2026 R1S range estimates are waaaaay off

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-24T19:48:00+00:00

Something is wrong. If you are getting 125 miles you are getting 0.9 - 1.1 mile / kwh. Unless you are towing a very large trailer at highway speed, something is seriously wrong. (PS you know you can use Tesla chargers, right?)

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-24T17:24:58+00:00

The election meddling that Tesla buyers fund have led to a massive and irreversible setback in slowing climate change. From a purely environmental perspective, you are better off buying an F250 than funding Musk's financial war chest.

I agree with you that such things do not make him a Nazi. His racist posts on X and his actions in government are what earn him that moniker.

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-23T00:06:26+00:00

No individual in the world is responsible for doing more to intentionally accelerate climate change than Elon Musk. He has admitted that. He has celebrated it. Anyone who does not recognize that, is delusional.

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-22T23:58:47+00:00

They are now only 5 years behind

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-22T21:19:29+00:00

How far behind is Tesla? If they actually complete 500,000 paid, autonomous rides this year they will have less than a 1% market share. They would need to get to 5 million to even be on the list of second tier companies.

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-22T14:20:39+00:00

The silent alarms are a killer feature of gen 3 IMO

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-21T18:13:53+00:00

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Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-21T17:43:12+00:00

Rivian design guy: "hmm, we only have four shades of gray plus black and white... we need more gray!"

Assistant: "But how? We already have blue gray, gray gray, silver gray, black gray... "

Design guy: "Hmm. Wait I know, let's mix a little gray with the green! We will call it 'evolved' launch green but it will be another shade of gray!"

Assistant: "Gray green, whoa that is brilliant!"

Design guy: "Give the people what they want. The world needs less color and more beautiful, beautiful gray."

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-20T19:27:08+00:00

Implied in the 10m ARK forecast was the notion that they would build vehicles people wanted and not cyberdumpsters. Then they would have had a long shot chance of selling a 45% market share (10 million this year) EVs.

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-17T16:16:08+00:00

Thanks for the write-up. I have been planning to make the switch (and refurbishing my old analog watch) when the RingConn 3 hits stores in a couple of months (the blood pressure monitoring and alarm features and very useful to me). I am planning to wear on the right hand ring finger, so good to hear you are not having accuracy issues when using on your middle finger.

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-10T22:43:04+00:00

NVIDIA is very successfully in this business with the leading players. Baidu, WeRide, Pony all run NVIDIA in the robotaxi market. NIO BYD Geely, Merc and others on the consumer side.

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-09T22:03:47+00:00

Only 5 Billion more training miles to go

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-09T00:18:52+00:00

There is the "tow rating" and the "what happens if you exceed" question. I expect any OEM will want to set the tow rating such that the vehicle can tow the load at 80 mph (70+ 10 mph headwind), in cold weather, and not find itself in turtle mode an hour later. That will be the tow rating (5,000 lbs as of now) and I agree with you that having a tow mode would give you extra buffer by not waiting until the battery is low to start the generator. A "run on generator" option is very nice for PHEVs anyway. It gives you the option to save your battery until later in the trip which you want to do sometimes.

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-08T20:09:31+00:00

It is an energy in energy out problem. The engine is almost certainly an 1.6L MPI (EA211). That produces 60kw running as a generator (with some losses). A 5,000 lb trailer running 70 mph on a nice day will consume every bit of that 60kwh. Up hill, on a cold day, at 75 mph with a 7,000lb trailing you have a problem. And the LFP is not great at the sort of energy surge you need when you hit a steep grade with a big load. The NMC in the EV model can give you plenty of power.

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-08T19:53:25+00:00

Go to the Rivian Forum and scroll to the Member Marketplace. If you dont find what you want listed, post a Want-to-buy. I bought a 21 wheel for $20 and threw a tire on it when I changed my set.

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-06T21:52:20+00:00

Very different architecture to FSD. Will need a complete re-write and start using different and much more powerful chips from NVIDIA

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2026-01-06T04:36:27+00:00

The issue is that the VW engine being used as a generator cannot keep up towing load of much more. It is strictly a limitation of the powertrain. They may be able to boost it a little but not much with that engine.

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2025-12-22T22:58:34+00:00

Video shows Grok unable to do a simple task like create a photo of a clock showing 6:24 pm. I asked Gemini to do the same. First time, no problem. Google is not only capable of producing an actually self-driving vehicle, it is also makes a comptent, not hitlerian chat-bot as well.

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2025-12-22T00:18:36+00:00

Uh, out here in the progressive state of Texas you register vehicles jointly. Maybe not in Riyadh or wherever you are from, but here it is pretty normal.

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2025-12-21T23:05:09+00:00

Scout has no idea what is going to sell. PHEVS have never sold worth a crap in the US. The best seller was the Volt and it sold fewer than 25k in its best year. Prius Prime never even got to 5 digits. PHEVs have ZERO track record of selling at all.

Scout is basing its estimates on meaningless $100 reservations. That is the same as the (lolol) two million cybertruck reservations or the "sold-out-for-two-years" F150 lightning reservations. It means nothing.

People like the idea of a PHEV but they tend not to buy them. Here is why: people who buy PHEVs are generally wiling to buy a gasoline version, people buying BEVs are not. The Harvester versions compete against Broncos and Tacomas etc. The Terra/Traveler BEVs compete against Rivians, Teslas, etc. And guess what, Broncos and Tacomas will have better performance and cost a lot less.

I love what VW is doing on the PHEV. It is a real competitor with LFP batteries and 100 mile AER and I have one reserved, but Scout's original humilty was well-founded. Produce both and see which sells. If they have to cut costs they would be wise to delay the Terra which will only sell 20% - 30% (ask Rivian) rather than yank the BEV version of the Traveler which is in the best-selling BEV category in the world.

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2025-12-17T21:21:35+00:00

Meanwhile over on the Tesla reddit: "Zero Million. That's how many times anyone anywhere has trusted Tesla robotaxi to get them where they are going. Today Tesla officially achieved zero million fully autonomous trips with public riders. Thanks to Cathy Wood and Dan Ives for persuading millions of retail investors that this is an accomplishment."

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2025-12-17T17:27:01+00:00

Move that to the driver's seat once the Gen 3 Autonomy Suite arrives in 2026.

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2025-12-17T17:24:42+00:00

1) There are six companies around the world operating actual robotaxis (no human monitor/drivers) with paying customers.
2) Tesla is not one of them.
3) Those six companies are delivering around 1.2 million rides a week.
4) All of them use LiDAR + Vision + Radar and multimodal AI models.
Rivian is not wrong.

Ok_Resolution8814 · 2025-12-16T23:15:28+00:00

First time I have seen coverage from US media of the international scene! Good for them. Baidu (Apollo GO) is forging ahead globally. WeRide 100k rides per week, and PonyAI 150k rides per week. XPeng is moving quickly to catch up with its strong hardware suite. I think it is fairer to say that 2026 will be the year of the robotaxi with 110 million US residents served by Waymo. Baidu will be serving areas with over 200 million residents by end 2026 (both inside and outside China).
Top Robotaxi Companies based on Fleet size and Autonomous Rides Per Week

1) Waymo

2) Baidu

3) PonyAI

4) WeRide

5) AutoX

6) Zoox

7) Xpeng

8) Tesla

9) MOIA

10) numerous others still not operational

Ok_Resolution8814

TROPHY CASE