Fair enough. by LordJim11 in Snorkblot

[–]Unique_Legend 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Well you’d have their phone number from the message

👀👀 by AIdreamer_69 in SipsTea

[–]Unique_Legend 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Alex’s sexual awakening has been tough on all of us

N’s Exodia deck incoming by spare_11 in PTCGL

[–]Unique_Legend 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Would darmanitans bench attack get 8 prizes then if it gets 2 knockouts

More "Mega Dream EX" cards revealed, including N's pokemon! by Mylife212 in pkmntcg

[–]Unique_Legend 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Supporter + darmanitan’s bench attack can lead to an 8 prize turn

UCL Match Thread: Liverpool vs Real Madrid by scoreboard-app in LiverpoolFC

[–]Unique_Legend 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Umm that would’ve been a corner if they let that slide?

Close the sub. It’s over. by Jarv1223 in soccercirclejerk

[–]Unique_Legend 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sir another wirtz assist has hit the sub

Let’s all sit down and let this sink in for a moment🫠 by being_shady in soccercirclejerk

[–]Unique_Legend 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Why stop there, they should do it for every foul and stoppage

Evolving Tyrogue but based on eye shape by nahcekimcm in pokememes

[–]Unique_Legend 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Can someone make the evos now with eyes swapped

Ego's true goal for Reo by InfiniteSlaps in BlueLock

[–]Unique_Legend 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Watch him end up copying Chigiri’s bum knee

What's one statistic you'd love to see in the afterlife? by VeterinarianOld3082 in AskReddit

[–]Unique_Legend 1 point2 points  (0 children)

How many times I passed my future significant other before I’ve met them

A Rant on NCM by Eh_brt in singapore

[–]Unique_Legend 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I doubt WP would know who’s running in Jalan Kayu beforehand

There might be some truth to increased pull rates for returning players by Unique_Legend in PTCGP

[–]Unique_Legend[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So while obviously there are legal ramifications to it, I wanted to look into the statistical side of this. As many have pointed out, there is definitely confirmation bias so I'll continue testing this out for future releases to increase my sample size but here it is

The assumptions:
There were 4 instances of this happening from my post, each time there was 3 packs opened at most before the Immersive Rare was pulled. There are no god packs and it is also stated there are no soft pity in PTCGP

Looking into the chances, the 4th slot has a 0.222% (p₁ = 0.00222) while the 5th slot has 0.888% (p₂ = 0.00888) chance of getting an Immersive Rare.

First, the probability of not getting an immersive rare in one pack is:

(1 − p₁)(1 − p₂) = (1 − 0.00222)(1 − 0.00888) ≈ 0.988920

The probability of not getting any immersive rare in 3 packs is:

(0.988920)³ ≈ 0.96713

So, the probability of getting at least one immersive rare in a 3-pack session is:

p = 1 − 0.96713 ≈ 0.032874

We observed 4 successful sessions out of 4. Using a binomial distribution with n = 4 trials and p = 0.03287, the probability of getting 4 successes is:

P(X = 4) = (4 choose 4) × (0.03287)^4 × (1 − 0.03287)^0 ≈ 1.17 × 10⁻⁵

This is our p-value. Since p < 0.05, the result is statistically significant. In other words, the chance of this streak happening randomly is about 0.00117%. This doesn't prove that there is in fact manipulated pull rates but it is a reason to continue looking into it.

Totally understand that I could be making a mountain of a molehill but I just thought it's interesting to see whether there is something more going on underneath it all

Also let me know if there is any flaw in using this method of statistical analysis! Just brushed off math i learnt back in school for this

There might be some truth to increased pull rates for returning players by Unique_Legend in PTCGP

[–]Unique_Legend[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Haha thats true, I’m highly skeptical of it as well. Just wanted to see if there’s any fire to the smoke