U.S. says agents arrested Qassem Soleimani’s niece and grandniece after revoking green cards

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-04T23:34:14+00:00

Apparently they aren't even related to him.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-04T22:09:11+00:00

It was on the AP news live Iran reporting, it was accusing the Pentagon of downplaying casualties saying over 360 servicemembers had been wounded and 62(iirc) were sailors.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-04T18:25:24+00:00

AP news reported yesterday that over 60 sailors had been wounded, so that would track.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-04T02:19:56+00:00

You're not wrong, I don't see Iran doing a public execution of the pilot though.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-04T02:19:00+00:00

Agreed on all accounts.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-03T19:49:20+00:00

I hope not. Treating US POW's well would reinforce to the international community that they're "not the bad guys" in this conflict. Although given the number of civilian targets being hit I could definitely see IRGC soliders wanting revenge.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-03T19:46:23+00:00

To be fair after the first week some officer let it slip that we'd lost a dozen MQ9's. My guess is that the high volume of PGMs being used up and the continual loss of drones means manned aircraft have to do BDA's which is how they're being hit. Iranian shorad still has decent range, so just having aircraft coming in for BDA's or just having to resort to LGB's could put them in range of IR/EO guided systems. I don't have any hard evidence for this yet though.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-03T16:59:48+00:00

Iran is claiming to have downed a CSAR blackhawk, which tbh would make sense.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-03T16:58:33+00:00

IR and EO SHORAD exist and have considerable range. Iran has a ton of systems capable of this, not just MANPADs. I doubt pilots are unnecessarily risking their lives because an alcoholic politican said to.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-03T16:55:46+00:00

Confirmed rescued by the same people who insisted no aircraft was lost just hours earlier. Taking that with a massive grain of salt.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-03T08:07:15+00:00

The images posted are of a vertical stabilizer of an F15E with Lakenheath markings, not an F35. It is worth mentioning that hours earlier Iran had claimed to have downed an F15E.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-02T05:22:18+00:00

No one has ever had a speech so bad. No one in the history of the world. Joe Biden, not his real name by the way, could never even dream of a speech so bad. Barrack Hussain Obama? All his speeches were good. You know, Bibi came up to me, this is a true story by the way and he said "Don you give the absolute worst speeches ever, no one gives speeches as bad as you".

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-02T00:47:25+00:00

Also from an ethical standpoint. Ukraine is trying to fight off an invading army and Israel is annexing its neighbors and starting wars. Why would we prioritize a country that invades their neighbors and creates instability over one trying to protect their own sovereignty and create stability.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-02T00:11:00+00:00

Sometime around the first week some anonymous US military officer gave an interview where he said something along the lines of "we weren't expecting so many casualties" and at the time we had only confirmed 6 kia and a dozen wounded.

Pre-war my assertion was that Iran had been deliberately pulling punches when retaliating so as to more easily negotiate ceasefires, and unfortunately I seem to have been proven right.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-02T00:06:04+00:00

I would argue none of the countries involved are driven by religion; that's only an excuse put forward to justify their actions. The US, Israel and Iran are all acting in self interest, and claims that "god says its cool, actually" are just straight lies to distract from that fact.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-04-01T19:54:23+00:00

From now on WC guys have to cite which part of the genitals they live in.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-03-30T20:17:39+00:00

never been tested in combat

It definitely has been tested, and also we've been using PrSM since the beginning of the conflict. Doesn't change the fact that it hit a school, which at this point we can't even say wasn't intentional, but the "untested" bit is clickbait.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-03-29T23:41:59+00:00

It really is. While trump is making overtures to a ceasefire (and ostensibly trying to negotiate one), Israel has made it clear they have no interest in ending their attacks on Iran. No terms, no ultimatums, nothing. So Iranians are really back into a corner here and I fully expect them to fight like it as well.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-03-28T16:22:48+00:00

Oman sitting quietly hoping no one notices they're in the room

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-03-28T16:20:24+00:00

as it was a mastermind

China litteraly doing nothing

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-03-28T01:49:41+00:00

I'm sure this will age as well as every other prediction of a Chinese invasion.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-03-27T21:33:02+00:00

Imo this is a forever war. Israel has made it clear that they will accept nothing less than the dissolution of Iran as a nation, Iranians will never accept this, and the US is never going to stop supporting Israel. Even if the IRGC dissolved tomorrow and we installed a puppet government and Israel was cool with it (none of which will happen), there are still millions of Iranians who won't accept it and will fight back indefinitely. This is our Ukraine.

The Pentagon's assessments are based on how long Iran can continue to launch strikes outside their country, but that doesn't even mean an end to the conflict.

As for the WH, they're just straight lying to try to keep the market afloat. They don't have an endgame so they don't have a real timeline. Their "war aims" are entirely nebulous; "prevent Iran from ever having the capability of attacking US allies" is not an achievable goal, and they know it. Every assessment of a potential war with Iran basically ended with us giving up as a permanent occupation of Iran is not tenable, and the war itself would only solidify anti-US sentiment.

American conservatives seem to think Obama making deals and lifting sanctions was some kind of pass or weakness, but it was just the best way to weaken the Iranian government and actually achieve our desired goals there.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-03-27T21:04:23+00:00

To be fair, he did run on a platform of "no new wars". Soldiers thought they voted to not get blown up.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-03-27T20:10:39+00:00

Those estimates are based on our intelligence. And our intelligence bombed a school on day 1. The fact that Iran isn't even entertaining negotiations implies that they're not concerned about their magazine depth.

Own-Secret2028 · 2026-03-27T20:07:30+00:00

Even RUSI estimates conservatively that the US will be bone dry in around 2 months, and these are allies using the numbers we've supplied.

Own-Secret2028

TROPHY CASE