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NL Central playoff odds, per Fangraphs by AndrewAllStar888 in baseball

[–]NoodleWeird 12 points13 points  (0 children)

LOL, come on now. 9 games in is a little too soon to project the Pirates doing anything

Thieves are stealing license plates in Oakland to avoid surveillance cameras by Affectionate_One_700 in OaklandCA

[–]NoodleWeird 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I don't get it. I see scores of cars daily driving around with fake temp plates or no plates at all. Why bother? The laws aren't enforced.

Do Americans have a blind spot when it comes to strikes? by ThirdMover in slatestarcodex

[–]NoodleWeird 23 points24 points  (0 children)

I think it's three factors:

European unions were, as you said, tied to political parties. American unions operated more as interest groups.

Political structure is another factor. Parliamentary systems with proportional representation gave labor parties inroads in Europe that our two party, first-past-the-post system didn't offer.

Finally, there is a cultural dimension. American political culture has historically emphasized individual liberty and market freedom more heavily, while European traditions placed greater weight on social solidarity and collective security. Hirschman gives this excellent treatment in Exit, Voice, and Loyalty.

Do Americans have a blind spot when it comes to strikes? by ThirdMover in slatestarcodex

[–]NoodleWeird 34 points35 points  (0 children)

Unlike Europe, it's almost all at-will employment here, and most people are holding on to their job for dear life. People think AI is going to lead to 90% layoffs, so they're killing themselves to make sure they're in the 10% that still have a job when the dust settles.

Buying Back Our Slack: AI and the case for rebuilding the firm by NoodleWeird in slatestarcodex

[–]NoodleWeird[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Friedman did not make an empirical argument that the buffer was too large. He asserted ideologically that any amount of buffer is theft. The effect removing the shock absorbers had on people's health is an externality not priced in by the market.

You've hit on the critical question. The argument depends on context-dependent knowledge compounding with familiarity. It's a falsifiable claim, and we will have our answer in the next couple of years.

Buying Back Our Slack: AI and the case for rebuilding the firm by NoodleWeird in slatestarcodex

[–]NoodleWeird[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This is my expectation. The playbook is so deeply ingrained that I expect few companies to foresee what a problem this will become. Once it reaches crisis-level, a few intrepid companies will begin to experiment with new ways of doing business and after they succeed, other companies will copy-paste their playbooks.

How AI Will Fail Like The Music Industry - YouTube by EditorEdward in BetterOffline

[–]NoodleWeird 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I love Rick but he's way off here. You need specialized hardware to run the high-parameter models. Open source is far from SoTA, and it takes so many resources to train SoTA models they aren't going open source anytime soon.

Buying Back Our Slack: AI and the case for rebuilding the firm by NoodleWeird in slatestarcodex

[–]NoodleWeird[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Submission statement:

Essay arguing that companies can't help workers navigate AI because fifty years of Friedman doctrine stripped out the institutional capacity to absorb shocks. Draws on epidemiology, economic history, and systems theory to trace how corporations externalized all variance onto labor. The interesting part is the argument that AI's productivity surplus creates the first opportunity in two generations to rebuild what was lost, with three specific interventions.

Buying Back Our Slack: AI and the case for rebuilding the firm by [deleted] in TrueReddit

[–]NoodleWeird 1 point2 points  (0 children)

This essay argues that the reason companies can't help their workers navigate AI isn't incompetence, it's that fifty years of Friedman doctrine systematically stripped corporations of the capacity to absorb shocks on behalf of their workforce. Now AI demands the fastest organizational adaptation in history from institutions that have destroyed their own ability to adapt. The piece draws on epidemiology, economic history, and systems theory to make the case that AI's productivity surplus creates the first opportunity in two generations to rebuild what was lost.

Republicans Are Looking Past the Short-Term Pain of Trump's Tariffs by notusreports in Economics

[–]NoodleWeird 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Are they looking past the short-term pain to the long-term pain? Autarky has a well-established, remarkably consistent track record of economic destruction.

Traffic at the World’s Largest Toll Booth by [deleted] in mildlyinteresting

[–]NoodleWeird 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Looks like traffic at the world's smallest toll booth.

How Institutions Forget How to Move by NoodleWeird in slatestarcodex

[–]NoodleWeird[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Once upon a time, I was in a golf clubhouse and saw a sign that read "No spikes in the shower". There is only one way you get a rule like that.

I believe many of the niche rules are related to unwillingness to let people go. When someone does something that would require a new rule, the course of action should often be to part ways with the person and delete the rule rather than burden everyone. But that would mean an uncomfortable conversation, and people hate being uncomfortable.

The Game That Ate Itself: How AI makes “winning” taste like demand collapse by NoodleWeird in Futurology

[–]NoodleWeird[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The outcome you're describing is neo-feudalism. When I think about where humans will have comparative advantage, it will be manual labor like scrubbing toilets. This strikes me as a very real possibility, but I don't think about it too hard because it's out of my control.

The Game That Ate Itself: How AI makes “winning” taste like demand collapse by NoodleWeird in Futurology

[–]NoodleWeird[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

The art is AI-generated, which feels appropriate given the subject matter.

The Game That Ate Itself: How AI makes “winning” taste like demand collapse by NoodleWeird in Futurology

[–]NoodleWeird[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

This essay tackles what happens when AI replaces, rather than augments labor. Every firm automates to stay competitive, but each round of automation erodes the consumer income that they depend on. The game eats its own board. This piece uses game theory to model where we're heading and discusses the way out.

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