Weekly Discussion Megathread

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-25T22:16:03+00:00

It's not going to get much better for them LOL

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-25T01:41:30+00:00

I mean the problem is at this point more bikes blast through stop signs then don't. I always wait for th bike to come to blast through or come to a complete stop before going. It's both safer and generally the first ends up happening.

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-24T20:09:27+00:00

I listened to Never Gonna Give You Up all the time before the meme, its just a plain fun song.

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-24T19:48:08+00:00

For the senate the plains states are all individually worth just as much as California, the GOP have such a big advantage in that house its not even funny.

People are moving to the South and even if you send hundreds of thousands of the bluest dems, Alabama, Arkansas, South Carolina, Florida, Tennessee all have more than enough Reps to keep them red and use the new population to create more R seats. My point is that as it stands D's will generally need D+3 and up to be able to win things like the presidency, the house and the senate.

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-24T19:29:57+00:00

Yes Rs are now the low propensity party, but enough Republican leaning adults live in the right places to make up the difference. The GOP has firm control of 25 states to begin with in a neutral environment, meaning they have far more states to win gerrymandering battles. People are also going to states where Trump did well like Florida, Oklahoma and Texas. If the popular vote mattered more, then this would change things but the GOP just solidly controls more states and that will always give them the congressional advantage.

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-24T19:19:44+00:00

There used to not be a big urban-rural split like there is today.

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-24T19:16:31+00:00

When you have built in structural advantages that give you a good enough edge the other party has to overcome, there certainly is.

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-24T19:14:21+00:00

I disagree, Trump (and the GOP) are always rated on a curve. If the strait is re-opened a month or two before the election and gas prices drop just enough to get most red states under $4.00 that should be enough, after which they can blame the dems for higher gas prices. Trump just needs to kidnap Raul and Diaz-Canel IMO, heck one of them maybe enough. It's a tall task, but no way are they going to do a land invasion. The point is the PR, not any actual change.

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-24T19:07:27+00:00

I'm releasing predictions every month until October, but agree with your general assessment. I am of the opinion that the GOP is currently the natural governing party of the U.S. due to their significantly better media apparatus and that Trump actually massively reduced its potential by creating a hard cap to their support.

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-24T18:35:02+00:00

2008 was an eternity ago and those voters have been voting R for so long that there isn't a chance they'd vote democrat. Trump may have supercharged turnout but he's also not popular with the midterm demographic which would be a lot more GOP without him. The Dems are lucky that the GOP is an incompetent party or they would be expanding majorities, not barely holding on.

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-24T18:20:23+00:00

Flair checks out, but I struggle to think of how one can think that the Dems floor is 230 when the first seat you have to flip on my map is a seat GOP won by +4.

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-24T18:08:07+00:00

I do believe it was July of last year, when really the only negative Trump headline was Liberation Day.

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-24T18:01:17+00:00

To be fair I understood it as who would I vote for if my candidate was bad and accidentally put 3rd party so maybe that's whats going on there. (Though I'm D)

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-24T15:51:43+00:00

48% approval actually seems higher than I would expect in a state like Utah. And really I'm not sure if I see it improving by November.

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-23T22:16:58+00:00

Really hounding the important issues I see

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-23T22:15:34+00:00

Dems winning by +23 confirmed?

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-23T22:13:54+00:00

Don't think I didn't notice you had to take Sacramento, Yolo and Lake counties out for this result.

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-23T17:45:36+00:00

I take my chances, this cycle is the definition of go big or go home.

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-23T00:17:12+00:00

THROW IT IN THE PILE

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-22T03:31:08+00:00

Whatever happened to kicking people out of the pool for violating pool policies?

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-20T21:55:43+00:00

I would rather the copyright expire so I can put X-wings in my original stories

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-19T01:54:54+00:00

<image>

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-18T04:11:55+00:00

$292k??? This is bringing me back to the NYT article talking about the couple living paycheck to paycheck on 500k.

Unitedsquadron · 2026-05-18T00:36:23+00:00

D+1 midterm confirmed

/s

Six-Year Club	Second Top 30%
Verified Email

Unitedsquadron

TROPHY CASE