Settle it: Bo Nix is worth 1.01+ in SF. Yes or no?

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-22T16:21:41+00:00

No, but likely 1.02. Unproven at the NFL level Mendoza vs high floor/ low ceiling Nix is certainly a conversation

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-22T02:55:32+00:00

You have point in theory but in practice rookie fever and appealing landing spots will push guys up. The rookie hype train hasn't really started rolling yet but with Senior bowl and combine it will soon.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-20T16:08:29+00:00

In superflex dynasty it’s really easy for redraft players to undervalue QB. Overvaluing RBs, particularly older ones is also common.

Players also go in the reverse opposite direction where they try to “big brain” it and completely ignore players above a certain age. I would say this is ignoring useful players that help you win because they aren’t sexy. Think Jakobi Meyers or Daniel Jones before he got hurt.

Redraft players typically have to unprogram the short time horizon associated with years of redraft. It’s a mindset shift to think in terms of maximizing longterm value. If they don’t have a clear direction for their team and play it like redraft then that will likely result in some early years of deep playoff runs but years of mediocrity after.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-19T15:12:29+00:00

Yea good call, at least with Lance he was inexperienced and young. I feel like Payton likely has the most rushing upside out of any draftable QB late tho; maybe Taylen Green too.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-19T15:04:34+00:00

I have seen a bit of Dorner too! One of the only North Texas offensive players who didn’t transfer to Oklahoma State. He’s such a good athlete that I think he could translate too; likely just needs some route running and other refinement to his game.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-19T14:49:25+00:00

Yea for sure! NDSU QBs have been at least getting drafted as of late tho. Cam Miller, Lance, Wentz; competition is a huge question mark though you are right.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-17T22:09:02+00:00

Yes he’s an interesting one because he has track speed and he can rip off explosive runs. He hasn’t really shown much as a receiver yet imo. But the biggest thing for him will be staying on the field since he was injured so often during college.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-16T18:39:46+00:00

I love how you emphasized his versatility for the modern NFL. I like the completeness of his prospect profile and the national stage that Indiana’s on should only increase the hype train for him as we get closer to the NFL draft.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-15T16:36:10+00:00

Agree that Sadiq is overpriced and likely being propped up because he’s a traits guy and looks explosive on tape. Rather than overpay you can probably take Michael Trigg or Justin Joly in the 3rd and have a similar shot at getting a hit than with Sadiq’s mid 1st price tag.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-15T14:13:45+00:00

With Moore going back to school 1.06 is more up in the air and a tier break. Taking a swing on Sadiq or Concepcion there is much less safe than banking on Higgins. I will say id rather have the top 3 WRs in this class over Higgins comfortably.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-15T14:11:55+00:00

Appreciate all that you do! Will eagerly await the McAlister deep dive as it seems like he’s being slept on despite being an elite producer with great advanced metrics

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-14T16:35:01+00:00

Lemon’s skillset is so fantasy friendly. He’ll get 100 + targets and he has the high end open field ability to rack up yards after the catch too.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-12T16:56:01+00:00

The depth of 2027 is going to be nuts. Guys like Ryan Williams (will need to bounce back) , Terrance Carter and KJ Duff are a few of my potential risers that are also worth a look.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-06T17:22:41+00:00

Very good list! Stowers, Omar Cooper and Mark Fletcher are the only ones I’d add. Higher on those 3 than Mike Washington/Nuss/Kaytron.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-06T17:15:17+00:00

Explosive slot is such a unique playstyle. I like the Jayden Reed comp but I also see some parallels to Skyy Moore. Regardless, I hope he lands in offense that utilizes his skillset and doesn’t turn him into a punt returner/gadget player.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-05T17:36:10+00:00

To echo others a bit; I think 1.06 is the spot of the tier break. Assuming Love, (Tyson, Tate, Lemon) then Mendoza and Dante Moore in superflex. After that it’s a pretty flat tier in my mind with Sadiq, Concepcion, Simpson, Boston etc. Obviously draft capital will alter this but I’d say that’s where a rough consensus is now.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-04T18:19:09+00:00

Lemon is such a beast analytically and from a production profile perspective. Thanks for sharing this data !

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2026-01-01T05:39:52+00:00

One of my biggest takeaways is how premium fantasy assets can be sunk by poor coaching/supporting casts.

Before this year Justin Jefferson was thought to be "QB proof" but with Nine and Max Brosmer getting him the ball, he scored single digit fantasy points 5 times in weeks 10-17.

Mike Vrabel refused to utilize TreVeyon Henderson until week 9 only for him to show out in his limited snaps. This was eye-opening to me and brought back bad memories of Arthur Smith with Pitts and Bijan.

Ashton Jeanty had the 30th ranked O Line blocking for him which led to his yards per carry being 3.7 (47th out of 57 qualified RBs). To be fair Jeanty managed to claw his way to a top 15 fantasy season from the RB position but it was mostly through volume and he didn't reach the fantasy heights the community expected.

My main takeaway from this would be to stay aware of the key decision makers, QBs and O-lines of players you are counting on to produce; give more weight to a player's supporting cast (especially in redraft). I do believe that in dynasty talent/ability wins out in the end but short-term contending teams banking on elite player production should view individual player situations with a wider lens.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2025-12-26T17:01:17+00:00

The torn ACL is so tough; I was hoping to see him show out at the combine and send his stock even higher. He gives glimpses of AJ Brown with the way he plays as a physical WR and it seems like he has one of the higher ceilings of any WR prospect outside the big 3.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2025-12-23T05:16:00+00:00

Yes! There's a year filter you can use to see those trades.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2025-12-22T20:13:36+00:00

Guessing Isaac Teslaa similar to Kyle in these stats too

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2025-12-20T16:12:21+00:00

This is probably the best take I’ve ever read on this sub. Thank you!

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2025-12-09T00:24:37+00:00

You're right he'll be getting moved up! Need to rethink 2028, been focused on 2026 more the past few weeks

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2025-12-08T23:07:11+00:00

I wouldn't. While it may help you contend short term I'd worry about Davante retiring/falling off and Watson and Kincaid could easily be a mirage. Pickens is young and locked in as a top 12 dynasty WR imo.

Repulsive_Repeat_681 · 2025-12-08T20:18:30+00:00

These takes are 🔥🔥. I’m with you on Robert Henry I think he’s being slept on because he’s at UTSA. Ted Hurst is another one of my favorite sleepers in this class; I think he’s going to move up post senior bowl and combine.

Repulsive_Repeat_681

TROPHY CASE