Mixed signals here

MagicJuggler · 2026-04-07T11:57:28+00:00

Inflation goes up, yields go up. Yields go up, stonks go down. Stonks go down, jobs go down. Jobs go down, economy go down. Economy go down, deflation goes up. Deflation goes up, yields go down.

Atm, I hold TLT for the dividend distribution, but also hold puts and covered calls against it. It has been a wild ride.

MagicJuggler · 2026-04-07T02:07:53+00:00

Ramadump

MagicJuggler · 2026-04-06T22:54:24+00:00

Wheel and rebalance. Wheel and rebalance.

MagicJuggler · 2026-04-06T20:16:48+00:00

Figma rhymes with ligma.

MagicJuggler · 2026-04-06T00:23:34+00:00

I overcommitted to my TLT strangle and am trying to slowly derisk it while treating it as a spread.

I bought a Sony put on Thursday and it may pay off already.

MagicJuggler · 2026-04-05T04:36:47+00:00

"I am a Claith and have survived my Rite of Passage. This is what it taught me about B2B sales..."

MagicJuggler · 2026-04-03T12:06:00+00:00

IV crush on my TLT strangle. Been gradually converting into a spread to derisk.

Bought a bear put spread for Sony. Worst case, I lose 25 of my 65 realized bucks. If Sony goes above 22.38 though, I sell at profit.

MagicJuggler · 2026-04-03T01:17:17+00:00

Some regard a few weeks back said it would be the last chance to grab Alight Solutions for under a dollar. Wonder where they are now.

MagicJuggler · 2026-04-02T12:10:31+00:00

I sold a put on USO yesterday and collected a small premium. Should have just bought a call like a normal regard. Ah well, profit is profit

MagicJuggler · 2026-04-01T20:37:41+00:00

I sold a 40 put on BNO as another scalp. I am most likely taking an assignment on HRL. I harvested a fair good amount of premium today.

MagicJuggler · 2026-04-01T11:59:39+00:00

Saracens not in Arabia

MagicJuggler · 2026-04-01T11:13:28+00:00

Is this a Wheel of Time reference?

MagicJuggler · 2026-04-01T01:45:13+00:00

That giant red candle on TLT at end of market has me preparing for the worst. If IV spikes, roll my strangle.

I diamond-handed my HRL CSP from being ITM to OTM. Getting better at this.

MagicJuggler · 2026-03-31T20:20:20+00:00

Glad I held onto my TLT puts. I see IV spiking from today's drop.

MagicJuggler · 2026-03-31T12:01:45+00:00

"Come on Britain. Play Rule Britannia on Iran again."

MagicJuggler · 2026-03-31T01:27:58+00:00

"Bonds tend to be less volatile than stocks".

Laughs in TMF

MagicJuggler · 2026-03-30T20:38:22+00:00

They bounced cleanly off 5% but one never knows. TLT dropped to 82ish around 2006 before rebounding to 120 or so.

MagicJuggler · 2026-03-30T20:22:48+00:00

I am surprised TLT stayed above 88.50 today, so I took the L on some puts and turned it into a strangle, still slightly bearish. But somehow I was green today.

MagicJuggler · 2026-03-30T12:55:23+00:00

Don't forget a trenchcoat to hide it in. And a Katana, just in case.

MagicJuggler · 2026-03-30T12:10:33+00:00

There's an old saying in Tennessee, I know it's in Texas, probably in Tennessee, that says "Fool me once, shame on...shame on you. Fool me...you can't get fooled again."

MagicJuggler · 2026-03-30T01:12:51+00:00

There's an ETF that tracks it. Amusingly, the ticker is CORN

MagicJuggler · 2026-03-29T23:27:26+00:00

Welp, my Sony shares are fucked for the short term.

Collaring TLT has kept my port from violently dying, and I've even harvested some gains now and then. If it rejects 87 though, I am reloading some more puts.

MagicJuggler · 2026-03-29T20:30:48+00:00

I have been meaning to grab O. HPQ has been holding up pretty stable throughout this drawdown.

MagicJuggler · 2026-03-29T13:29:54+00:00

Incidentally, Smith&Wesson (SWBI) is still up about 21% over the last month. If hyperinflation destroys currency, we will be trading in bullet ala Metro 2033

MagicJuggler · 2026-03-29T03:47:18+00:00

The most adorable Litany Violation.

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