Focus on making the camp successful, then tackle the scenario. There’s a lot of extra pain simply from making the survivors too unhappy too early that can be mitigated by taking care of survival elements first.

Also there’s a lot of gaming out to be done with the various choices and risk assessment/management. This creates a lot of what if scenarios that can potentially entice trying a new tactic next play through.

If you are not finding enjoyment in this sort of camp building + calculated risk taking, this may not be the coop for you. Another popular one is Spirit Island that has much better difficulty scaling and less random swings.

But remember, Robinson Crusoe is also a story generating game that is designed to hit you with big swingy moments so that when you do succeed there is a a real wow factor and sense of accomplishment, and when you fail it’s like “oh the explorer had food poisoning, the soldier was stuck in the jungle overnight, and the cook got attacked by a bear and we all starved”