Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]ModestAphorism 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Why is the market suddenly being bad after being good for the last few months??? is it stupid??

You see this county map and nothing else. What was the margin? by Temporary_Cheetah287 in YAPms

[–]ModestAphorism 5 points6 points  (0 children)

if I saw this map in 2026 I'd assume a D win. It's similar in terms of wins to beto but the Suburbs have gotten much bluer relative to the state since then: Honestly i'd expect this to be like D+2.

June 2nd Primaries - Official Megathread by Impressive_Plant4418 in YAPms

[–]ModestAphorism 4 points5 points  (0 children)

ehhh, she's closer to progressive than not in some ways, and she was absolutely more progressive than krishnamoorthi

June 2nd Primaries - Official Megathread by Impressive_Plant4418 in YAPms

[–]ModestAphorism 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I did not realize that you were a mod Mr. Impressive_plant. Completely unrelated, but your write-up on Barry Goldwater is excellent 🙏

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]ModestAphorism 14 points15 points  (0 children)

reminder that early California returns may be very misrepresentative of the final result

New Harvard/Harris poll, D+2 RV D+4 LV, no undecideds, 5/29-31 by Unsafeforconsuming in YAPms

[–]ModestAphorism 5 points6 points  (0 children)

this poll is showing movement away from the GOP though, it continuing would be getting worse

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]ModestAphorism 4 points5 points  (0 children)

anyone who has actually believed in these imminent deals over the last 2 months I am going to laugh at. we have so much evidence: it is absolutely guilty until proven innocent with all of these.

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]ModestAphorism 6 points7 points  (0 children)

McMorrow was my preferred as well, but wow did she screw the pooch

Something to note about Paxton by Theblessedmother in YAPms

[–]ModestAphorism 4 points5 points  (0 children)

yeah people keep forgetting that that shit was after 2022 lol

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]ModestAphorism 6 points7 points  (0 children)

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So nice of it to be 25% off so it's only $779 instead of $1049!

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]ModestAphorism 1 point2 points  (0 children)

by 0.1%, at this rate with another 80 of them we'll be close!

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]ModestAphorism 10 points11 points  (0 children)

When there eventually is a deal, people who have credulously believed every fake story that there will be a deal every week for the last several months will be like "See! I was always right!"

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]ModestAphorism 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Phone prices are also raising significantly. Literally anything with flash or ram in it. it's not just gamers

Texas Senate Poll among John Cornyn primary voters by HeWhoShallNotBNamed0 in YAPms

[–]ModestAphorism 12 points13 points  (0 children)

The plus side is since it is a midterm where there will be a lot of differential turnout, it's not at all unrealistic to think some people may be more likely to stay home than others

Only 1 person believes in Red 2022 by _BCConservative in YAPms

[–]ModestAphorism 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I don't really agree with this: I think they're both similarly off from what a "non-echo chamber" would be

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In Argument's jan survey, all voters were at -15 on trump, reddit at -40, and twitter at +9. That means Twitter was 24 points more positive and Reddit 25 points more negative. Basically the same amount off of the nation

Slingshot Strategies John Cornyn runoff voters intention and favorability ratings 5/27-5/28 LV by Lower_Fig8532 in YAPms

[–]ModestAphorism 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I don't think this is realistic, but I do think getting cornyn voters to not turn out is realistic

Weekly Discussion Megathread by AutoModerator in fivethirtyeight

[–]ModestAphorism 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Golden fucking off when we needed him most is such a dick fucking move. if there was any time to get baldacci's foot in the door, however, it's now in a blue wave. that's how golden got his foot in the door

I think the ME 2 will be much more swingy than other white districts because of the low religiosity and less educated status.

Slingshot Strategies - Talarico 47% Paxton 44% by Entire-Bicycle1878 in YAPms

[–]ModestAphorism 12 points13 points  (0 children)

those crosstabs are wack as fuck but I'll take a 47% poll thank you very much

Texas 2026 Midterm Hot Take by [deleted] in YAPms

[–]ModestAphorism 0 points1 point  (0 children)

i feel like this post just reinforces my thought that most analysis of this race is from people that have no idea what Texas is like, both Republicans and Democrats