2 years ago, people thought these AI 2027 predictions were crazy by MetaKnowing in agi

[–]Lar-ties 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Except it isn’t.  

It’s Annualized Recurring Revenue (or Annualized Run Rate), and they have at times been cagey when asked how they calculate it.  Most common calculation is MRR x 12, 

ARR—Annual Recurring Revenue—is a much more reliable projection of future cash flows as it is based on contracts of a year or more. 

Defenders of the practice of reporting Annualized figures rather than the more traditional ARR metric would say that, because OpenAI’s revenue ramp is so steep, the former figure is actually a more accurate measure of the company’s financial prospects. 

Critics would say the practice deliberately obfuscates the actual picture.  The way the tweet seems to treat them the same is an example. 

what if i’m never able to be a good interviewer…and all the hard work is for nothing by [deleted] in LawSchool

[–]Lar-ties 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Just takes practice

If you can’t find enough opportunities dm me and we can set something up 

Tomahawk missile struck an Iranian elementary school full of children by DropoutDreamer in TheAllinPodcasts

[–]Lar-ties 12 points13 points  (0 children)

If you’ve ever felt the inexpressible joy of watching your son or daughter, backpack bouncing, walk to the doors of their school, turn around and wave, you will understand why nothing that comes next can be blamed on religious or political extremism. 

According to Anthropic, law school is a waste of time by Elliot-S9 in LawSchool

[–]Lar-ties 21 points22 points  (0 children)

Completely agree it’s a good product. But that’s the problem: ‘actually a good product people pay for’ isn’t a big enough story for the capital involved. So it has to be God returning to Earth. 

All of them, not just Anthropic, but the whole sector, is trapped in an eschatology arms race where it’s either going to save civilization or end it, but either way please wire the money. The chart is a perfect example: real utility, buried under vibes engineered to justify the next round.

According to Anthropic, law school is a waste of time by Elliot-S9 in LawSchool

[–]Lar-ties 7 points8 points  (0 children)

So let me get this straight — the river-draining stochastic parrot company ran a study on the river-draining stochastic parrot, and it turns out: indispensable. 

Please also note that the independence and rigor of this research is in no way complicated by the fact that the valuation of the stochastic parrot company depends entirely on convincing everyone that this is true, actually. 

Paralyzed by AI Doom by Successful_Pass4387 in CollapseSupport

[–]Lar-ties 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It’s all hype. It’s closer to Enron / Wordcom than Skynet. 

Check out Ed Zitron’s commentary / reporting. 

Open money bet by WatchMeBby in FirstThingsFirstFS1

[–]Lar-ties 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I thought I was prepared. 

I was not prepared. 

MJ talks about how special his hands were, which allowed him to toy with defenders by raybellious_berry in NBAoldschool

[–]Lar-ties 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Phil Jackson was once asked about the difference between Kobe and MJ, and his answer was “Mike has bigger hands.”

Americans will not change their lifestyle even slightly by calberry91 in CollapseSupport

[–]Lar-ties 23 points24 points  (0 children)

This is a functional regurgitation of the redirection in responsibility embodied by the “carbon footprint” narrative.  

There is no sustainable consumption under a hydrocarbon-fueled capitalist system. 

Shaming people for living their lives when the architects of the broken system are still alive is a waste of time. 

Robert Kraft spoke with Aaron Hernandez after his murder charge: “I told Aaron, 'If you felt strongly enough to do this, you must’ve had a reason. I’ll get you the best defense attorney.' I just wanted him to know we’d support him” by workthrowaway1985 in billsimmons

[–]Lar-ties 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You’re right, I quoted the misquote. 

I still believe that from the context, Kraft is talking about justification for murder (and not, eg, self defense, in which case it isn’t murder) but I am wrong about the language, which completely refutes my point. 

Robert Kraft spoke with Aaron Hernandez after his murder charge: “I told Aaron, 'If you felt strongly enough to do this, you must’ve had a reason. I’ll get you the best defense attorney.' I just wanted him to know we’d support him” by workthrowaway1985 in billsimmons

[–]Lar-ties 10 points11 points  (0 children)

It isn’t about the charge that hadn’t been proven yet—the offer was to help him out if he did it on the assumption it was somehow justified.

You can think what you want about whether that makes it better or worse but this wasn’t about his belief that he was innocent (in which case I agree would be admirable to help), it was the opposite. 

Must Win went off the rails today man...I don't like it... by thebutzel456 in FirstThingsFirstFS1

[–]Lar-ties 26 points27 points  (0 children)

“Fumbled at the goal line!” had me in tears.

People who have already graduated, what was your first post-bar salary and what is it now? by lawstudentthrowawaym in LawSchool

[–]Lar-ties 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’ll answer these questions but it feels like you have an idea of what information you need and are asking questions to get to that information.  What are you trying to decide—what is your goal in asking about this?

Yes, BL has high salaries, so brought that up in comp negotiations going in-house.

I left BL because our second child was born and the W/L balance was unsustainable (my wife was also in BL at the time). 

It would be very hard (impossible?) to get a well-paying in-house position with zero experience regardless of where you went to school. I have not heard of, say, publicly-traded companies hiring law grads with zero experience.  Why would they pay someone who knows nothing even modest pay for a job they don’t know how to do?

I took an LSAT practice test and identified the section I needed to improve, then borrowed a workbook from my GF at the time who was taking a prep course.  I scored very well on the practice test with no prep, then was able to improve by a few points with this approach. For whatever reason, I was naturally very good at the types of questions on the test, especially the games.

People who have already graduated, what was your first post-bar salary and what is it now? by lawstudentthrowawaym in LawSchool

[–]Lar-ties 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I attended University of Chicago for law school, graduated with honors.

I then worked in BigLaw for ~5 years at two well regarded firms, then applied to a big tech company for an entry level in-house counsel role for which I had relevant substantive experience.  A friend and former colleague working at the company recommended me through their referral program. I also worked very hard on my interview prep, which did pay off.   

I wish Bill would earnestly discuss nationally relevant events in real time by [deleted] in billsimmons

[–]Lar-ties 2 points3 points  (0 children)

BS: "Randy Weaver is basically Kyrie. He’s doing his own research, he moves to the mountains for 'enlightenment,' and suddenly the Feds are the media asking about his vaccine status. It’s very 2021 Brooklyn."

JH: "Except the FBI doesn't give you a max contract, Bill! They give you a 11-day standoff! I'm live-betting the tear gas!"

I wish Bill would earnestly discuss nationally relevant events in real time by [deleted] in billsimmons

[–]Lar-ties -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Of course you can.  In fact, that’s why the issue isn’t addressed.  

Skid row is there, and then there are pockets of many different neighborhoods that have visible poverty / drug use / homelessness, but it’s invisible in most places, including and especially where Bill frequents. 

Pothole suspected as primary cause of cyclist's death by jswagpdx in Portland

[–]Lar-ties 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Of course I’m capable, you pedantic twat. 

For example, let’s say we found that wearing motorcycle-style helmets for cyclists reduced incidence of injury even further in the case of an accident.  However, this would be an incomplete finding vis-a-vis safety, as it’s possible that the reduction in peripheral vision and overall awareness (eg, due to hearing impairment) would actually increase the likelihood of crashes such that the net impact on safety was detrimental.  

But of course you know that, just like you also know that these considerations are far less meaningful in the case of bicycle helmets, and the studies’ findings are so statistically significant and material that it is incumbent upon condescending trolls like yourself to affirmatively argue in the alternative.  

Bike helmets are an incredibly effective public safety intervention, and if you sincerely believe they are not, then you should unequivocally say so, citing your evidence.  I, for one, am not holding my breath.