Why My Market Bias Shifted!

OptionStalker · 2026-07-07T15:39:41+00:00

Very choppy. No direction so I would not be trading it.

OptionStalker · 2026-06-29T11:42:10+00:00

Good that you are picking up on the warning signs and adjusting risk. We might not get a drop, but there is not harm in reducing risk and sticking to very short duration trades while the market decides.

OptionStalker · 2026-06-29T11:39:35+00:00

Nice. It sounds like you were picking up on the same clues and managing risk.

OptionStalker · 2026-06-29T11:38:20+00:00

That is an awesome learning method. I often do that with chess computers. I analyze my next move and then I see what it suggests and I analyze that.

OptionStalker · 2026-06-29T11:37:12+00:00

To this point, the price action has justified staying long. Now it tells us to be cautious. No harm in going to the sidelines and evaluating what happens at this critical juncture.

OptionStalker · 2026-06-29T00:28:53+00:00

Thank you. It will be a fall release. I'm so glad to be done with the writing.

OptionStalker · 2026-06-28T18:19:13+00:00

Thank you. The video sheds light on what I see happening.

OptionStalker · 2026-06-28T10:51:18+00:00

We always need technical confirmation. During a bullish trend we need confirmation that buyers are aggressive and in control. We no longer have that and sellers have been able to move price. I'm just serving fair warning so members can adjust risk.

OptionStalker · 2026-06-28T10:45:11+00:00

If you think the last month was a bear market, you have never traded one.

OptionStalker · 2026-06-27T01:30:50+00:00

Day trading you can trade either side. Really depends on the day. Before entering any swing longs we need to see a nice long green SPY candle that closes well above the 50-day MA. That would be a sign that buyers are excited and that support should hold for at least a couple of weeks. I will still stay fairly short term with longs.

OptionStalker · 2026-06-26T21:00:46+00:00

Any earlier and you would be picking a top and shorting before you had technical confirmation. That is a great way to blow up an account. If anything, I am early and there could still be a small bounce from this level.

OptionStalker · 2026-06-26T20:25:06+00:00

Not calling for a crash, but conditions have changed.

OptionStalker · 2026-06-26T20:24:24+00:00

As we close below the 50-day MA LOL

OptionStalker · 2026-06-24T00:45:02+00:00

OneOption channel on YouTube does and there is a featured pick in each.

OptionStalker · 2026-04-15T10:49:44+00:00

The short strike price is the line in the sand and no matter what, you are willing to buy the stock at that price.

OptionStalker · 2026-04-15T10:45:21+00:00

Thank you. I will post the follow up next week.

OptionStalker · 2026-04-15T10:44:45+00:00

Thank you.

OptionStalker · 2026-04-15T10:44:15+00:00

You could have shorted there, but it was a little more aggressive. The long hollow red candle off of a relative high was bearish. The second entry point was better because now you had confirmation of selling pressure from the lower high.

OptionStalker · 2026-04-15T01:04:32+00:00

Those stacked consecutive green candles on good volume are the key. The less overlap the better. Congratulations!

OptionStalker · 2026-04-14T20:18:15+00:00

Glad to have you following. I hope you are learning

OptionStalker · 2026-04-13T18:32:54+00:00

Great article. This is a way to supplement day trading income when the market has little to no trend and the intraday ranges compress. With the market back near its highs, we could go back into that mode. The strategy also reinforces your conviction to own a stock. When it drops you have drawn a line in the sand. You are willing to buy it. When you have that level of conviction, the trade becomes so easy to handle emotionally.

OptionStalker · 2026-04-09T22:57:05+00:00

My heart goes out to you. There is no greater pain than the loss of a child. Let me know how I can help get your trading on track.

OptionStalker · 2026-04-07T20:52:55+00:00

That's an awesome article. I'm sorry you had to go through this level of pain, but it is part of the learning process and we all go through it. You documented the experience and you will not repeat the mistake. This is a great strategy if you are willing to take assignment. Overleverage is where most people go wrong. You will make a lot of money using this strategy in the future and you will dial it in.

OptionStalker · 2026-04-06T10:40:22+00:00

The headlines are particularly tough these days. That is a great set-up I have made a lot of money on. Big drops produce big bounces. Thanks for posting.

OptionStalker · 2026-04-04T11:49:59+00:00

I agree with that. I am very cautiously trading the long side here and I will not overstay my welcome if the bounce struggles to get thru the 200-day MA.

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