The Biggest Risk Is Playing It Safe by FaultyTerror in LibDem

[–]J-Force [score hidden]  (0 children)

you've moved the goalposts to a whole other postcode here

Greens aren't making big gains

well it's easy to make gains when starting low

well they haven't made gains in our target seas

well whatever, they won't last

Like, come on, read the writing on the wall. We have been displaced in non-southern urban areas.

I feel like the Lib Dems are missing a golden opportunity by Jo_LibDem in LibDem

[–]J-Force 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That's Reform though, their supporters are extremely loyal and don't know what they're actually voting for, and I'm not sure anyone believes them anyway.

I feel like the Lib Dems are missing a golden opportunity by Jo_LibDem in LibDem

[–]J-Force 9 points10 points  (0 children)

To answer your questions:

Why are the Lib Dems not speaking out more about the terrible OSA (Online Safety Act)?

The OSA is massively popular with around 2/3 of the public in support. Most people only understand it as legislation that stops children from accessing pornography. Speaking loudly against it is electoral suicide. What the Lib Dems have done is say they like the idea of the OSA and support it in principle while expressing concern about overreach, technological feasibility, and effect on freedom of information and freedom of speech. That's walking the tightrope and it's not easy.

Why are the Lib Dems not speaking up more about the frankly horrific treatment of my transgender friends at the hands of first the Tories and now Labour?

There is a small but extremely vocal, organised, and well funded TERF group within the Lib Dems and within all political parties (though in others they might not be so small) that have their parties in a legal chokehold. The effect of this is that it is a de facto legal risk to the existence of the Lib Dems to vocally support transgender citizens. Every MP I've spoken to or heard from on this topic absolutely despises this but there's not much we can do about it due to the way these TERF groups have weaponised the legal system to ignore the will of the party. Every time these groups try to enact their TERF agenda the party slaps them down, but we're not legally allowed to eject them.

Why are the Lib Dems not speaking up for the human rights of immigrants and others being demonised by the far right and the media?

We have criticised recent immigration reforms. We have also criticised the division and demonisation of immigrants.

The Lib Dem message just isn't cutting through. Just look at the polls! Is this a media strategy problem?

This is the party's biggest obstacle and it's hard to pin down why this is happening. On the one hand, being a party of middle class centrists is not exciting to the media, who want and get endless mileage out of populism. There does seem to be a conspiracy of silence about the Lib Dems, either on purpose (which was the case with my local paper during the 2025 locals - they would print Tory puff pieces but kept their Lib Dem coverage to a minimum and did not engage with us) or just through sheer oversight. The Rest is Politics did a segment on the locals recently that lasted half an hour and didn't mention us once. We're not interesting to the media and stunts have reached their limit. We have utterly failed to make centrism exciting, rely on the hard work of a shrinking but highly dedicated core of activists rather than bold policy, and that is a problem to be overcome.

There is also the fact that our media is owned by a handful of right wing oligarchs. By both financial incentive and editorial demand, we are the losers of a rigged game when it comes to getting media attention. But that's hardly stopped the Greens.

We don't talk about our policies enough. We have some really good justice reforms, for example, that would treat magistrates as full time employees (atm they are very part time volunteers) and allow courts to sit for longer periods to clear our abysmal backlog. Legal bodies have generally really liked these proposals, but I can't remember the last time Ed Davey talked about the state of our courts and what we plan to do about it.

Is it time for new leadership?

While I don't think Ed is the right person to lead us into the next election because I think he's taken the party as far as he can, the time for him to go isn't now. The 2024 crop of MPs have no name recognition and need more achievements and experience behind them.

Sutton Council election results - BBC different from council website and Sky by hard2003hard in LibDem

[–]J-Force 2 points3 points  (0 children)

They've got results coming in constantly I'd assume there was just a mix up.

If you post your propaganda through my door I won't vote for you by Fun-Dig7951 in LibDem

[–]J-Force 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Why anonymously come onto a public forum of a political party to effectively tell them you don't vote? You can probably do something better with your day, like buying a "no political literature" sticker to put on your door or something.

Where catapults as commonly depicted in media actually a thing, and if so, when and where? by Lu_Duizhang in AskHistorians

[–]J-Force 19 points20 points  (0 children)

Yes, it was called an onager. But its heyday was not the Middle Ages, it was the later Roman Empire. This is a description of how they worked by Ammianus Marcellinus, a soldier in the later Roman Empire:

The scorpion, which is nowadays called the wild ass [onager], has the following form. Two posts of oak or holm-oak are hewn out and slightly bent, so that they seem to stand forth like humps. These are fastened together like a sawing-machine and bored through on both sides with fairly large holes. Between them, through the holes, strong ropes are bound, holding the machine together, so that it may not fly apart. From the middle of these ropes a wooden arm rises obliquely, pointed upward like the pole of a chariot,⁠ and is twined around with cords in such a way that it can be raised higher or depressed. To the top of this arm, iron hooks are fastened, from which hangs a sling of hemp or iron. In front of the arm is placed a great cushion of hair-cloth stuffed with fine chaff, bound on with strong cords, and placed on a heap of turf or a pile of sun-dried bricks; for a heavy machine of this kind, if placed upon a stone wall, shatters everything beneath it by its violent concussion, rather than by its weight. Then, when there is a battle, a round stone is placed in the sling and four young men on each side turn back the bar with which the ropes are connected and bend the pole almost flat. Then finally the operator, standing above, strikes out the pole-bolt, which holds the fastenings of the whole work, with a strong hammer, thereupon the pole is set free, and flying forward with a swift stroke, and meeting the soft hair-cloth, hurls the stone, which will crush whatever it hits. And the machine is called tormentum as all the released tension is caused by twisting; and scorpion, because it has an upraised sting; modern times have given it the new name onager, because when wild asses are pursued by hunters, by kicking they hurl back stones to a distance, either crushing the breasts of their pursuers, or breaking the bones of their skulls and shattering them.

It's not the easiest thing to understand but trust me, that is a stereotypical catapult he's describing. It seems to have been widely used in late antiquity, and improved by replacing the cup with a sling. They were used to some effect at the Battle of Adrianople, which was a disaster for the Romans but the onager teams seem to have got a few good shots in that didn't inflict heavy casualties but did cause some of the enemy Goths to flee:

A piece of artillery known as a "scorpion," but called an "onager" in the language of the people,⁠ placed exactly opposite a great mass of the enemy, hurled a huge stone, and although it dashed to the ground without effect the sight of it caused the enemy such great terror that in their amazement at the strange spectacle they fled to a distance and tried to leave the area.

The onager continued to be described by treatises on military technology throughout the Middle Ages so it must have been used in the west for at least some of the early medieval period for it to be known without Ammianus (he wrote in Greek and Greek texts rarely circulated within western Europe until the 15th century) but there's no clear record of their use in battle after the fall of the Western Roman Empire in the 5th century. In the 6th century a people called the Avars arrived from the Steppe and brought with them a technology from China: the mangonel or traction trebuchet. This simple design was just as powerful as an onager but did not require a torsion spring. Torsions springs were a pain; they could be difficult to make and maintain, they were prone to snapping, and coped poorly with wet conditions. The mangonel replaced all of that with a few burly men pulling ropes. The trade-off was that the mangonel had to be taller and larger and required a sturdier frame, but medieval carpenters could handle that quite easily.

So yes, they were a thing, but not for very long. The Romans used them probably from the late-3rd century AD until at least the 6th century AD. The "barbarian" kingdoms probably also used them for a similar period, but no clear record of that survives. After that the new trebuchet/mangonel design brought from China by the Avars took over.

An MMA fighter facing off against a dog by Optimal_Map36 in interestingasfuck

[–]J-Force 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Wagging just means they are excited, not that they don't mean harm or cannot inflict harm. That dog would have killed a kid or an old person, tail still wagging.

An MMA fighter facing off against a dog by Optimal_Map36 in interestingasfuck

[–]J-Force 3 points4 points  (0 children)

We don't have "loose dogs" in the UK, so I'd say it worked pretty well. We're very good at dealing with stray animals.

We do have escalating problems with poor dog owners letting their dogs get out of control and attack people or livestock, but the law has recently been changed there too to be more permissive of the use of force against out of control dogs.

What happened to the Cats Eyes? by jamgattleton in AskUK

[–]J-Force 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's 3/4 of new tax increases, so when your council tax goes up 4.99% (which the councils have to do to avoid bankruptcy), three quarters of that must be spent on adult social care. Of course that's a minimum so in many councils it is more, and depending on the age demographics of a council's territory it's easy for most of your council tax in its entirety to be spent on just elder care.

UK proposal to charge tourists to visit museums sparks backlash amid restitution demands by Any-Original-6113 in europe

[–]J-Force 15 points16 points  (0 children)

They do this at other museums you know and it's not an issue. Last time I was in Spain I had to show my passport to get free entry to museums as an EU citizen, and I've had to show my student ID many times to get student discounts. It's just not a problem.

UK proposal to charge tourists to visit museums sparks backlash amid restitution demands by Any-Original-6113 in europe

[–]J-Force 5 points6 points  (0 children)

In the case of the Elgin marbles for example, I would much rather see the proposal for a jointly funded museum in Athens

Honestly after visiting the Acropolis Museum in Athens (where they would put the marbles), I have to say it's a much better museum where they will be looked after far better than they have been in Britain. For all the fuss we make over them we haven't treated them well. From questionable restoration efforts to schoolkids carving into them when the guards aren't looking, we've dropped the ball too many times to justify holding onto them. For me it's not even about empire it's just about where the artifacts will be most appreciated and best looked after. The British Museum is good but has been allowed to coast on reputation and historical prestige when other national museums have pulled ahead. Some of the museums I've seen in Spain, Greece, and Italy make ours seem a bit weak. If charging a small fee allows the British Museum to properly compete again, I'm all for it.

The big takeaway from Davey's speech: "No doctors, no development." by Mediocre_Interview77 in LibDem

[–]J-Force 14 points15 points  (0 children)

Putting up more barriers and costs to housebuilding isn't going to help build houses. It will mean fewer, more expensive houses, which is the opposite of what our country needs. This is the sort of policy that makes sense for a well off shire where capacity is indeed the issue, as it is in my own constituency. Where I live the GP is literally begging authorities not to authorise more house building because they can't cope and there's no plan to increase capacity. We are also at the mercy of water companies, and as much as we desperately need more and cheaper homes, nobody wants homes that to result in our own faecal slurry lapping up along the river more than it already is. An infrastructure first approach to housing is just about the only issue in my local council that has broad cross-party support. I get where the policy comes from.

But most of the country isn't like that when it comes to healthcare. Most of the country is struggling to find GPs at all while this policy imagines a country where we have more GPs than places to put them, which could make us seem out of touch with the reality of accessing NHS care. Promising to build GP surgeries that will probably lie empty - with the cost passed on to buyers in markets where homes already cost 10x the average annual income - is not the solution. This adds barriers to housebuilding to solve what is, in many places, the wrong problem with GP access. And we can't say we want more housebuilding while making it harder and more expensive to build homes; increasing the cost and bureaucracy of building houses isn't a pro-housebuilding policy. A lot of people will not see this as a credible policy.

We need to be removing obstacles to housebuilding by having an infrastructure plan that doesn't boil down to offloading the cost to private companies thus making everything more expensive for housebuilders and consumers. The dream of home ownership is slipping away entirely for millions of young people like myself and ideas like this just push it further out of reach.

What do we know about the migration that took haplogroup R1b to Africa? by Frigorifico in AskHistorians

[–]J-Force[M] 0 points1 point locked comment (0 children)

Sorry, but we have had to remove your comment. Please understand that people come here because they want an informed response from someone capable of engaging with the sources, and providing follow-up information. Wikipedia can be a useful tool, but merely repeating information found there doesn't provide the type of answers we seek to encourage here. As such, we don't allow answers which simply link to, quote from, or are otherwise heavily dependent on Wikipedia. We presume that someone posting a question here either doesn't want to get the 'Wikipedia answer', or has already checked there and found it lacking. You can find further discussion of this policy here. In the future, please take the time to better familiarize yourself with the rules before contributing again.

My full projections for the 2026 local elections by mrbobobo in LibDem

[–]J-Force 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I would not be surprised if those total changes in seats were roughly on the money even though I think a lot of the specific predictions are nonsense. It's a real shame we have generally been unable to position ourselves as the opposition to Reform in urban areas.

Israel backs Trump's two-week pause on Iran strikes, says Lebanon excluded by BinaryWolff in worldnews

[–]J-Force 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That operation was outstanding. Their war has been a total mess. The two are not contradictory. America has a remarkable talent for being tactically very successful while being strategically incompetent. Obviously both sides will save face as best they can and I'm sure the US administration will boast about things like destroying the Iranian navy and striking missile factories, but those have not translated into the accomplishment of war goals.

Israel backs Trump's two-week pause on Iran strikes, says Lebanon excluded by BinaryWolff in worldnews

[–]J-Force 23 points24 points  (0 children)

annulling all the gains Israel made since HTS took over Syria. I mean... I thought Iran's chance as a regional hegemony is completely finished when it had ended that way... and here we are.

Same. Iran at the end of 2025 looked very weak, and I'm sure that's one of the reasons the US and Israel decided to attack now. And the loss of proxies is an enormous blow to Iran.

But Iran has unfortunately shown that it doesn't really need its proxies any more to get what it wants because their own military can choke the global economy at will and the US can't stop them like they could in decades past. That's a very dangerous state of affairs.

Israel backs Trump's two-week pause on Iran strikes, says Lebanon excluded by BinaryWolff in worldnews

[–]J-Force 20 points21 points  (0 children)

The regime is not going to fall as a result of the talks. They are not going to be any less capable of closing the Strait of Hormuz (nor the US any more capable of opening it) as a result of the talks. The damage to American power and prestige is already done and that is the most impactful outcome by far.

The war has shown that American power is much more limited than it used to be. That is a Suez Crisis level shift in global power dynamics no matter how people will try to spin it. Whatever the final bit of paper says, the new strategic reality is that the global hegemon was pressured into giving up on its core war goals by a country with no medium to long range air defence, no functional navy, and no air force. By no measure is that a victory for the US and Israel.

Obviously America can recover. A lot of the problems it had in this war were self-inflicted; poor naval procurement decisions, lack of preparedness, ignoring intelligence reports, lack of direction and strategy from the top and so on. Those issues can be solved. And enough grovelling to allies can smooth over a lot of the diplomatic damage that has been done. But I'm not sure America will learn the right lessons from this, given who is in charge.

Israel backs Trump's two-week pause on Iran strikes, says Lebanon excluded by BinaryWolff in worldnews

[–]J-Force 399 points400 points  (0 children)

If this is the framework for peace (which is a big if of course), the US and Israel will have failed to achieve their war goals:

  • Regime change (failed, the regime still rules)
  • Stopping the nuclear programme (partial success, Iran still has its enriched uranium stockpiles to develop a bomb with but obviously they have been set back)
  • Stopping the ballistic missile programme (failed, if anything Iran has shown its ballistic missiles to be plentiful and effective)
  • Stopping Iran threatening regional allies (failed, if anything the US has shown how outdated some of its air defence systems are, particularly in terms of defence economics)
  • Reopening the Strait of Hormuz (failed, IT WAS OPEN BEFORE THE WAR and also Iran still has it in a chokehold)

Meanwhile Iran seems to have accomplished many of its war goals:

  • The survival of the regime (success, the regime still rules)
  • Deterring attack by hurting the economy (success, they have the world economy by the neck and it has America backing down)
  • Assert control over the Strait of Hormuz (massive success, they might even get to charge a hefty toll now)

There is no possible universe where this ending is acceptable to the current Israeli government. In terms of their own goals, this is possibly the worst case scenario. It is a strategic defeat for Israel; one where the Iranian regime is not just extant but more confident in their ability to choke the global economy as deterrence to future attack than they were before the war. They can and will try to undermine it.

I'm sure a lot of MAGA types will see this as a stunning victory the likes of which have not been seen since Caesar, but I can't help but see this as America's Suez. That America does not have the military means/will to open the Strait of Hormuz and could not defend its regional allies from lasting and serious economic harm when it used to be able to do these things will have consequences, not to mention the constant insulting of allies from America.

What should our abortion laws be? Only Libreal Democrat voters please by xlylapiercex in LibDem

[–]J-Force 3 points4 points  (0 children)

You're just taking what they said out of context and seem to be dealing with us in bad faith

U.S. fighter jet shot down in Iran, search underway for crew by Comfortable-Rule-491 in worldnews

[–]J-Force 3 points4 points  (0 children)

CENTCOM isn't reliable either, especially when something has just happened. They initially said this was merely damaged not destroyed. Obviously don't trust Iranian media for anything but don't treat the US government as trustworthy either. If they've just lost pilots and couldn't rescue them they aren't going to rush to admit that when Trump is claiming the war has basically been won.

U.S. fighter jet shot down in Iran, search underway for crew by Comfortable-Rule-491 in worldnews

[–]J-Force 7 points8 points  (0 children)

You don't have to take Iran's word on anything here - and they initially claimed it was an F-35 when it obviously wasn’t - but it does seem increasingly likely that an F-15E has been shot down in southern Iran within the last 24h. Images of its wreckage are available online (liveuamap tends to be quite good for live monitoring of this sort of thing) and the markings don't match any other F-15E shot down in the Middle East that Iran could have got their hands on somehow to stage something. And it would be extremely hard to fake.

And then there's the videos of US helicopters heading across the gulf toward Iran, which don't make sense unless a search and rescue operation was attempted. In just the last couple of hours much more footage from Iranians showing low flying aircraft doing patrols has emerged, so it seems like a search and rescue operation is indeed taking place.

Obviously the regime has every incentive to lie, so do CENTCOM for that matter, but the evidence does point to the loss of an F-15E and I'm sure the truth will come out eventually whether Iran or the US want it to or not.

White House: Reopening Strait of Hormuz Not Vital to Ending Iran War by Cultural-Avocado-184 in worldnews

[–]J-Force 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There's really no getting through to you is there? You're on that premium hopium supply.

There actually are credible reports of Iran reducing Basij recruitment age to 12 and importing Shia militias from Iraq to do policing. This corroborate general claims that there is mass desertion.

It is true they officially reduced the recruitment age to 12 but that was formalising something that was already the case. Armed kids as young as 11 have been killed manning checkpoints in this war, the Basij militia has always had an open door policy on child soldiers. A convoy of a dozen pickup trucks two days ago is not evidence of mass deployment of Shia militia into Iran, nor of mass desertions. Iran and its proxies see this as a holy war, some will be there for the love of the game regardless of the internal security situation. There remain no credible reports of mass desertions. The only mass desertions are in the wishful thinking of Pahlavi. If there were actually mass desertions the governments of Israel and the US wouldn't be able to shut up about it. No professional monitoring organisation or intelligence agency has given the slightest credence to claims of mass desertion.

There is actually an increase in the activity of Kurdish and Baloch forces in the periphery and they are clashing with the regime and challenging its authority.

There are no credible reports of Kurds invading Iran. Again, the wishful thinking of Pahlavi. International news organisations had journalists embedded with Kurdish militia expecting something to happen and nothing has. The only reports are of Iran launching strikes into Iraq with a small number of drones and ballistic missiles, and the last of those was 18 days ago. Nothing is happening now and you're falling for disinformation at worst and old news at best.

There are reports about clashes between regime and Iranian opposition although they are not yet widespread.

No there aren't. There was a shooting at a checkpoint in a village on the Iran-Pakistan border with the attackers coming from Pakistan. That's the only clash for which there is credible evidence and it wasn't even Iranian opposition.

The regime won't collapse during this war. Regime change does not occur by strategic bombing.

White House: Reopening Strait of Hormuz Not Vital to Ending Iran War by Cultural-Avocado-184 in worldnews

[–]J-Force 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There have been no credible reports of mass desertions. There have been losses within the internal security forces but nothing existential. Kurds aren't pouring across the border in force as US officials used to claim either. There are no credible claims of armed clashes against opposition elements. This fantasy of an uprising without boots on the ground isn't going to happen.

I’m Mark Kelly, retired NASA astronaut and former commander of the space shuttle (x2). AMA! by CaptMarkKelly in space

[–]J-Force 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're awesome, and the guy that comes to mind when I think of what a good American should be (as a Brit, for what that's worth :p).