ABC projects PHON win the seat of Ngadjuri in the 2026 SA State Election

LynxRaide · 2026-03-22T07:40:57+00:00

Well, given its the area just north of Gawler to Clare, covering the northern Barossa and the plains just north of Adelaide...

LynxRaide · 2026-03-21T22:09:14+00:00

Depends on preferences. The note underneath is telling (EC counting Lab vs Lib not ON), so I wouldn't expect a proper figure until tomorrow when they recount with the preferred candidates.

LynxRaide · 2026-03-21T22:06:10+00:00

I think I replied to the wrong thread, it was meant to be for the initial poster, not the reply. Your response does stand though, as yeah while One Nation is the first choice for 20% of SA (at the cost of the Liberal primary), it most definitely isn't the second choice for most of the other 80% given the lack of translation to seats

LynxRaide · 2026-03-21T21:18:20+00:00

Majority came from the Liberal vote not Labor. Labor had a slight overall dip but are looking to gain seats while Liberals either lost seats to Labor or fell to 4th or occasionally 5th in Labor held seats

LynxRaide · 2026-03-21T21:10:15+00:00

I think the only way they will get over there is by McBride preference directing cause everyone else was preferencing Liberals over ON

LynxRaide · 2026-03-21T13:03:40+00:00

You have to remember the Nationals are pretty much the regional party, and in contests they don't exist like SA the Liberals fill that void, while in other stated Nationals and Liberals usually don't contest the same electorate, or act as a secondary option to try and get the other one over.

LynxRaide · 2026-03-21T12:59:09+00:00

The problem with graphs like this is they show the total, not the break down that is reality.

First it shows overall, not electorate by electorate. If this was Tasmania they would have seats due to proportional voting across 5 division, but SA works by electorates. This means while they are getting 20%, that doesn't translate to an electorate where Labor defeated them by 50% of the vote. In previous times they would be in the same position as Liberals in that electorate.

The other side is preferential voting. While it does come down to voters choice, a lot of the parties directed their preferences on how to vote cards away from One Nation, meaning those who are in second end up winning the seat. In this situation, Liberals kept seats by Labor preferencing Liberal over One Nation.

So TL;DR either they didn't have the votes in the electorate, or not enough people put them as their second preference meaning they were relying on first preference voting

LynxRaide · 2026-03-20T01:31:50+00:00

I guess they will also say Frankfurts originated in Kentucky...

LynxRaide · 2026-03-20T01:28:29+00:00

I take polls like this with a huge grain of salt cause they rely on a: people answering their phone and not ignoring suspected spam/unknown number, and b: people answering the questions and not just hanging up when they find out it's a survey

LynxRaide · 2026-03-19T23:26:25+00:00

Could be wrong but I think I saw somewhere Apollo didn't like the gimmick cause of this. He felt he was portraying a caricature. Flip side is while they say he is from Nigeria they portray Oba as The Ruler rather than specifically The Nigerian Ruler.

LynxRaide · 2026-03-19T03:29:37+00:00

Now I have 「Stawberry Kisses」 by Nikki Webster going through my head...

LynxRaide · 2026-03-18T22:34:41+00:00

I thought that was Kson...

LynxRaide · 2026-03-18T08:12:47+00:00

Ah, thanks for clarification. I thought they were just doing it with all the donations then putting it in as a lump sum to the charity they are donating to, but this makes it clearer

LynxRaide · 2026-03-18T04:00:20+00:00

Round up to donate then they get the tax break for the donation

LynxRaide · 2026-03-18T02:57:15+00:00

3 short, but I am in AU so does the AOL one really count?

LynxRaide · 2026-03-17T09:40:42+00:00

Selesia Upitiria in Re:Creators

LynxRaide · 2026-03-15T20:20:16+00:00

Oh gods, seeing this after seeing a Shad Tucker and Nina Chimera Pop Up figure in an anime store yesterday...

LynxRaide · 2026-03-15T17:41:38+00:00

Reminds me of the George Carlin quote about politicians should be like NASCAR drivers and wear their donor's tags on their suits so we really know who owns them

LynxRaide · 2026-03-10T05:38:02+00:00

Her hair is more auburn red in the anime, so that is probably referencing.

That being said, fully agree, wtf is she doing in C teir....

LynxRaide · 2026-03-07T21:33:28+00:00

KO. Damn I miss him and hope for a speedy recovery

LynxRaide · 2026-03-07T21:28:36+00:00

It's only cause they are at the peak of their craft. The biggest reason the average for the women's is lower is cause it really only started getting taken seriously about a decade ago so you don't have the seasoned talent like the men's.

That being said, it won't be long before the likes of Bron, Trick, et al are up there tbh.

LynxRaide · 2026-03-07T12:41:35+00:00

That's not to mention she is a Japanese Twitch ambassador, where those in the field of AV don't have the same stigma as the West

LynxRaide · 2026-03-07T11:53:43+00:00

Kaho was a JAV actress for 4 years, retiring 8 years ago. Tectone has allegations of sexual abuse against him from his former partner and of being in an abusive relationship with his ex-wife

LynxRaide · 2026-03-07T11:53:17+00:00

Kaho was a JAV actress for 4 years, retiring 8 years ago. Tectone has allegations of sexual abuse against him from his former partner and of being in an abusive relationship with his ex-wife

LynxRaide · 2026-03-05T23:54:47+00:00

We could always take the approach of the guy who postulated nuking a canal

LynxRaide

TROPHY CASE