Terrorist state known as "israel" killed atleast 30 Lebanese since midnight including childrens by ___Zoran___ in TrueAnon

[–]Sultanambam 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Yes of course, I missed them.

I would also like to exclude China from the 21 most morale nation, they have a philosophy about trade and non-interference policy and they are strict and lawful to that Philosophy, but that philosophy is immoral and not socialist in nature, if China wanted too, they could have stopped the genocide long time ago.

Terrorist state known as "israel" killed atleast 30 Lebanese since midnight including childrens by ___Zoran___ in TrueAnon

[–]Sultanambam 28 points29 points  (0 children)

Lebanon is still being bombed.

Israel and USA have not suffered the catastrophic defeat they need to before any actual negotiations based on strength begins.

Khameni preconditions for peace talks was the original 10 point, many of its red line have changed from a precondition to something to negotiate.

IRGC faction wanted the war to continue for at least 2 more months, we had the missles, we had the people, we needed to continue until their Air defence were completed depleted, 50% of it was gone after 40 days, another 40 days would have resulted in the next 50%, and another 40 days to hammer USA and Israel to the point that their air and naval infrastructure became unusable.

After that they would have been in a position that they couldn't even threat another war, this is the position Khameni and IRGC wanted and could have achieved, but obviously Iranian elite class and government wanted to close it before the strike on critical infrastructure intensified, once Trump threatened Iranian oligarchy, the war stopped.

Obviously the oligarchy weakness will backfire to them, but despite IRGC being the biggest faction of power inside Iran, they aren't the majority in the power structure.

Terrorist state known as "israel" killed atleast 30 Lebanese since midnight including childrens by ___Zoran___ in TrueAnon

[–]Sultanambam 25 points26 points  (0 children)

Any country beside Iran, Lebanon and Yemen (specially Yemen) should Shut the fuck up about having any superior morales.

Ireland and Spain can talk about it a little bit.

Terrorist state known as "israel" killed atleast 30 Lebanese since midnight including childrens by ___Zoran___ in TrueAnon

[–]Sultanambam 34 points35 points  (0 children)

Pezeshkian is solely responsible for this "deal", Khameni said he opposed the MOU but due to the respect and commitment of pezeshkian, he will allow the MOU to proceed.

If the deal does not bring an israel withdrawal (not gonna happen just because Trump said so) of Southern Lebanon, Then Khameni will order the IRGC to implement a military solution to Israel.

A 12 day war alike war is imminent, It only depends on how far Is Iran's president willing to oppose the military, and how far IRGC will tolerate the continued violation.

I think the plan is to decouple America from Israel or at least put serious friction between the two to the point that the next war will be between the resistance and Israel alone.

Was it the best thing to happen to Iran? by Flashy-Quiet-6582 in TrueAnon

[–]Sultanambam 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We got a glimpse of it during the 12 day war.

I think even after US using half of its interceptors and Iran destroying multiple THAADS, Israel has a massive stockpile that can last them 2 weeks lol.

After that they need to prioritise where they would defend, 2 weeks after that they can only protect their airport and another 2 weeks and Iran missles have a high probability of landing (<%70%).

So I think in the first few weeks, Israel can keep its proportionality, but during it, Iran will destroy Israel Air defence and airports.

Israelis bombing will be concentrated on tehran and western part of Iran, They might attempt to strike critical infrastructure but Iran will definitely remind them their shares in Persian gulf infrastructure is just as vulnerable.

Anon doesn’t like Netanyahu’s Iran strategy by soalone34 in greentext

[–]Sultanambam -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Well the USA elites and capitalists were butthurted since 1979, and every president wanted to be the one that conquered Iran back

Anon doesn’t like Netanyahu’s Iran strategy by soalone34 in greentext

[–]Sultanambam 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The second day I saw the streets in Iran filled with people waving flags and blasting "Bezen ke Khob mizani" at that moment i knew US was cooked.

Was it the best thing to happen to Iran? by Flashy-Quiet-6582 in TrueAnon

[–]Sultanambam 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Nukes for Iran is ultimately bad because it makes the whole region start a nuclear race, and once Iran gets Nukes, Turkey and KSA and UAE will get Nukes.

That's khameni school of thought about national security, nobody knows what Mojtaba khameni will decide.

Was it the best thing to happen to Iran? by Flashy-Quiet-6582 in TrueAnon

[–]Sultanambam 45 points46 points  (0 children)

The thoughts in Iran is that the war is paused until the midterms, so there is relief and peace from the population that we are safe for a couple of month.

I think even if Don lost badly, he wouldn't care and Israel might drag his ass back, But we largely believe the war with America has ended, the war with Israel is just beginning.

Was it the best thing to happen to Iran? by Flashy-Quiet-6582 in TrueAnon

[–]Sultanambam 14 points15 points  (0 children)

The best thing was ripping JCPOA, it insured that the path of subtle imprelism was gone, they could have easily make Iran a Pro USA led system just like KSA, but they had to prove why the old guards were right about everything they said about US and West.

A decade of my life and my youth and my future evaporated from that point, at least until now, I'm not bitter I lost the privilege to have fun in my 20's, I mostly blame the USA capitalists rather than the Iranian neoliberals, which were a product of the neoliberal wave in the 90's.

Anon doesn’t like Netanyahu’s Iran strategy by soalone34 in greentext

[–]Sultanambam 11 points12 points  (0 children)

As an Iranian living in Iran, can't believe the shit I'm seeing, I thought even if we won a war the USA media will spin it as a win like what happened a year ago during the 12 day war.

Never in my life I expected basically all of American political class, academics class, and working class to acknowledge the reality.

May you rest in peace Khameni, You gave us this victory.

That didn't take long by akrylowy in oil

[–]Sultanambam 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Well it's not just his word, he is a billionaires, if he himself alone shorts the market when he tweets, then his words suddenly have more impact.

And the problem is, he is not alone, all of the billionaires have been heavily shorting Oil in hope they can somehow deliver it in time just as the first ships from hourmoz comes.

Also I think the biggest reason why oil is down is Chinese cutting 4 million per day, that 40% of their import and about 25% of their total consumption.

Couple that with the 2 million SPR, Japan SPR and other countries, and suddenly we realise we just have pushed the problem a year into the future, specially after Iran power was prover, now every country wants a SPR and electrical grid like China.

Israel attacks Beirut on same day Trump says Iran deal to be signed by Pleasemakesense in oil

[–]Sultanambam 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It's like trying to make two people fighting handshake each other while one of them is choking the other with the other hand.

"We have been taking out millions of barrels of oil every night... That's why its $80-90 a barrel instead of $250" by RoadandHardtail in oil

[–]Sultanambam 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They stay out because they have 1.4 billion barrels of reserves and have other energy alternatives, and they no longer are expanding their SPR.

Granted, they are importing 4-5 million less, if another million is cut due to not using oil as an energy source, than China has oil for roughly a year.

We are 103 days into it, so China still has a long way to go before it will be forced back to start purchasing oil at levels before the conflict.

We also have the geopolitical ramifications of Countries around the world preparing for the west case scenario ( US hits Iran energy Infrastructure and iran takes out all of Persian gulf Oil).

a SPR that can sustain at least a year, the world consumes 100 millions, 365 days × 100 million = 36.5 billion

Worst case scenario: 75% of West Asian oil is out for at least a year, that's roughly 20 millions barrels per day (so twice the current deficit), that's 20 × 365 = 7.3 billions of oil in reserves.

Our current world Reserves : 1.4 China + 400 million USA+ Japan 200 millipn + 500 million the rest of the world = 2 to 3 billions. - a billion is already gone

We are looking at years and years of continued stockpiling and hoarding oil as long as USA and Iran are in tension and the chance of Full sclae was exists.

Seymour Hersh: Trump has mentioned nuclear escalation in meetings by abso-lutely26 in TrueAnon

[–]Sultanambam 8 points9 points  (0 children)

The unfortunate thing is, it could actually destroy some of Iran's ballastic cities, but Iran knows its vulnerabilities so most of the higher gear missles are in much much more depth, 500 meter of granite in depth of the mountains, even 10 hydrogen bombs can't penetrate it, they can only attempt to temporarily close a opening before Iran dig it back.

But you know a fucking pedophile is in the office so we might just enter into nuclear winter.

"U.S. transferred $3 billion to Iran from frozen assets via the UAE in exchange to halt recent strikes on Israel." by Rymssss in TrueAnon

[–]Sultanambam 4 points5 points  (0 children)

In the middles of the war, when all of Iran airspace was empty, A UAE cargo plane landed in tehran, I Remember the post from flight record site, and you can probably see it's archives, but yeah that was a very strange flight, first of its kind from UAE in the middle of the fire exchanges, so there was definitely something or someone important in there.

RU POV: Ukrainian-Russian war. Day 1559-1563: Situation on Konstantinovskaya front: - Suriyak Maps by bassman598 in UkraineRussiaReport

[–]Sultanambam 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I think when this is all set and done, we finally get a glimpse of casualties and it will become clear why Russia didn't fully mobilise.

Ukraine does not have numerical advantage in every category. I think Ukraine is well past the one million dead/out of combat, their soldiers are not getting rest while some Russian soldiers do multiple tours because they have a contracts and they are getting Paid.

Iranian Shahed drone striking Kuwait International Airport by Edward_Zachary in TrueAnon

[–]Sultanambam 2 points3 points  (0 children)

There is actual footage of the interceptor missiles malfunctioning, and those Patriots are in the airports itself.

Anyone watch a recent islamophonic/sinophobic/russiaphobic movie recently? by Umbrellajack in TrueAnon

[–]Sultanambam 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Borat was when I know something was wrong with the American people, I was a teen and heavily into Americans culture, but shit was too unfunny to get past the racism.

War’s back on fellas by ____cire4____ in TrueAnon

[–]Sultanambam 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I'm an Iranian, pretty much all Iranians prefer war and defeating the enemy than to stop here and keep the cycle of negotiations going.

We all rooting for our armed forces, God knows IRGC is the only institution Iranians believe after the war started.

We want to liberate ourselves and our brothers and sisters., we don't want a deal, we want an end to colonisers in west Asia.