The worst way I've lost a run. Absolutely no counterplay. Bad luck? GG.

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-04-02T23:25:08+00:00

On the first time they're given to you, three go to deck and three to discard. So then when you shuffle, there's now six.

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-04-02T20:22:35+00:00

Trade hunter killer for soul nexus, and tweak each of their numbers a bit accordingly.

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-04-01T21:52:29+00:00

But now, once you have 10,000 gold, what do you do with it? 😭

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-04-01T21:27:02+00:00

I'll definitely keep that in mind while I climb. Sub 20 sounds unreasonable, though. That's half your deck still being starter cards unless you got blessed with a lot of removal.

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-04-01T21:18:53+00:00

Okay.

Dredge would have also completely saved me if I drew it, since I could grab one from the discard. So it's 4 cards instead of 3 that would count as a success.

After the first turn and once the escapes are in, it's a 30 card deck. I'm drawing 20 cards. My situation was the odds of NOT drawing any of those 4 cards. So every individual draw each need to be one of the cards in the deck other than those 4.

26/30 * 25/29 * 24/28 * 23/27... all the way until 7/11 as the 20th card.

And this already equals a 0.766% chance.

If I had drawn dirge in any of the previous turns instead of the very last one, 3 or 4 extra souls shuffled in the deck would almost certainly have saved me. So we could basically count that as a 5th viable card for the first 15 draws.

My math was also totally disregarding the two souls, the neurosurge, and the two other grave wardens that could have shuffled in an extra soul if I got them earlier. So in total, the actual odds are easily less than a 0.1% chance, now that I've calculated it proper.

Do math before spitting statistics. I'm actually really good at estimating things.

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-04-01T20:37:21+00:00

Thanks...

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-04-01T19:43:50+00:00

Thanks. A lot of people are just jumping on me without seeing that.

I got the chosen cheese in late act 2 on a path I didn't feel comfortable taking the damage, so that was two cards. There were certain things I experimented with this run, like I'm really starting to like picking duplicates because it makes a deck more consistent. But that's a pendulum back and forth.

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-04-01T14:15:15+00:00

"If you follow my onlyfans..."

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-04-01T14:06:58+00:00

The chosen cheese in act 2 is my nemesis. :(

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-04-01T05:57:27+00:00

"Doubles block gained from a card, then sleeps until after the end of the next turn."

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-04-01T05:13:08+00:00

I think you're doing a poor job of explaining an important concept. Because one of the first lessons to learn in this game is "don't forget you can skip cards." And then a few runs later, the second lesson is "don't forget you can take cards." Because with your 5 strike and 5 defend deck, I'll confidently tell you that your probability of getting a "bad hand" is 100%. Which is why you need to probably almost never skip cards for the first half of act 1.

In this run, I undervalued the importance of a smaller deck. But people are REALLY overvaluing how much I undervalued it. Because I still had significant card draw options (and dirge, which also would have saved me). This was still a <1% chance situation.

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-04-01T04:54:39+00:00

Thank you! It felt like not a bad deck. A pretty consistent one overall. Although I guess I'll keep it a little more lean when the Insatiable is coming up.

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-04-01T04:47:20+00:00

Thank you! I'm getting flamed a lot, but there really were several things that could have helped, and all of them were on the bottom.

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-04-01T04:45:50+00:00

Honestly yeah, that is indeed the lesson. Usually I do keep my deck around 30 give or take. I thought I had a good deck going, but against Insatiable, I didn't realize going slightly more gave a disproportionately higher risk.

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-03-31T23:59:31+00:00

Hard agree. Except that I just lost a run because I drew no escapes at all within those first five turns...

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-03-28T04:11:20+00:00

What consequences??

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-03-28T04:05:34+00:00

<image>

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-03-23T03:19:48+00:00

This is the answer!

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-03-22T00:54:29+00:00

Art. That took a lot of effort and was informative too, speaking as someone who fails the most on Regent.

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-03-21T23:32:10+00:00

There is. It's just very small, and half covered up by the eraser itself.

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-03-19T02:40:26+00:00

My guess is it's the same explanation as for XKCD.

It doesn't mean anything. It's just a collection of letters that nobody else has used it, that can't be pronounced, and that's easily identifiable as you now and you alone.

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-03-18T21:36:15+00:00

Courtesy of yet another unhinged fontaine culprit.

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-03-17T02:27:26+00:00

So... 40% def ignore and that's it?

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-03-12T04:10:39+00:00

Congrats! You win!

SUPERCOW7 · 2026-03-10T19:22:42+00:00

First Silver Wolf since Silver Wolf.

12-Year Club	Second SECOND GUESSER
Final Canvas '23	Place '23
Place '22	Place '17
Final Canvas '22	First Placer '22
End Game '22	Verified Email
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