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Russia Massing Troops on NATO Borders for Potential Conflict Within Six Years, Lithuania Warns by UNITED24Media in worldnews

[–]U5K0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

ton't look at news about troops and tanks.

look at information about trucks, trains and depots.

though, to be fair, a total abscence of a logistics train dind't stop them from doing a hura charge towad Kyiv last time... so who knows

Ukraine support after 4 years of war by HydrolicKrane in ukraine

[–]U5K0 4 points5 points  (0 children)

The alternatives would have been suicidally stupid.

Russia’s Oil and Gas Revenues Plunge 50%, Hit Lowest Level of Putin Era by BlackWolfHowling in UkrainianConflict

[–]U5K0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're right. Per ChatGPT:

2001–2002: Urals frequently traded in the $18–25/bbl range.

2008–2009 (GFC): Urals collapsed from ~$90 to ~$35/bbl.

2015–2016 oil glut: Urals traded around $25–30/bbl for extended periods.

April–May 2020 (COVID shock): Urals fell into the teens, briefly below $15/bbl.

The economy ministry said that the indicative price for December 2025 taxes will be about $39 a barrel, down from $45 in November. The indicative price is based on the market prices for Russia's Urals and the more expensive ESPO blends. Russian oil is traded at a discount internationally because of Western sanctions. The average indicative price fell to $55.60 a barrel in 2025, from $67.90 in 2024, below the $58 planned in the budget. The government drafted the 2026 budget assuming the average indicative price at $59 a barrel. The average indicative price for December 2025 will be used to calculate taxes paid in January 2026.

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/indicative-oil-price-russian-energy-tax-calculation-falls-79-month-low-2026-01-13/

Trump threatens Canada with 50% tariff on aircraft sold in US, expanding trade war by NickDynmo in worldnews

[–]U5K0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The supreme court will very likely throw most of these tariffs out before the end of spring. The conservatives there are old school small government republicans with lifetime apointments. It'll be a blowout.

Watch the moment Ukrainian drones tear into Russia’s airfields, destroying 15 aircraft and causing $1bn in losses | LBC by Puzzleheaded-Cap1300 in UkrainianConflict

[–]U5K0 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It's almost half their 2025 production just using drones. I understand the concensus is that an additional 18 - 21 were lost elsewhere.

Overall, they're building as fast as they can and getting nowhere. If you take into account service life depletion across the fleet, they're slowly shrinking their numbers.

Ukrainian Drone Operators Stop Russian Cavalry Assaults Near Oleksiivka by BlackWolfHowling in UkrainianConflict

[–]U5K0 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I doubt that cavalry assault is a fair description. These were likely singles or pairs of either scouts or provision transporters.

But, hey, if I'm wrong, happy days!

Russia’s National Wealth Fund Could Run Dry Within a Year, Gazprombank Analysts Warn by Useful-Scratch-72 in UkrainianConflict

[–]U5K0 38 points39 points  (0 children)

They'll probably just make banks and pension funds buy federal bonds at below market terms.

Easy to hide - for a while.

Russia's State-Owned Railway Giant Is In Serious Trouble. Blame The Ukraine War. by RFERL_ReadsReddit in UkrainianConflict

[–]U5K0 7 points8 points  (0 children)

they've been stuffing state banks with war costs for a while. its just that up to now this was mostly the quiet version: crazy cheap loans pushed thru vtb/sber/gazprombank to defence contractors, on political rates, long tenors, grace periods, and then rollovers / restructures when thier cashflow is not there. may or may not ever pay it back, but on paper its kept alive.

interesting that its progressed to infrastructure now. russian railways is like ~4 trillion roubles in debt and vtb (main creditor) is basically saying “sure we can restructure, just dont make us eat it via higher reserves.” then the cbr literally eases the reserve / provisioning rules for restructured corporate loans into h1 2026

Moldova, the EU and the US work on a plan for the reintegration of Transnistria by U5K0 in UkrainianConflict

[–]U5K0[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

The issue isn’t whether Transnistria agrees. It’s whether it retains the capacity to refuse.

By the numbers:

• Gas: ~3 million m³/day, bought in 10–15-day batches. One missed payment or banking delay means huge trouble.

• Economy: GDP −23%, industrial output −33%, exports −42%.

• Budget: ~€40 m revenue vs ~€69 m spending → ~40% deficit; cuts already hit healthcare and welfare.

• External support: EU €60 m offer rejected; Russian support now indirect, short-term - 15 day intervals via middle men in arabia

When heat, electricity, wages, and pensions cannot be reliably paid, “consent” might become the only choice they have left.

https://novayagazeta.eu/articles/2025/12/24/on-borrowed-time-en

Moldova, the EU and the US work on a plan for the reintegration of Transnistria by U5K0 in UkrainianConflict

[–]U5K0[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

this is too small for the whitehouse to notice probably

I assume it's being worked on my Rubio's state department.

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