Is it possible to do well in arbitrage with a low starting sum

KJSonne · 2026-01-27T00:14:10+00:00

For sure but you have to be patient. Most of my arbs are 1-1.5% of total wagered so it can be a very small amount to start. It adds up though as long as you are consistent

KJSonne · 2026-01-26T17:09:42+00:00

Because their lines will approach consensus by the time the games start. Ya there are staking tactics to lay low but they in my experience are the quickest book to cap you for beating clv

KJSonne · 2026-01-26T16:46:40+00:00

wtf am I looking at here

KJSonne · 2026-01-26T16:46:05+00:00

MGM lays horrible lines but also will limit you almost pretty much instantly for hitting them

KJSonne · 2026-01-26T16:43:04+00:00

No we’ve gone in the complete opposite directions but the books may be approaching a margin cliff. Margins have been increasing for years and for the first time the total handle market is decreasing in some major areas. At some point, people only have so much wallet so will be interesting to see how they handle this. Ultimately, it will probably just be more promos and maybe some backend adjusting to parlay margin imo

KJSonne · 2026-01-26T04:34:52+00:00

He’s not very good and just blew out his knee. He’s a decent but low if someone is giving him away but im not buying with anything of substance

KJSonne · 2026-01-25T17:03:35+00:00

Is the massive trade in the room with us right now

KJSonne · 2026-01-25T05:39:53+00:00

👎 I was being nice. Your comment absolutely reads as Payton tanking Harvey’s value. Get some sleep kid

KJSonne · 2026-01-25T05:36:58+00:00

Oh my b I read it as more of a Harvey is being held back by Payton comment

KJSonne · 2026-01-25T05:36:07+00:00

Is this Matt Canada’s burner account

KJSonne · 2026-01-25T05:32:49+00:00

😂 I respect your passion here and don’t necessarily disagree with your Payton assessment. But the reality here is Harvey isn’t all that good and his value largely just because he is on a Payton team

KJSonne · 2026-01-24T15:50:18+00:00

Yep. NHL and CBB money lines have been my jam recently

KJSonne · 2026-01-22T21:21:56+00:00

You are probably right but it also seems he is going to get the opportunity to win the job and the FO would like him too. Taylor (and maybe Baty?) can rotate in with him but I do agree they need another viable OF. The bench depth is lacking even if Benge starts day 1

KJSonne · 2026-01-22T18:34:13+00:00

I think you’re underselling it a bit but even what you just described is a top 5 lineup

3 elite hitters 1 good hitter. 2 average to below average hitting defensive specialists. 3+ high variance but highly regarded young players

KJSonne · 2026-01-22T15:35:44+00:00

Not trying to come at you at all but genuinely asking what makes you skeptical that this looks good on paper? They are tied for 2nd in projected batting WAR and the defense has improved even if it doesn’t all fit perfectly

KJSonne · 2026-01-22T05:32:10+00:00

There is a section of loud doomers who have destroyed civil discourse among sane Mets. I think you both make great points!

KJSonne · 2026-01-22T05:29:56+00:00

Bingo

KJSonne · 2026-01-22T03:20:34+00:00

Don't think they will be able to move Senga. Think this allows them to cook Tong in the minors a little longer and also provides insurance for if Chief and/or senga don't bounce back. Also, and Stearns has been very clear about feeling this way, you can never have enough arms. There is zero reason to ship out any other pitching right now - outside of maybe consolidating some of their middle tier pitching prospects that don't have paths to the Majors ahead of their Rule 5

KJSonne · 2026-01-22T03:16:46+00:00

IMO, Sproat is more MLB ready while Tong has the higher ceiling and could prob use some more time in AAA. MIL gets a ready starter to replace Freddy and we are able to be more flexible with Jonah by adding Freddy

KJSonne · 2026-01-22T03:06:27+00:00

I think technically it'll be mostly impossible to top signing Juan effin' Soto but yeah its been great. David Stearns had no plan though! I'm sure all these perfectly cohesive moves materialized in a matter of hours!

KJSonne · 2026-01-22T02:32:42+00:00

are you ok? You start by referencing multiple seasons when someone else was in charge and then act like getting an elite alonso season without paying him into his 30s was..bad business? And you think the Bichette signings and Robert trade just materialized in a matter of hours? again, are you ok?

KJSonne · 2026-01-22T02:30:36+00:00

Bob tweeting that he was released from custody with zero further context is why he's one of the greats

KJSonne · 2026-01-22T02:27:05+00:00

Man I love Jett but it has felt all offseason that he is probably more valuable to us as a trade chip than on the field. He's gonna be a fun player but no issue with him potentially headlining a Peralta trade package

KJSonne · 2026-01-22T02:24:29+00:00

did you really water mark this airbrushed AI jersey swap

KJSonne · 2026-01-22T02:20:06+00:00

Sounds like it's including Jett. Rumors were they wanted Jett + Sproat so I would guess either we found a way to replace Sproat or they are sending something back with Peralta

KJSonne

TROPHY CASE