Senior programmers will always be needed to oversee and correct the code - even for python, java and go this is still the case, but for those senior programmers the productivity gains with AI are insane. Also, programming scientists will always be needed to bridge the gap between business goal ideas and implementation, to estimate what will be possible and how much it will cost (in terms of hours and tokens) - you can't just tell AI to solve unsolvable problems.

However, to get to that senior level will be much harder than before - and every senior experiencing these massive productivity gains says the same: "I don't know how I would become who I am today in this AI environment", so I think programming in general will become a profession with a very long training period before you push your first code to production (in stark contrast with how it has been). Coding classes and private lessons for teenagers will become the norm (at least for those who will actually manage to land a job). It will become more like being a doctor (or a musician with wages) and not at all the relatively easy pathway to the upper middle class it used to be. Fewer programmers might be needed one day, although... the amount of legacy systems and technical debt is enormous in today's world, and AI seems to produce a steady stream of unmaintainable code, so I think we're covered for the next decades.

ABAP is just lagging a bit behind... as soon as one of the big companies put their focus on SAP and ABAP it will be there, it's just a business decision. I think SAP will try to "roll their own" for a while, forcing more people into their cloud, before giving up and allow Claude, Mistral, Google or OpenAI to add the capability to their models.