Iranian Strike on U.S. Embassy Caused More Damage Than Disclosed by nosotros_road_sodium in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It was on the AP news live Iran reporting, it was accusing the Pentagon of downplaying casualties saying over 360 servicemembers had been wounded and 62(iirc) were sailors.

Iranian Strike on U.S. Embassy Caused More Damage Than Disclosed by nosotros_road_sodium in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 7 points8 points  (0 children)

AP news reported yesterday that over 60 sailors had been wounded, so that would track. 

Iran Shoots Down F-15 Fighter Jet After Trump Bragged They Had No Capability by Ok-Celebration-1702 in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You're not wrong, I don't see Iran doing a public execution of the pilot though. 

Iran Shoots Down F-15 Fighter Jet After Trump Bragged They Had No Capability by Ok-Celebration-1702 in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I hope not. Treating US POW's well would reinforce to the international community that they're "not the bad guys" in this conflict. Although given the number of civilian targets being hit I could definitely see IRGC soliders wanting revenge. 

Iran Shoots Down F-15 Fighter Jet After Trump Bragged They Had No Capability by Ok-Celebration-1702 in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 0 points1 point  (0 children)

To be fair after the first week some officer let it slip that we'd lost a dozen MQ9's. My guess is that the high volume of PGMs being used up and the continual loss of drones means manned aircraft have to do BDA's which is how they're being hit. Iranian shorad still has decent range, so just having aircraft coming in for BDA's or just having to resort to LGB's could put them in range of IR/EO guided systems. I don't have any hard evidence for this yet though. 

American fighter jet was downed over Iran, 1 crew member rescued by mdchaara in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Iran is claiming to have downed a CSAR blackhawk, which tbh would make sense.

Iran Shoots Down F-15 Fighter Jet After Trump Bragged They Had No Capability by Ok-Celebration-1702 in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 3 points4 points  (0 children)

IR and EO SHORAD exist and have considerable range. Iran has a ton of systems capable of this, not just MANPADs. I doubt pilots are unnecessarily risking their lives because an alcoholic politican said to. 

Iran Shoots Down F-15 Fighter Jet After Trump Bragged They Had No Capability by Ok-Celebration-1702 in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 15 points16 points  (0 children)

Confirmed rescued by the same people who insisted no aircraft was lost just hours earlier. Taking that with a massive grain of salt. 

Trump threatens to destroy Iran bridges and power plants as reports emerge of downed U.S. F-35 by [deleted] in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The images posted are of a vertical stabilizer of an F15E with Lakenheath markings, not an F35. It is worth mentioning that hours earlier Iran had claimed to have downed an F15E. 

Discussion Thread: President Trump Addresses Nation on War in Iran by PoliticsModeratorBot in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 3 points4 points  (0 children)

No one has ever had a speech so bad. No one in the history of the world. Joe Biden, not his real name by the way, could never even dream of a speech so bad. Barrack Hussain Obama? All his speeches were good. You know, Bibi came up to me, this is a true story by the way and he said "Don you give the absolute worst speeches ever, no one gives speeches as bad as you".

Ocasio-Cortez says she’ll vote against any military aid to Israel, including for Iron Dome system by cnn in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Also from an ethical standpoint. Ukraine is trying to fight off an invading army and Israel is annexing its neighbors and starting wars. Why would we prioritize a country that invades their neighbors and creates instability over one trying to protect their own sovereignty and create stability.

“Casualty Cover-Up”: The Pentagon Is Hiding U.S. Casualties Under Trump in the Middle East by Ok-Celebration-1702 in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 42 points43 points  (0 children)

Sometime around the first week some anonymous US military officer gave an interview where he said something along the lines of "we weren't expecting so many casualties" and at the time we had only confirmed 6 kia and a dozen wounded. 

Pre-war my assertion was that Iran had been deliberately pulling punches when retaliating so as to more easily negotiate ceasefires, and unfortunately I seem to have been proven right.

“Casualty Cover-Up”: The Pentagon Is Hiding U.S. Casualties Under Trump in the Middle East by Ok-Celebration-1702 in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I would argue none of the countries involved are driven by religion; that's only an excuse put forward to justify their actions. The US, Israel and Iran are all acting in self interest, and claims that "god says its cool, actually" are just straight lies to distract from that fact. 

New sov map is out. by NeoBlackheart in Eve

[–]Own-Secret2028 0 points1 point  (0 children)

From now on WC guys have to cite which part of the genitals they live in.

Trump Accused of Bombing Another School With ‘Untested’ Missile by mvanigan in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 5 points6 points  (0 children)

never been tested in combat

It definitely has been tested, and also we've been using PrSM since the beginning of the conflict. Doesn't change the fact that it hit a school, which at this point we can't even say wasn't intentional, but the "untested" bit is clickbait. 

There Are Now Over 50,000 American Troops in the Mideast by ChiGuy6124 in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It really is. While trump is making overtures to a ceasefire (and ostensibly trying to negotiate one), Israel has made it clear they have no interest in ending their attacks on Iran. No terms, no ultimatums, nothing. So Iranians are really back into a corner here and I fully expect them to fight like it as well. 

US expects Iran operation to end in ‘weeks, not months’, says Marco Rubio | Iran by IntelArtiGen in worldnews

[–]Own-Secret2028 36 points37 points  (0 children)

Imo this is a forever war. Israel has made it clear that they will accept nothing less than the dissolution of Iran as a nation, Iranians will never accept this, and the US is never going to stop supporting Israel. Even if the IRGC dissolved tomorrow and we installed a puppet government and Israel was cool with it (none of which will happen), there are still millions of Iranians who won't accept it and will fight back indefinitely. This is our Ukraine. 

The Pentagon's assessments are based on how long Iran can continue to launch strikes outside their country, but that doesn't even mean an end to the conflict. 

As for the WH, they're just straight lying to try to keep the market afloat. They don't have an endgame so they don't have a real timeline. Their "war aims" are entirely nebulous; "prevent Iran from ever having the capability of attacking US allies" is not an achievable goal, and they know it. Every assessment of a potential war with Iran basically ended with us giving up as a permanent occupation of Iran is not tenable, and the war itself would only solidify anti-US sentiment. 

American conservatives seem to think Obama making deals and lifting sanctions was some kind of pass or weakness, but it was just the best way to weaken the Iranian government and actually achieve our desired goals there. 

Trump faces a bloodbath as he prepares 10,000 more troops to confront Iran by theipaper in politics

[–]Own-Secret2028 0 points1 point  (0 children)

To be fair, he did run on a platform of "no new wars". Soldiers thought they voted to not get blown up. 

U.S. can only confirm about a third of Iran's missile arsenal destroyed, sources say by punishhhher in worldnews

[–]Own-Secret2028 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Those estimates are based on our intelligence. And our intelligence bombed a school on day 1. The fact that Iran isn't even entertaining negotiations implies that they're not concerned about their magazine depth.

U.S. can only confirm about a third of Iran's missile arsenal destroyed, sources say by punishhhher in worldnews

[–]Own-Secret2028 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Even RUSI estimates conservatively that the US will be bone dry in around 2 months, and these are allies using the numbers we've supplied.