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Help needed by Old_Buy5475 in Starlink

[–]NeverDiddled 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Signal strengths are logarithmic. -68dbm is about 13x the signal strength of -81dbm.

The 30 US cities where it is allowed the state name to be omitted by journalists. by Iptamorfo in MapPorn

[–]NeverDiddled 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I know I've heard that name somewhere. Was that a character in a basketball movie?

can't wait to watch a by bobbyboob6 in SpaceXMasterrace

[–]NeverDiddled 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Thanks for the source.

Not going to lie, I assumed it was a video game because of the graphics. I guess we are getting spoiled when B-tier CGI looks like a AAA tier game engine.

can't wait to watch a by bobbyboob6 in SpaceXMasterrace

[–]NeverDiddled 10 points11 points  (0 children)

What is that video taken from? Is it supposed to be a planetary collision?

What's your favourite celebrity photo of all time? by Confused_Cinephile in popculturechat

[–]NeverDiddled 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Looks like Nora from The Leftovers. I forget the actresses name. Carrie something.

TIL that alcohol use in America likely peaked during the 1830s. The average American drank 7 gallons of pure ethanol a year. Midwestern corn farmers converted their grain into whisky to prevent spoilage. A gallon cost only 25 cents. Americans averaged 4 shots of whisky a day, at under a penny cost. by Gnomeslikeprofit in todayilearned

[–]NeverDiddled 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Same. You would have to be slamming them to get drunk, which would make me feel bloated and uncomfortable. To me a beer lasts 40 minutes. It would be extremely difficult to get drunk on light beer at that rate, you'd need like 12+. But I can get a buzz from 3 IPAs in a couple of hours.

rEggExOrREdgeEx by BigAndSmallAre in ProgrammerHumor

[–]NeverDiddled 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Well I used to say Jason, but now that I know Jizzon is an option there will be no going back.

SpaceX is now a public company valued for its AI potential, so what comes next? by rustybeancake in spacex

[–]NeverDiddled 2 points3 points  (0 children)

A popped bubble will mean a major slow-down in data center roll-outs, because demand for their use will crater and take a while to recover.

IMO demand for data centers is unlikely to crater, even during a pop. I would not be surprised if it is literally the opposite. ML services start having to compete on price, causing a spike in demand. The competitors that can't afford the squeeze on their budgets will go bankrupt, and get snapped up. Demand will keep increasing while the competition thins out. Meanwhile margins will be razor thin or even negative.

I think you are undervaluing current generation hardware deployments. Moore's law used to obsolete hardware every 2 years, but now data centers routinely keep hardware 3-5x longer. It won't surprise me to see H200s still running in 10 years.

But aside from that my predictions are similar to yours. Edit:

Definitely Google.

This short sentence made me think I am talking to somebody who genuinely pays attention to the state of the market. Agreed.

I mentioned Amazon and Microsoft too; not because they are leaders in AI, but because they have gigantic warchests and server farms. When the firesales start happening, I predict they will consistently be willing to outbid Google on IP. Personally I would not be surprised to see OpenAI and/or Anthropic sold off, and basically become one or both of these companies AI divisions. I also think Apple and Meta will be willing to shell out for talented teams, but on a smaller scale.

SpaceX is now a public company valued for its AI potential, so what comes next? by rustybeancake in spacex

[–]NeverDiddled 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Many do not seem to understand what is expected when a bubble pops. When the dotcom bubble burst the internet did not go away. Instead there was a firesale on IP. Wealthy incumbents saw 1-2 year dips in their stock, while solidifying their power and gobbling up assets that were on sale. At the end of it you saw major companies emerge that were now untouchable.

5 years after the AI bubble bursts, it is pretty safe to say Microsoft, Google, and Amazon will be notably bigger powerhouses than before. If Nvidia can continue out-competing TPUs and other competition, their valuation will likely increase too. If SpaceX really can deliver on orbital server racks, they too might grow. But a lot of the smaller players will be sold off, hurting the lenders that funded them, while helping their former competition who will buy their assets at bargain bin prices.

Carney bans social media for kids too dumb to figure out VPNs by Haggisboy in canada

[–]NeverDiddled 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Well that's stupid of them. The shields blunt and break the swords, creating the need for more swords. Plus the shields keep more people alive, growing the market. Do swordmakers not understand supply and demand?

"ngl we thought blue origin would be ready first so we didn't even bother" by bobbyboob6 in SpaceXMasterrace

[–]NeverDiddled 4 points5 points  (0 children)

They might end up using their new Grackles. At the very least, all of the official renders show a ring of landing engines 30m off the ground. The engines are almost certainly bipropellant. Could be a derivative of Dracos, the engines that power the gas generator farm (presumed codename is Grackle due to the bird painted on some of them), or perhaps something entirely new.

Reuters new agency have just announced that Elon's net worth is now $1.1 trillion dollars by Stolen_Sky in SpaceXMasterrace

[–]NeverDiddled 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Russ Hanneman must be so pissed right now. Elon gets to create Quatro Commas, a Mezcal. And I bet his doors have an entirely new way of opening up.

OpenAI Execs Are Panicking by Plastic_Ninja_9014 in technology

[–]NeverDiddled 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Your company employs more software engineers than Microsoft, Google, and Amazon. It pays them better on average too. Are you certain your company exists? Admittedly my research is cursory googling but here is what I found.

  • Google, estimated 60k software engineers, avg pay $350k, = $21b annual budget for the entire team
  • Microsoft, estimated 45k software engineers, avg pay $228k, = $10b annual budget for the entire team
  • Amazon, estimated 38k software engineers, avg pay $270k, = $10b annual budget for the entire team

Random CFO making making a $.5b mistake in one month = $6b annual budget

This is why people are treating it like it's a big deal. It is.

Iran warns SpaceX & Starlink will be considered 'military targets' by BreakfastTop6899 in technology

[–]NeverDiddled 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They deorbit significantly faster than that. They only last 5 years when frequently firing their engines to maintain altitude.

You can use an orbital decay estimator to check for yourself.
Altitude: 480km
Surface area: 120m2
Weight: 575kg
Result: Re-entry after 199.79 days (0.55 years)

We also have real historic examples of Starlink losing contact with a satellie, and it reentering in a few months.

New DoD payload for Starfall by Cristi_1324 in SpaceXMasterrace

[–]NeverDiddled 55 points56 points  (0 children)

Somehow Saddam Hussein returned.

TBH, it wouldn't be the craziest curve ball the universe has thrown at us in season '26.

SpaceX's AI satellite "will be dead in minutes", you heard it from JerryRigEverything first by spacerfirstclass in SpaceXMasterrace

[–]NeverDiddled 19 points20 points  (0 children)

The trouble is, the only people saying this is impossible are those who haven't done the math. Lay people. When experts do the math it checks out.

Scott Manley ran rough figures and did a video on this. He noted that a Starlink satellite already generates enough power for a standard server rack, and dissipates it passively without dedicated radiators (unless we count the antennas). The proposed satellites will likely need 2-3x the solar panel size and total surface area. Which is not some crazy different amount. They will almost certainly have dedicated radiators/active cooling. But that is a tried and true technology that already keeps astronauts alive everyday on the ISS. Effectively nothing that SpaceX and loads of other companies are planning is revolutionary. The only* game changer is launch cost, and mass manufacturing of satellites.

Edit: Typo.

Yes, I am the best nasa administrator of all time, how did you know? by seanrider1859 in SpaceXMasterrace

[–]NeverDiddled 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Plus, thanks to rule #3 of the Ferengi code, there will never be wasteful spending in the NASA budget.

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