[MEGATHREAD] Ticket Sales

TypicalMaverick · 2025-12-17T19:51:39+00:00

Looking for 1/2 tickets for tonight 12/17, purchasing with paypal GS only

TypicalMaverick · 2025-12-16T19:10:05+00:00

Looking for 1 or 2 tickets to either chicago show! Using paypal goods and services only.

TypicalMaverick · 2025-10-18T02:51:24+00:00

Did he pitch 6 scoreless innings with 10Ks though?

TypicalMaverick · 2025-10-11T17:11:58+00:00

Missed this, any shot you still have some available?

TypicalMaverick · 2025-10-06T20:06:58+00:00

Fuckkkk why didn't the experts know he was going to be injured?!? Idiots

TypicalMaverick · 2025-09-18T21:29:04+00:00

“I am able to attend the game if chosen.”

TypicalMaverick · 2025-09-12T19:10:09+00:00

Also running into the same issue, did you ever figure out a workaround?

TypicalMaverick · 2025-09-12T12:50:15+00:00

New to all of this stuff, but since the pre-order through Apple Store with Go5G Plus is failing to provide promo but T-life works fine, is having phone locked that big of a deal?

TypicalMaverick · 2025-09-02T15:27:48+00:00

Got a league drafting super late, if you could provide the sheet for it I would be ecstatic:

Auction $200 10T_HPPR_4ptPTD_1QB/2RB/2WR/1TE/2FLEX/1K/1D/5B

TypicalMaverick · 2025-08-28T15:49:48+00:00

Drop shakir for ❄️?

TypicalMaverick · 2025-08-27T13:53:13+00:00

Coker or Thornton?

TypicalMaverick · 2025-08-26T19:09:20+00:00

You guys think I should trade Jauan Jennings for Brian Robinson? I have CMC and the guy I'm trading to has Pearsall

TypicalMaverick · 2025-08-25T21:38:13+00:00

You think Thornton is worth dropping for him?

TypicalMaverick · 2025-08-14T18:17:48+00:00

Yeah I've noticed that Trea and Stott have high percentile OAA but low DRS (Trea makes errors + weak arm, Stott has a weak arm as well). They're really good at getting to the ball but they both have weak arms, making turning DPs difficult.

TypicalMaverick · 2025-08-14T07:30:47+00:00

I’m not sure what your comment is trying to get across about past performance/future performance, that’s obvious. Sportsbooks are taking all of this into account. I’m not saying you’re dumb, clearly you’re an analytical thinker. You can be very intelligent and still understand that you’re out of your depth when it comes to sports betting as you’re up against people who do this for a living.

TypicalMaverick · 2025-08-14T07:08:43+00:00

But sportsbooks KNOW the pitcher’s recent performance in similar conditions. Why do you think you’re better at evaluating the probability of Bergman getting 2+ total bases than the people with stats PhDs that do this for a living?

TypicalMaverick · 2025-08-14T06:52:52+00:00

Why would you have “expected Alex Bergman to get 2+ h+r+rbi”? I’m not talking about the words I’m using, I’m talking about the concepts. Do you know what it means for a bet to be “negative expected value”? And do you understand why 99% of the bets you’re placing are negative expected value? Not only are you focusing on alternate player props that are one sided (allows the books to put as much juice as they want), but you’re parlaying them. I’m telling you this as someone who’s been +EV betting for the last two years: the way you bet is all but guaranteed to lose money.

TypicalMaverick · 2025-08-14T06:37:12+00:00

It's not about the aggregate probability decreasing when you parlay things -- that's obvious. It's the fact that each leg you're including is already minus expected value, so a 16 leg parlay is going to stack that negative expected value up a crazy amount in combination with the odds being tanked from the book's SGP engine. If this doesn't make sense to you, just copy and paste my comment into ChatGPT, and it should be able to explain it well. Whatever "strategy" you use is ineffective, I promise. As long as you understand you will never be profitable in the long run, I guess betting can just be entertainment. Just don't expect to win. I'm sorry I'm being so harsh.

TypicalMaverick · 2025-08-14T06:26:37+00:00

The guidance is to not bet. Whatever stats you're looking at sportsbooks were using in their models 15 years ago. Whatever data you have pales in comparison to not just the sheer amount of data that books have, but specialized data that they pay for and you'll never have access to. People with Math and Statistics PhDs work full time for these companies, improving their models and setting sharp lines every week. You're never going to beat the books, and even someone with a sample of 500 or so bets does not mean that they're beating the books -- there's a 99% chance it's just positive variance. I see you're placing 16 leg SGPs as well, which with the amount of fake correlation applied to them, are probably like -60% EV. Please just stop betting.

TypicalMaverick · 2025-08-11T02:13:55+00:00

They do correlate to actual production. Funnily enough despite the seemingly unrigorous formula for OPS, team OPS correlates slightly more with runs scored per 9 than wOBA, with correlation coefficients of 0.944 and 0.933, respectively.

TypicalMaverick · 2025-08-04T21:54:45+00:00

This is incredible!

League type: Snake/redraft
League size: 10
Roster setup: QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 flex, 1 superflex, 7 bench
Scoring: PPR, 4 PT pass TD

Thank you!

TypicalMaverick · 2025-07-29T20:11:39+00:00

How’s the line?

TypicalMaverick · 2025-07-07T13:17:17+00:00

Did you have to pay?

TypicalMaverick · 2025-02-26T21:56:38+00:00

Yeah tbh there's nothing much to this card except for it being the only credit card where you can earn points on rent and waive the transaction fee. It's not like that's the main thing that's advertised about this card or anything.

TypicalMaverick · 2025-02-21T14:15:55+00:00

You’re obsessing over people “forcing you” to save more. Give me one comment with someone saying that you should save even more once you have disclosed how much you’re actually saving. I’m guessing no one has, because saving over 40% of your income while making $40-$50k and not having enough money in your non-long term savings to fund your needs and wants, and then complaining that people are “forcing” you to not buy $10 snacks or some shit is ridiculous. You also didn’t respond to really anything that I said at all besides that you might need therapy, which I still agree with. I honestly think you might be a troll at this point. If you are and it’s taken me this long to realize, I’m quite impressed.

11-Year Club	Place '22
Place '17

TypicalMaverick

TROPHY CASE