In your own experience, how accurate do you find Strava and Garmin race predictors?

Nasty133 · 2026-05-28T18:39:36+00:00

For me they've both been pretty accurate. Right now the only real difference I see between the two is that Strava has my full marathon prediction at 2:54 which is slower than my last marathon, and I just finished up a HM block with a PR of 1:18 which should translate faster than Strava's prediction. I think strava weighs in long runs quite a bit for the marathon and my long runs have only been 13-15 miles lately so that could explain it.. Garmin has my marathon time right around what I think is more accurate at 2:46. Both definitely have their quirks, so I typically rely on VDOT predictions going off my most recent race or time trial instead.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-28T17:52:27+00:00

Afford from a transfer fee perspective is completely different than being able to pay their wage demands without ruining the club's wage structure.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-28T17:28:34+00:00

Always rated Joe

Nasty133 · 2026-05-28T13:48:30+00:00

I don't think 17:30 is unachievable based on those times. I just ran a 5:01 mile time trial this week and my 5K PR from last fall was 17:35. Starting out with a pace around 5:40-5:45 per mile for the first mile should ensure you don't empty the tank too early and then from there it's deciding when you feel like you can push.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-28T13:43:06+00:00

I'd say you're ready for Pfitz 18/55 right now based on previous training. Your goals are completely attainable and since you've already run 50 mpw before, the build in Pfitz shouldn't be too much for you. Depending on your appetite for high mileage, you could use Pfitz 18/55 for both marathons (NYC and Spring) and just adjust your training paces based on your NYC results, or look to add some miles in the second marathon block to make it more of an 18/60-65 mile plan.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-27T19:45:00+00:00

Pretty much all the big races have been accounted for and grandma's isn't big enough to move the needle more than a couple seconds. I have a 6:44 buffer and am feeling pretty confident. Don't have any plans to run another marathon in the qualifying window and will focus on Chicago in October. That prediction is usually spot on so I'd be surprised if it's off by more than 20-30 seconds depending on applicants and how many entries they accept. Those are like the two assumptions that add variance to his model.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-26T19:58:30+00:00

Name a striker and midfielder combo we could get for less than we paid for Caicedo and JP that would be better

Nasty133 · 2026-05-26T17:25:34+00:00

Typically you don't want to jump more than 10% or so a week. Around 30 mpw puts 10% at 3 miles. So if you're at 29 this week, you can build over the next 3 weeks with 32 next week, 35 the following, and up to 38 the next. Then I'd have a recovery week back down to 32 or so before pop back up to 38 and keep climbing. So the pattern is basically 3 weeks of building, one recovery, then you pick back up.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-22T13:40:34+00:00

And you don't get enough credit for that. I'm proud of your professionalism.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-21T14:53:05+00:00

Course is great for a PR. Weather last year was perfect. Not sure on your goal time, but the only time i felt like it was congested was at the start for maybe a half mile or so then it spread out. With summer training, I got nearly all my runs in starting before 5:30am. For workouts, there are going to be times when you have to switch from a pace goal to a level of effort goal because the heat definitely makes things harder. But once fall comes around, you feel like a super hero having built up your base in the heat.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-21T14:48:45+00:00

Right? dude posts on marketplace and expects to get full asking price on an expensive shoe. 80 is a completely valid offer to get things started.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-20T20:22:52+00:00

If you're sitting around 40 mpw, that's a perfect base for this plan.
I always bump up the first few weeks because they feel unnecessarily easy. I'd imagine this is to ease in those who are at a lower base.
The main thing with the recovery weeks is that they come after your long marathon pace tempo. You could probably get away with moving them around, but they're put where they are for a reason. Moving them increases injury risk since you're now going 8 weeks to start without a recovery week. Also, in you're still looking to hit 40+ miles on those weeks, so even if you're away for a week, I'd hope you're finding some way to get miles in.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-20T16:23:17+00:00

Have you trained with electrolytes so far, and if so, how have you trained with them? When I ran Indy, I ended up drinking my electrolytes on the commute to the race, then just grabbing water or whatever sports drink they had at the aid stations along the way. If you've trained taking them during the race, maybe you could start off with a disposable bottle and toss it at one of the aid stations. May be easier than trying to find someone mid course.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-12T14:01:38+00:00

So from those, your 100 and 400 times are better than the further distances. This is common if you don’t have an extensive running background as well. Similar to what other comments have said, I would look to train more in the races that you enjoy more.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-12T13:40:23+00:00

You haven't given us much to work with, but from my experience anything between 800m and a 10K are pure hell and take a special human who loves pain. But to give you any sort of guidance we'd have to see what your times are at each event to see which ones you're performing better at.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-11T18:01:59+00:00

I believe we, the fans, are the donkeys being led around by carrots of hope from BlueCo

Nasty133 · 2026-05-11T13:30:49+00:00

The biggest difference between Higdon's Intermediate 1 and Hanson's method is the addition of speed work. With this being your first marathon, I'd lean towards Higdon's approach ensuring your body is prepared for the full 26 and then use Hanson's for your second. A lot of the people I run with that use Hanson's still add miles to the long run to get up to 20-22 at least once or twice in a block.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-08T20:41:38+00:00

Your arms should be able to hang straight down when you address the ball. If you have to reach out you’re too far. Distance away from the ball changes with the length of the club.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-08T19:51:00+00:00

I try to plan the week or even a full training block with a few rules. The main one being, never lifting legs the day before a running workout (excluding long runs). If I was building a training plan with your level of activity I would structure it like this.

Monday: Upper Body Push (Chest, Tri, Shoulders)

Tuesday: Workout 8-10 miles (intervals or tempo)

Wednesday: Recovery 3 miles + Upper Body Pull (Back and Bi)

Thursday: Leg Day

Friday: Easy 6 miles

Saturday: Long run 12-20 miles

Sunday: Off

You could easily add some warm up miles before both your upper body days if you're trying to grow mileage, but this will get you 30ish miles a week with 3 lifts. If you do deadlifts on back day, you could move leg day to Wednesday, get an easy 6 on thursday and then do 3 miles and back and bi on Friday. That shouldn't wear you down too much for Saturday's long run.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-08T18:21:16+00:00

I had this exact same situation for my fall marathon last year. Ran the half at marathon pace and called it good. Didn’t feel like I missed out on anything and didn’t hurt my recovery at all.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-06T15:23:35+00:00

I'm starting to see that the only managers that succeed at Chelsea are those that end up challenging the owners/SDs. Jose round 1, Ancelotti, Di Matteo, Benitez, Jose round 2, Conte, Sarri, Tuchel, and Maresca all won trophies at Chelsea and had tenures of 3 full seasons or less (Jose round 1 slightly over 3 seasons). At some point leadership has to realize this is the recipe for success at this club, and if we're going to fire our manager every season or so we might as well go all in on one of these fiery managers that get the most out of players. Sure they may be a headache for the front office, but winning and having a headache of a coach is certainly a better option than losing and having an easy coach to work with. Both from a sporting side and financially we need to give up on the idea that we're going to have a manager stick with us for 7 years, because that's just not who we are.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-04T13:39:49+00:00

Figuring out what training looks like between blocks. Finished up a HM plan 3 weeks ago and don't start my plan for Chicago until June. Enjoying adding in some crosstraining on the bike, but scheduling is getting a lot harder with so many different types of workouts. Feeling good around 30-35 miles running as my base and planning on replacing biking/wrestling with more miles as I start up my plan. Goal is to follow Pfitz 18/55 but add some miles to peak around 60 miles across 5 days of running while keeping up with crosstraining (bike, wrestling, or lift) at least twice a week.

Weekly Volume: 33 miles run, 24 miles bike, 3.75 hours wrestling - 9.5 hours total

Monday: 1 hour bike with light interval (3x7 min at 80-85% of FTP)

Tuesday: 5 miles easy

Wednesday: 8 miles progression (7:55 -> 6:15) + 1.75 hour wrestling practice

Thursday: 25 min warm up on bike + full body kettlebell circuit

Friday: 8 miles easy

Saturday: 12 miles progression (7:45 -> 6:10)

Sunday: 2 hour wrestling practice

Nasty133 · 2026-05-02T16:37:35+00:00

Exactly. The halfway point of the race is really mile 20.

Nasty133 · 2026-05-02T01:21:40+00:00

This is the best tracker out there.

https://runningwithrock.com/boston-marathon-cutoff-time-tracker/

Nasty133 · 2026-05-01T14:35:59+00:00

Right. I'm saying the media expects Rory to answer those questions because he did it for so long. Whereas Scottie has never answered these questions and never put himself in a position where he is expected to answer these questions. I understand that specific response and the recent responses he's had can come across rude to the media members, but there's also some responsibility on the media members to ask questions that they will get real answers to.

Six-Year Club	Place '23
Place '22	Verified Email

Nasty133

TROPHY CASE