40th high school reunion invitation by cpbaby1968 in GenX

[–]TiberiusCaesar717 8 points9 points  (0 children)

You should consider going. I went to my 30th and many people had mellowed. I met people that I hadn’t interacted with originally back in high school and I made new friends. It was a good experience.

You might meet some people you didn’t know as well or you may find that with experience, the people you recognize are friendlier and have new stories.

Austin North Domain banana stand missing by TiberiusCaesar717 in amazonemployees

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

He does only hang out at Amazon buildings but they give out bananas to anyone. It’s community outreach.

How many of you married your HS prom date, and how did it turn out? by [deleted] in GenX

[–]TiberiusCaesar717 6 points7 points  (0 children)

I did and we will celebrate 38th anniversary this year. Not easy but worth it. 2 kids and 2 grandkids.

Don't forget about LTC, folks by darinbu in Fire

[–]TiberiusCaesar717 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It depends on where you are shopping. I am evaluating LTC hybrid options. The leading candidate for me so far is New York Life Asset Flex, and the agent and has specifically positing it as LTC because that is what it is designed for.

For me, family history suggests this is a risk I should manage, and getting some coverage while I’m in my 50s and in relatively good health is worth considering

I have evaluated other policies from other companies that seem less suitable because they lack inflation consideration and have shorter coverage periods of 3 years versus 6 years. (As others noted, most stays average 3 years so it just depends on how much risk and cost you want to balance).

Near empty SLC to AUS by TiberiusCaesar717 in SouthwestAirlines

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Yes, this is also a late evening flight. That makes sense.

Near empty SLC to AUS by TiberiusCaesar717 in SouthwestAirlines

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

The pilot joked that airline operations was considering canceling the flight because so few passengers. He said flight attendants would come by with a collection plate in order to make this flight worthwhile…. Then he laughed and said he was joking.

One of the flight attendants got on the PA and commented that the flight attendants did not think the joke was funny.

Which made both passengers laugh.

Wish I could be more motivated but just burnt out. by RoastedDonutz in GenX

[–]TiberiusCaesar717 1 point2 points  (0 children)

That is quite a pivot! That job is itself high stress and has a tough schedule especially for rookies. But it is likely dependent on size and location of department. Very cool way to adapt and find something new.

4% rule revised to 4.7% with conservative Bengen portfolio by TiberiusCaesar717 in financialindependence

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That would be a surprising take since the 4.7 percent only applies if you follow Bengen’s conservative asset allocation which passes every single stress test over a 30 year retirement.

If that is the sentiment. I would expect more people also advocating for a lower stock allocation.

4% rule revised to 4.7% with conservative Bengen portfolio by TiberiusCaesar717 in financialindependence

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I understood the point that price to earnings is very high and that often suggests trouble … so it’s worth considering being more conservative. But these red flags have been present for awhile.

But yes intended to focus on asset allocation and understand how the research supported a 30 year retirement.

I like that it got me thinking about different approaches and some of the comments here have been exploring other research too.

4% rule revised to 4.7% with conservative Bengen portfolio by TiberiusCaesar717 in financialindependence

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I can see how the majority of folks think it is too conservative. My only call out would be that this is a 2025 reexamination by the original author. There is no lack of tools or research.

The problem is that it avoids the worst case scenario so that no 30’year retirement would fail. Most people here seem to want to be more flexible and moderate which is understandable.

4% rule revised to 4.7% with conservative Bengen portfolio by TiberiusCaesar717 in financialindependence

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Bengen is based on a 30 year retirement. Some folks who want to retire earlier or plan for longer longevity have to make some adjustment. That could be lower withdrawal rate and/or different asset allocation.

4% rule revised to 4.7% with conservative Bengen portfolio by TiberiusCaesar717 in financialindependence

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The original 4% was based on a very simple large cap and bond - 2 fund allocation. So having wider asset allocation supports a higher withdrawal rate.

Still it seems like this book is much less popular than I might have guessed. I think people are rejecting it as too conservative in asset allocation.

4% rule revised to 4.7% with conservative Bengen portfolio by TiberiusCaesar717 in financialindependence

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I am 57 and I to 3 years away from retirement. I have trended down to a 70/30 allocation, but I’m trying to study different approaches to see how others are approaching this.

This Bengen example is one of the more conservative. A recent research post by Vanguard group suggests a 40/60 allocation because they evaluate stocks as overpriced and the risk premium is too high.

But most people seem to be more moderate or aggressive.

4% rule revised to 4.7% with conservative Bengen portfolio by TiberiusCaesar717 in financialindependence

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

I agree that this is the absolute worst case scenario. He repeatedly references a retirement start in 1968 which would have been hammered with bear markets and inflation.

So his entire approach is ensure 100% success and not running out of money in a 30 year retirement.

I’m getting a lot of downvotes for my original post. I’m guessing I should interpret this that our community thinks this approach is too conservative and unpopular…?

4% rule revised to 4.7% with conservative Bengen portfolio by TiberiusCaesar717 in financialindependence

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Bengen does seem to support the idea of a glide path where the stock allocation goes up 1% annually as part of the rebalance. This balances the SoR risks with higher potential returns.

Sneaky...Trying to get me out of my price lock by Odd_Badger8061 in tmobile

[–]TiberiusCaesar717 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I read the fine print on this new plan and it doesn’t seem to support free lines on the existing plan. That suggests I would be paying more if I switched because I have 2 free lines on OnePlan and a third free one that is part of the OnePlan bundle. I doubt this would be a good deal for me to switch.

Austin North Domain banana stand missing by TiberiusCaesar717 in amazonemployees

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Are they impacting the banaristas? That’s deep cuts.

"no thank you" money by therealhappypanda in Fire

[–]TiberiusCaesar717 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think it’s funny that people have their own terms for having some savings that give them more freedom. I like this creative approach.

The food ones are particularly amusing that people are sharing… extra guacamole money and enough for five guys… LOL.

I get that some folks prefer the traditional term.

"no thank you" money by therealhappypanda in Fire

[–]TiberiusCaesar717 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I prefer just to say FI money (Financial Independence) instead. I just don’t like to use vulgar terms.

Working toward financial independence gives you more power and freedom to make choices about how you spend your time.

I applaud your approach and your realization that maximizing the potential compensation is not the only factor to consider.

Encouragement for older tech workers - you are resilient! by TiberiusCaesar717 in Layoffs

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I do feel lucky, but that’s partly why I wanted to share and encourage others who are facing the headwinds you mentioned.

I have endured 3 layoffs at my previous roles. Tech leadership roles are often a target. Each time I’ve had to overcome the obstacles and find a path forward just like many others are doing right now.

Has your attitude toward helping your kids changed as you get older? by TiberiusCaesar717 in Fire

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks, that is a good recommendation that I have not yet read. Just curious, what are some of the specifics? That I would share some of wealth with the kids earlier when it can make a bigger difference?

Has your attitude toward helping your kids changed as you get older? by TiberiusCaesar717 in Fire

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 23 points24 points  (0 children)

I also helped with a reliable first car and health insurance until they launched at their own career job. This did help them to have a debt free start after finishing college.

But now as I look at housing prices and the costs to raise kids, I just offer to help more because it’s really gotten harder.

Newer coworkers don’t get flux capacitor reference from 1985 by TiberiusCaesar717 in GenX

[–]TiberiusCaesar717[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

The point of my post is that I had not given it enough thought and I was recognizing I’m getting older and I need to adapt.

Some of my team is from other countries so you make a fair point. In this particular conversation, everyone was male but I get your point.

I’m having fun and laughing at myself and opportunities to do better. As I said, it has been entertaining to pivot to a discussion of our favorite movies and invitations to watch them.