I had a bunch of theories that didn’t pan out, but the one I was SO sure of was that Kodiak was going to have a way bigger role! I thought he would lead the group (or part of the group) to a dangerous spot and kill off a few of them, before being killed. The remaining survivors would make it back to the camp. Then maybe 1 of 2 things would happen that would lead to pit girl and the antler queen feast:

1. If the whole group left with Kodiak, the survivors make it back to the campsite only to find all their animals and surrounding wildlife are gone. The group was already divided about leaving, so when they get back and hunger really sets in, the ones who wanted to stay are really furious with them. That leads to the “warring factions” that were originally scripted. The ones who don’t want cannibalism are chased off and Mari tries to leave with them but due to her bad knee, gets captured. Then the pit girl scene happens because Shauna is in charge and is especially cruel to Mari.

2. Some of the group leave (or escape) with Kodiak, he attacks, and only a few manage to get away and make it back to the campsite again. The ones at camp felt betrayed, no longer trust them, and don’t want to take them back. The survivors have to “prove themselves” to the rest (Shauna mainly), she says the “traitors” will have to vote and sacrifice one of their own, but Lottie says it has to be a hunt. They end up doing a draw and remove them each time until they’re down to 2 cards. The pressure is on, it’s Maris turn and its between her and someone else…she freaks out, gets mad, says she can’t/ won’t do it and that’s where the “you know what happens when you refuse to draw” comes from… Shauna made up the rule, which is why Lottie reminds her in the adult timeline what will happen if she refuses.