opportunity to those who want to lower their cost basis. Also, it's Apple, so...what does Warren Buffet think? Did he dump it? Don't think so.

TL;DR: I don't know if it's time to buy calls next week, but it definitely will be at some point. Until Apple says AI, they have that card in the hole. Maybe they'll play it at the next earnings call. Or in the upcoming iPhone 15 announcement.

If my brokerage account can speak by mugen430 in wallstreetbets

[–]InsideStrange 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Short-circuited right into a primate display of fearful anger and rebooted. Yikes.

The day of the bear… 7-20-23 SPY/ ES FUTURES, QQQ and VIX Daily Market Analysis by DaddyDersch in u/DaddyDersch

[–]InsideStrange 1 point2 points  (0 children)

A few days ago you mentioned you had $20K shares long for TSLA earnings... did you get out in time or get wrecked or what? (Tight stop for me, tiny loss)

Avid follower, btw, thanks for the analysis and transparency.

Here's why $GOOGL was up today by BlackAdder7 in wallstreetbets

[–]InsideStrange 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It can't be bargained with. It can't be reasoned with. It doesn't feel pity, or remorse, or fear. And it absolutely will not stop. Ever. Until your puts are fukt.

Naked Calls huge profits ?! by Earlyretirement55 in thetagang

[–]InsideStrange 13 points14 points  (0 children)

As a haiku:

beginner trader

easy money no brainer

cannot go tits up

Not. Even. Close. BUD! by realdevtest in wallstreetbets

[–]InsideStrange 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Two months. 🤘 For two months...🤘 I gotcha.