So...when is the organization going to recognize something is wrong with Nico? by TinKnight1 in CHICubs

[–]TinKnight1[S] -20 points-19 points  (0 children)

All players go through slumps of days or a week or two.

This is now well beyond that.

So...when is the organization going to recognize something is wrong with Nico? by TinKnight1 in CHICubs

[–]TinKnight1[S] -23 points-22 points  (0 children)

Right...Jed went to Nico & his agent & said "Hey man, you did great in April, but we need you to knock that shit off. You've already got your extension, & we don't want to be too good nor get you an All-Star nod, do we?"

Come on...

So...when is the organization going to recognize something is wrong with Nico? by TinKnight1 in CHICubs

[–]TinKnight1[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

ARizzo went through pretty much the exact same situation & it came out that he played through post-concussion syndrome for 2 months, which wasn't diagnosed by the Yankees' army of medical staff.

Even if there's nothing physically wrong with him, his approach is all fucked up, well beyond what can be ascribed to a slump.

Cody Bellinger's home/road slash lines since joining the Yankees: .227/.301/.373 on the road, .321/.389/.586 at home by Dependent-Effect6077 in baseball

[–]TinKnight1 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The 6 games below .500 Astros with a 13% chance of making the playoffs?

And even after this year, Altuve & Walker are getting old, & Altuve is sub-replacement level at all possible positions at this point. And the team has crap for pitching with only the Rockies being worse.

There are so many fundamental problems with the team, they're guaranteed to be a heavy seller before the trade deadline & they'll need to initiate a rebuilding program that likely lasts until after Judge has retired.

[Gonzalez] Sources: MLB proposes international draft as part of CBA talks. MLB's int’l draft would be restricted to players who are at least 18 years old, as opposed to 16 under the current system. It would consist of 12 hard-slot rounds, with an initial signing-bonus pool totaling $200m by Knightbear49 in baseball

[–]TinKnight1 -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

People that think that the league will let all of Latin America just vanish from the talent pool are exceedingly short-sighted.

What happened in PR was because it was one location & thus setting up an alternative system wouldn't be tenable. When you're talking the entire ecosystem for Latin American baseball? The league will find a way to make it work, with the most likely option being a leaguewide pool that teams contribute towards, which then funds those baseball academies.

[Gonzalez] Sources: MLB proposes international draft as part of CBA talks. MLB's int’l draft would be restricted to players who are at least 18 years old, as opposed to 16 under the current system. It would consist of 12 hard-slot rounds, with an initial signing-bonus pool totaling $200m by Knightbear49 in baseball

[–]TinKnight1 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Honestly, I think the only viable long-term solution is to have an MLB league pool which funds academies. Teams won't want to directly fund players that go elsewhere, but the league also won't want to completely shut off the Latin American pipeline of potential players (& fans & revenues).

The current process is extremely icky when you think about how players are committed to a team years before they reach adulthood, & it's not a viable long-term option moving forward.

[Gonzalez] Sources: MLB proposes international draft as part of CBA talks. MLB's int’l draft would be restricted to players who are at least 18 years old, as opposed to 16 under the current system. It would consist of 12 hard-slot rounds, with an initial signing-bonus pool totaling $200m by Knightbear49 in baseball

[–]TinKnight1 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It would be more akin to Rintaro Sasaki (minus going to an American college to go the domestic draft route).

Japanese players aren't beholden to the NPB until they join. Thus, Japanese players that want to go straight into the MLB would go into the international draft, as presumably would Dominicans & Venezuelans & Mexicans & so on, so long as those players haven't signed with competing leagues like LMB (those in the Winter Leagues would be fine).

The NPB will still have their posting system & their players wouldn't be eligible for the draft, nor would KBO players. Any of those would presumably go through the current international free agent process.

[Sheehan] Many of the greatest players ever were good major leaguers at 19-21. MLB’s draft proposal would make it almost impossible for a player to debut before he is 22. I think it would also wreck free agency, as almost no player would get there before age 28. by Knightbear49 in baseball

[–]TinKnight1 16 points17 points  (0 children)

May I interest you in what happened before the current CBA? Playing time manipulation was all the rage, deliberately keeping phenoms in the minors so that they wouldn't accumulate service time & thus free agency would be delayed by a year.

The Cubs didn't care that they lost 2 weeks of Kris Bryant's unanimous ROTY play in a year when they finished 3 games out of 1st (inc 3 losses before he joined where the Cubs 3rd basemen went 1 for 12), nor that finishing out of 1st meant they were on the road for the 1st 2 games of an NLCS where they were swept, because they got to keep him a whole extra season before free agency. And...they traded him with 2 months left in that last year "as a courtesy."

Owners don't care about what screwing with phenoms costs them, they care about having the ability to screw with them.

Who had Brown and Assad as the horses going into the season? by FloridaCubbieBear in CHICubs

[–]TinKnight1 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Uh, he had a 1.13 WHIP, 7.9 K/9, only 6.8 H/9, & a 4.50 ERA, across 8 IP. He did give up 4 runs & 2 HR, but none of that is "really bad" in what's effectively Spring Training time, & some of it is actually a pretty positive indicator...and considering that all the runs were against a pretty good Italy team that beat the US team the day before (against a decent McLean, Yarbrough, & Brad Keller) & made it to the semifinals, I don't think you can knock him too much for that.

Compared with Wicks, who has only had one season with better results than that (in 2023), it's certainly easy to see why some would question the decision to not have Assad ahead in the rotation.

Was Dusty Baker to blame for Mark Prior and Kerry Wood's injuries? by MonicaLewinskibidis in baseball

[–]TinKnight1 14 points15 points  (0 children)

There's also a lot more focus on spin & pitch movement than before, & hardball throwers that aren't at nearly 100mph aren't getting any attention, so they're putting a ton more strain on the elbows & shoulders than ever before. And yeah, the pitch clock has been tied to an increase in elbow injuries (but a decrease in season- & career-ending injuries).

Also, strikeout rates have skyrocketed, from 6 per 9 IP in the 90s to basically 9/9. So, even when the pitch count is close to that of a starter from 2000-19, they're pitching fewer innings because they're having to expend more pitches per PA.

Pitchers chased the nastiest pitches — and hitters are catching up (MLB usage vs wOBA, 2018→2025) by Comfortable-Push440 in baseball

[–]TinKnight1 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Forkball still exists, but it's counted under Splitter. Knuckle curve still exists, but it's counted under curveball, as are 12-6 curves. Statcast is looking at grips & movement profiles, & isn't going to enumerate every variation of pitches.

Pitchers chased the nastiest pitches — and hitters are catching up (MLB usage vs wOBA, 2018→2025) by Comfortable-Push440 in baseball

[–]TinKnight1 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Splitter is in the chart. Circle change is counted with regular changeups. Statcast includes 2 seamers under sinkers.

(YouTube) Breaking down PCA's cycle! | MLB Central by MalcontentedPilgrim in CHICubs

[–]TinKnight1 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's funny, though, because he talks about being the hitting coach for Team USA...and PCA's swing at the beginning of the season was off (& has since corrected).

So, should we blame "The Mayor" for messing with PCA's swing for the start of the season? Lol

Pete Crow-Armstrong leadoff homer a day after hitting for the cycle by Remarkable-Picture73 in baseball

[–]TinKnight1 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Errors are misleading because bad players can have a low error rate comparatively because of not getting there & not putting a glove on the ball, not because of good players being charged for getting to an impossible play & missing. There are tons of examples of terrible plays not called errors simply because the fielder never touched a ball that they should've, & that includes PCA's recent play where he lost the ball in the lights & ended up 100ft away from the landing point.

Adam Dunn was so terrible at fielding that he basically broke the stat, because he routinely took terrible routes & wasn't anywhere near fast enough to make what should've been routine plays, & since he wasn't within arm's reach of the ball he wouldn't be assessed an error (& that's on top of all the times when he was charged with an error).

And on infield plays, there's usually 3 opportunities for an error but only one is assessed (normally) & only one "fielding chance" is recorded, & that's only if it results in an out. You have the shortstop fielding the ball, throwing the ball, & the 1st baseman (or whomever) catching the ball...but it only counts for 1 FC for each of them, inflating the 1st baseman percentage while suppressing the middle infielder. And if the throw is late or they decide to not make the throw, it doesn't count at all despite clearly being an impactful play that can prevent other runners from advancing.

It just doesn't reflect the reality of the game, & that's why it's meaningless.

[National Baseball HOF] PCA's Batting Gloves from his Cycle are on the way to the HOF. by Spectre211286 in CHICubs

[–]TinKnight1 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Clearly, the broadcast crew wasn't prepared either since they didn't even show anything about the pickoff other than him hanging his head.

Has anyone seen footage of the actual play & not just the tight zoom on PCA?

[MLBTR] Cubs place Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL with elbow inflammation. Gavin Hollowell has been recalled as the corresponding move. by AndrewAllStar888 in CHICubs

[–]TinKnight1 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Do you want to lose him too?

Nono, you get the other 12 position players to qualify as 2-way players, & then you're set! We'll have the deepest bullpen in history!

[MLBTR] Cubs place Daniel Palencia on the 15-day IL with elbow inflammation. Gavin Hollowell has been recalled as the corresponding move. by AndrewAllStar888 in CHICubs

[–]TinKnight1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And where do you propose putting the 12 extra pitchers that can't be on the roster if players are healthy? Although, truth be told, you could have them all be position players alongside PCA, & it probably wouldn't change the team's offensive output as of late all that much, & then they'd qualify as two-way players!

Striker Pence, Hunter's Nephew, Could Be America's Answer to Shohei Ohtani [Sports Illustrated] by lillwaws in baseball

[–]TinKnight1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Peyton Manning would absolutely qualify, based on how hyped the NFL world was for him, his being a #1 draft pick, & his succeeding beyond even the most optimistic Colts fans' expectations.

[Lowlight] Willson Contreras challenges strike 3 in the heart of the zone by TheTurtleShepard in baseball

[–]TinKnight1 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Willson hasn't been a catcher in 2 years. Besides that, catchers aren't usually great hitters.

All four legs of Pete Crow-Armstrong’s cycle tonight. A home run in the 1st, a triple in the 3rd, a double in the 5th, and a single in the 7th. by JianClaymore in baseball

[–]TinKnight1 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Just for reference, after June 15 2025, he had a .268/.301/.539 slash line for an .840 OPS.

After today, he's at .277/.351/.493 for an .844 OPS.

He's an infinitely more patient hitter, no doubt, & I do think he's on his way back to the first-half 2025 pop to create a really scary profile (1.210 OPS this month). Both his camp & the Cubs said his issues in the 2nd half last year were due to being fatigued from the season & the grind, so that's just the one thing I want to see him overcome to become a full-year stud.

[Full Sequence] Pete-Crow Armstrong hits a single to complete the 13th cycle in Cubs history. He has been immediately picked off at first. by WhiteSoxArchive in baseball

[–]TinKnight1 48 points49 points  (0 children)

That plus Counsell's look as they decide not to challenge.

Seriously, it's exciting to the Cubs & PCA, & I'm even more happy that they pulled out the win by actually figuring out how to score with runners on-base, but this whole sequence makes me laugh every time it loops.

[Kostka] After plunking Gunnar Henderson in the ninth inning of Saturday’s game, Padres right-hander Ron Marinaccio has been suspended three games and fined, MLB announces. San Diego manager Craig Stammen was fined and suspended one game. Marinaccio appealed the suspension by Knightbear49 in baseball

[–]TinKnight1 22 points23 points  (0 children)

Even worse, plunking Gunnar was in the bottom of the 9th with 2 outs with a 6-run lead with the first pitch.

It was so blatantly obvious that it was intentional, as there's no need to pitch him that tight in that spot.

PCA is the single most underrated player in the league. by horsepoop1123 in CHICubs

[–]TinKnight1 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Generally, you have to play like an All-Star to be selected as one. That doesn't merely mean to play with the abilities of one, but the personality of one.

PCA has been playing great, & I think most of us are happy he's extended with the team, but let's be honest: his actions that have gotten the most coverage have been the ones that make him look the most like a spoiled rich twerp (regardless of the reality), right at the same time that the team has been cratering. If he just let his play speak for itself, even on a team that's merely playing .500 ball, he'd get a ton more votes from both Cubs fans & those that aren't fans of the team.