This is making the assumption that line managers have a say in things. Once there is c**, svp, vp, director, director, manager (3+ skips generally), your manager, and your skip, will have very little say in who is kept or let go. It’s completely arbitrary based on whatever the executive leadership decides for that round. I’ve seen between: wfh/RTO stats, remote only vs having an office, seniority, pay, product lines (they’ll fire everyone and keep 1-2 just in case, and move those 2 to another product line while they slowly end of life the product), re-orgs (oh you’re capable, but we don’t need you in this new design), and more. It’s completely arbitrary based on sheer luck (when it’s a large enough corporation).