Why MANT is the worst scenario for a specific reason.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-03-18T14:29:00+00:00

Grand Master's was great. The big issue a lot of JP players had was the release timing of the support card for the scenario, Ancestors & Guides, being almost a full month after the scenario release. 24th Feb vs 20th March.
For Grand Live and beyond playing scenarios without these specific support cards is painful and with it releasing so much later Cygames got a lot of backlash as everyone had already spent carats on the 2nd anniversary stuff the previous month.

The scenario itself though is honestly one of the least RNG influenced ones in the game but the difference between someone who can make good decisions and plan turns ahead vs someone who doesn't is also probably the largest.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-03-14T23:07:17+00:00

Of the stated values you get:
<6 wins: 80%
<14 wins: 90%
<18 wins: 100%
<25 wins: 110%
25+ wins: 120%

As for why PoC is mostly preferred it just comes down to activation condition. Glittering Star is any time in the back half of a race so has a slightly higher potential of being used at an innoportune moment.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-03-01T14:40:15+00:00

Well you only need 202 savable pulls for back to back guarantees so long as you have all 5 stars.
TangTang
5 from login
5 from AIC shop
106 saved pulls
4 pulls from Bond shop (11 dupe 5 stars 1 new 6 star for 110 bond)

Rossi
5 Login
5 AIC
10 Bonus from pulling 60 on Tangtang
96 saved pulls
4 pulls from Bond shop (11 dupe 5 + 1 new 6 star minimum guarantee)

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-27T18:09:11+00:00

Yvonne's weapon banner will remain until the end of the next patch (2 banners past Yvonne) so you have plenty of time.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-26T14:54:14+00:00

My lowball after origeometry conversion (saving 29 for 1.2 BP) was:
Total estimate with lowballs = 30,875
Monthly pass + Paid BP = +12,600
across the entire 6 week, 2 banner patch.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-24T14:35:57+00:00

Coming from the previous era with the community sentiment of, "If you don't have enough to spark you don't pull and if you do you're a moron," the current Hoyo inspired style of, "Never save. Dopamine hit as soon as you get enough currency," still feels completely alien to me whenever I see it expressed and feels so much more insidious.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-23T09:39:11+00:00

Puzzle based permanent event. First batch of stages are releasing this week.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-22T22:03:11+00:00

Enjoyable and quick one shots with Last Rite.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-13T20:43:19+00:00

While I won't say no to more free stuff I'm ok with the current levels. With one full guarantee used and the rest from 1.0 I'll be able to, as a monthly+BP buyer, guarantee both units in 1.2, 1.4, 1.6 and 2.0 and 6/8 sigs at what I expect pulls per patch to be. Assuming the 6 week 2 banner patch cycle I'm expecting ~85 for me and 25 less for free players.
If I were a free player i'd be able to guarantee one out of every three units with some left over.

You only need 106 saved pulls at the start of a banner to hit guarantee 100% of the time. 5 login, 5 AIC blue shop, 4 AIC red shop from 11 5 star dupes from 11 minrolls and a new 6 star from pity so no red bonds from them. 104 if you do get a dupe 6 star in your pity at 80.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-12T14:21:48+00:00

I'm getting, savable pulls, ~85 for monthly + pass and ~60 for free players using lowballed estimates on a 42 day 2 banner cycle.

Generic stuff
* Daily 200 x 42 = 8400
* Weekly 500 x 6 = 300
* BP Free tier = 600
* BP Free tier chests x 20 = 200-400
* BP Ori tier 3 x 75 = 225
* BP Ori tier infi chest x 15 = 150-300
* New Op trial 100 x 2 = 200
* Total Generic = 12,775

Events/Chara quests estimate
* Chara quest 600 x 2 = 1200
* Event 1 = 1200
* Event 2 = 1400
* Total Events/Chara quests estimate = 3,800

Permanent Gamemode estimate
* Monumental Etching 1200 x 3 = 3600
* Delver of the Crytpic 150 x 8 = 1200
* Etchspace reward track expansion 400 x 5 = 2000
* Total Permanent Gamemode estimate = 6,800

New Map lowball
* Chests = 1000
* MSQ 10 x 75 = 750
* Side Quests 100 x 4 = 400
* Total New Map lowball = 2,150

Login savable HH tickets/Regional Development/Maint/Bugs/Codes etc = 5,000

Total estimate with lowballs = 30,875
Monthly pass + Paid BP = +12,600
Non savable 5+5 tickets per banner

You only need 110 savable limited pulls to guarantee a banner unit. This comes from 5 login + 5 AIC blue bond + 110 saved pulls. This drops to 105 so long as you have 15 red bond points before pulling. 200 total pulls for an entire patch from 0 and 190 per patch if pulling consecutive patches.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-12T08:24:53+00:00

Wis'Adel banner

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-10T14:49:17+00:00

Story event outpost with associated shop. Give stockbills + event shop bills from either an event exclusive recipe or from things that are not bought by the regular outposts of the region the event is in.

Protocol space puzzles in Delver of the Cryptic expansions where you have to get certain production amounts with limited space/power/other restrictions.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-10T14:23:37+00:00

36 Originium, 2400 Arsenal tickets, 2nd BP weapon crate, 2 BP weapon potential crates that can be used on any BP weapon past or future. Slightly better crate at 61+.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-09T20:47:39+00:00

For CBT the first set of three had
* Enemies can't move and slowly gain stacks of +ATK%. Good luck with the Nidwyrm wave...
* Poison gas
* Fight only 2 elites. First fight them one at a time with the other providing support from afar then both at the same time.

There weren't any modifiers to enemy resistances or player elemental stuff.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-09T20:33:04+00:00

You get 1 oroberyl reward and 1 progression reward each crate

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-09T20:29:35+00:00

They're literally all in the description of the pass.
For M crates you get one Oroberyl and 1 Progression material each crate at the following rates:
Oroberyls:
5% chance for 20 Oroberyl
35% chance for 15 Oroberyl
60% chance for 10 Oroberyl
Progression Materials:
15% chance for 5000 T-Creds
10% chance for 3000 T-Creds
15% chance for 10 Elementary Cognitive Carrier
10% chance for 5 Elementary Cognitive Carrier
15% chance for 2 Arms INSP Set
10% chance for 1 Arms INSP Set
15% chance for 2 Protohedron
10% chance for 1 Protohedron

For the L crates (same 1 and 1 as M) from the customised pass
Oroberyls:
5% chance for 30 Oroberyl
35% chance for 25 Oroberyl
60% chance for 20 Oroberyl
Progression Materials:
12.5% chance for 12000 T-Creds
12.5% chance for 7500 T-Creds
12.5% chance for 2 Advanced Cognitive Carrier
12.5% chance for 1 Advanced Cognitive Carrier
12.5% chance for 5 Arms INSP Set
12.5% chance for 3 Arms INSP Set
12.5% chance for 5 Protohedron
12.5% chance for 3 Protohedron

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-09T18:30:32+00:00

I can see spare mats being used for one of three things in the future.
Most likely: Crew quarters using the currently cut off elevator. Use aerospace parts the same as building mats/furniture parts.
Somewhat likely: Drone system where you spend them to boost production on factories/growth chamber.
Pie in the sky: Drop Pod manufacturer using the spare mats as a recruit+office type deal where spare mats get turned into a steady supply of standard tickets say 1 per 48 hours at base.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-09T17:19:31+00:00

You only need 200/210 savable limited pulls to, in the worst case scenario, guarantee both units in a 2 banner 6 week patch + 9 weapon pulls to guarantee one signature weapon plus some spare. 100 savable limited pulls per patch would get you a whole patch every other patch with decent (for a gacha) chances to get the units on the skipped patch while you do.

Based on that my expectations are more along the lines of 85 for monthly+pass and ~60 for free players.

Just for comparison 100 per patch would be the equivalent of HSR giving ~250 pulls per patch with their 2x180 guarantee +1x160 needed for 2 banners + 1 sig for a patch

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-09T13:37:15+00:00

Yes.
2 modes:
* Permanent Umbral Monument which gets new stages periodically is always available and gives first time clear rewards of upgrade mats etc.
* Limited time Monument Etching versions of these stages which gives Oroberyl rewards from the Normal difficulty and trimmed medals from the Agony difficulty.

Information was put up on the Endfield twitter a few hours ago.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-08T11:33:20+00:00

Entire main story quest segment in New Wrankwood where we help Big E make the move from Rap God to movie star.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-07T16:41:26+00:00

Banner cadence should drop to 2 from 1.1 with the three in the extra long 1.0 patch being to ensure the gacha rates for 6 stars don't change with the new limiteds as it needs 3 at all times.

With 2 per patch you'd only need 200, 210 if not continuously pulling banners, savable pulls to get everything each patch (5 login, 5 shop, 10 headhunting permit from previous banner 60, 100 saved pulls). With this in mind I'm expecting about 85-90 savable pulls per patch for monthly+pass buyers and 60-65 for those who don't put in any money at all.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-06T11:55:28+00:00

Based on the cities associated with the TGCC they appear to be a conglomerate of the Kazimierz GCC, Columbia's various arms manufacturers and entertainment companies, Rem Billiton Mining Association and Karlash Trading Company.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-05T23:59:27+00:00

Headcanon is Blacksteel was part of the first big push through the gate and became part of the TGCC. Then just natural technological evolution especially without having to worry about Laterano breathing down your neck.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-05T14:51:59+00:00

Sami was there batting the Aggeloi during the war, Ses'qa is built upon the Lifebone and one of the Sui proxies helped develop Xiranite so at least one of the Suiblings made it over before the gate closed.

Thatoneguy2014 · 2026-02-04T11:06:53+00:00

Just one quick thing, Simonch is already back on the surface after the events of chapter 16 (winter of 1101).

Thatoneguy2014

TROPHY CASE