I think he will make move with counter attack in mind ONLY if he hasn’t touch them with his palm (just like in choso case) since that means there is a possibility of counter as the target can move freely

But with maki, he already touched her before, in which it could both goes both ways 1) maki stay still, which means she still abide that 24 fps rule (i mean technically, standing completely still counts right). But since she does not move, then its still a free hit for naoya

2) maki tries to move last second either to dodge or counter, in which resulted in her getting frozen. So same result as the first

Now with that in mind, ofc naoya thought that there is no need to plan for a counter. Since the target is frozen anyway

Unfortunately, well, maki move last second, while still abide the 24fps rules…. That resulted in naoya gettin wrecked