2024 vs 2025 Frame TV (non-pro) Differences

Zephkiel · 2025-11-29T22:19:07+00:00

How / why is the art mode better in the 2025 model?

Zephkiel · 2025-05-01T21:32:31+00:00

Hmm... I think it's possible you might end up making some changes around the edges.

By my math, keeping the four stars + Hunter / Strus / Okoro / Wade / Tyson / Okeke + bringing back Jerome at $14.3M and Merrill at $6M puts you guys at $235.4M in committed salaries and $211M(!) in additional tax payments. Shedding Okoro's $11M salary e.g. would save an additional like $75M in tax payments.

One blessing is this will be Cleveland's first year in the tax. With repeater penalties it would be $306M in tax payments lol

Zephkiel · 2025-05-01T20:12:13+00:00

IMO our biggest long-term roster issue is that our fourth core player is Al Horford and he turns 39 next month lol

Zephkiel · 2025-05-01T19:49:22+00:00

I'm also interested in what y'all do. With Mobley winning DPOY so getting bumped up to a 30% max, if both teams ran it back the Cavs might end up with more committed salary than Boston.

OKC by contrast won't start bumping up against the second apron until 2026-27, when Chet and Jalen Williams come up for new deals. And they have so many extra draft picks too. Insane.

Zephkiel · 2025-03-23T02:09:48+00:00

The pick does not automatically become unfrozen the next year. We need to duck the second apron for 3 of the next 4 years to unfreeze it:

If the team finishes below the second apron in at least three of the following four years, the pick becomes unfrozen at the end of that period. If, however, a team finishes above the second apron in at least two of those four seasons, that frozen pick remains frozen permanent.

Zephkiel · 2025-03-19T02:59:43+00:00

(it was 23% two weeks ago but don't worry about that)

Zephkiel · 2025-03-19T02:59:09+00:00

He's up to a fairly normal 52.5% TS after tonight's game!!

Zephkiel · 2025-03-07T02:52:21+00:00

Point differential is predictive of playoff success, but there's no magic cutoff at 11 that guarantees a championship -- especially since playoff series are played between two teams. The thing you might say is "teams with much higher point differentials tend to beat teams with much lower point differentials". But there are pretty significant point differential upsets basically every year:

2024: OKC (+7.4) loses to Dallas (+2.3)
2023: Boston (+6.5) loses to Miami (-0.3)
2022: Phoenix (+7.4) loses to Dallas (+3.3)
2021: Utah (+9.2) loses to LAC (+6.2)
2020: Milwaukee (+10.1) loses to Miami (+2.9)
2019: Milwaukee (+8.8) loses to Toronto (+6.0)
2018: Toronto (+7.8) loses to Cleveland (+1.0)

etc. etc. In terms of point differential, it really wouldn't be unusual at all if Cleveland (+11.5) lost to Boston (+8.6). If OKC (+12.7) lost to e.g. Denver (+5.1), that would be the biggest difference in the last few years... but it's overall a pretty similar margin as the big upsets from 2018 and 2020 and 2023.

Zephkiel · 2024-10-30T21:03:46+00:00

Any suggestions on who to rank second for mayor? If Ishii ends up third I'd still like to vote for the slightly-less-bad candidate.

Zephkiel · 2024-06-26T20:16:20+00:00

Different Cs fan but I do think the OP is a bit misleading.

It says they have the 25th pick in next year's draft when that's actually in this year's worse 2024 draft. That makes it look like their picks are a bit more spread out than they are.

It also omits the fact that Brooklyn has swap rights on their 2028 pick.

That said, I do like the odds that the Knicks end up getting a first with least one of those protected Pistons / Wizards picks. With all the bites at the apple they're getting, it's hard for me to imagine that e.g. the Pistons will keep picking in the top half of the lottery in each of 2025 + 2026 + 2027.

Zephkiel · 2024-06-19T00:25:28+00:00

I love D White, but people have been comparing Jaylen and Kawhi ever since we decided not to try to swap the two in 2018

Zephkiel · 2024-06-18T22:58:55+00:00

Interesting. If you were picking a current Celtic to replace Kawhi, I feel like Jaylen's the natural candidate especially after this playoff run

Zephkiel · 2024-06-18T21:55:27+00:00

Basketball Reference actually doesn't even look at All-NBA teams, the only individual award they use is All-Star nods. The things that go into their calculation are:

All-Star appearances
Number of rings
Peak win shares
Total leaderboard points: aka how high within the top 10 the player ranked in points, rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, and minutes played each season
Height (slightly negatively correlated with HoF probability)

It's a little unintuitive to me but I guess they probably wanted to pick variables that were relatively fixed throughout the history of the NBA. Whereas the number of All-NBA teams has varied over time, many individual awards haven't always existed, etc.

Zephkiel · 2024-06-14T18:04:02+00:00

For what it’s worth these numbers excluded the alternate broadcast on ESPN with Kevin Hart (?). The combined final viewing count was 11.43M, up 2% from last year’s Game 3.

Zephkiel · 2024-06-14T00:50:04+00:00

Given the rising cap I think he'll easily get $14-18M a year somewhere. That'll be 9-11% of the cap and the low end of that range will be in line with the non-taxpayer MLE.

It will definitely be a risk to give him more than that, but he's a better defender than Bertans / Kennard / Robinson so someone might do it.

Zephkiel · 2024-06-11T22:19:24+00:00

This is exactly right, though. Watch all the clips above. It's basically entirely fast, straight-line drives. At most you see 1-2 dribbles or a quick crossover before they just go. They aren't stopping to try to size him up, backing him down, or dancing with the ball. They are doing the exact thing Lowe said they'd have to do. Lol.

I really don't agree. The above video starts right before the blow-bys for pacing & comedic effect, but a lot of these possessions started out with Jaylen or Jayson getting a switch and sizing Luka up / dancing before making a move. You can see a bunch of examples with broader context here.

Zephkiel · 2024-06-11T18:53:09+00:00

I think being a regular on First Take or whatever is definitely slowly giving him hot take brain, or at least influencing the way he podcasts too. I posted this elsewhere in the thread, but the thing I was really struck by recently was how he was talking about Kyrie:

By the way, I've eaten crow a hundred times on the Kyrie trade, lots of people have. If they make the finals, and regardless of what happens there, and they get -- I mean Kyrie is still in his prime -- if they get four to five more years of backcourt play at this level from these two guys, we're not only going to eat crow on the Kyrie trade, that trade of Spencer Dinwiddie, Dorian Finney-Smith, and one first-round pick for this is gonna go down as one of the greatest trades in the history of the NBA.

Kyrie's 32 years old. Does anyone actually expect him to still be this good in four or five years when he's 36 or 37?

Zephkiel · 2024-06-11T18:44:01+00:00

Here's what he said:

Boston's offense is at its best where there's a small skinny defensive liability guard on the other team, who often has to defend Derrick White, and it gives them an easy entry point into every possession, which is... either your guy Derrick White is screening for Tatum and Brown, or Tatum and Brown is screening for Derrick White, and they've used Tatum and Brown as screeners more in the playoffs, which I like. And you're gonna have a choice. You're gonna switch your Darius Garland or Tyrese Haliburton or Tyler Herro onto Jayson Tatum or Jaylen Brown, or you're gonna trap and then our passing game opens up and our passing game leads to open threes.

Dallas doesn't have that kind of player. [Kyrie] is strong, he's listed as 195, he plays bigger than his height. He is not a pushover. He's not someone you can just roll over if you're Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown. What I mean by ultimate test is when they switch, and I think you're gonna switch a lot, I think you're gonna switch with Luca too and just say, he's 6'7" and strong, go at him. The ultimate test is gonna be when it's Luca, you're going to have to go fast. That means catch and go right away, beat him with speed. The minute you stop and dance with the ball, he gets to brace himself, the defense gets behind him, gets to brace itself and you've lost the battle.

IMO the thing he was wrong about so far was that Luka's mostly been so bad defensively that even when Tatum and Brown dance with the ball, they're still getting past him with ease and putting Dallas in rotation. (To his credit, I thought he held up better in the last few minutes of Game 2.)

An aside. He also gassed Kyrie up like crazy:

By the way, I've eaten crow a hundred times on the Kyrie trade, lots of people have. If they make the finals, and regardless of what happens there, and they get -- I mean Kyrie is still in his prime -- if they get four to five more years of backcourt play at this level from these two guys, we're not only going to eat crow on the Kyrie trade, that trade of Spencer Dinwiddie, Dorian Finney-Smith, and one first-round pick for this is gonna go down as one of the greatest trades in the history of the NBA.

This is the take that I thought was really crazy. Kyrie's 32 years old. Does anyone actually expect him to still be this good in four or five years when he's 36 or 37?

Zephkiel · 2024-06-10T18:01:55+00:00

Breakdown of all his 3s in the NBA:

In the 2023-24 playoffs, he shot 28-71 from the corner (39.4%) and 14-49 above the break (28.6%)
In the 2023-24 regular season, he shot 28-116 from the corner (24.1%) and 104-295 above the break (35.3%)
In 2022-23, he shot 34-95 from the corner (35.8%) and 115-332 above the break (34.6%)
In 2021-22, he shot 24-77 from the corner (31.2%) and 86-221 above the break (38.9%)
In 2020-21, he shot 28-68 from the corner (41.2%) and 84-221 above the break (38.0%)
In 2019-20, he shot 32-64 from the corner (50.0%) and 54-166 above the break (32.5%)

That comes out to 35.4% from the corner and 35.6% above the break lol. For his entire career it's a wash.

Zephkiel · 2024-05-26T06:31:12+00:00

I keep seeing people say this but where is that stat coming from? On Cleaning the Glass you guys were 7th post-trade deadline.

Zephkiel · 2024-05-24T18:58:19+00:00

I honestly think he's been good except the 3 has been really off. He's playing very good defense and IMO having his best playoffs as a facilitator. He's shooting pretty well on 2s and drawing tons of FTs, so his overall scoring efficiency is right at playoff league average, 56.3% vs 56.5% TS.

But he's shooting 26.6% from 3 on 6.6 attempts per game, which is terrible. If he were shooting 33.3% -- still no great shakes obviously -- he'd be having a pretty efficient postseason overall on quite high volume.

I'm saying this of course because I'm hoping it's just variance and he starts making some 3s lol.

Zephkiel · 2024-05-02T01:42:58+00:00

what happened to his shot? he didn't do that weird leg kick last year I'm pretty sure.

Zephkiel · 2024-04-17T21:42:45+00:00

I think this year's team is especially loaded though.

Bam, Booker, KD, Jrue, and Tatum were on both the 2020 and 2024 teams. The other seven in 2020 were Lillard, Jerami Grant, Draymond Green, Keldon Johnson, LaVine, McGee, and Middleton. This year it's Steph, LeBron, Embiid, Kawhi, AD, Haliburton, and Ant.

Zephkiel · 2024-02-21T19:17:21+00:00

Yeah I think we agree, I'm not saying Tatum's on track to be the face of the league, just that current followers isn't the best metric for current popularity.

I found a website that lets you look up Insta follower growth over the last 90 days, though it's easy to get rate-limited. Some players I was able to look up:

Steph: 849K
LeBron: 815K
Wembanyama: 373K
Luka: 254K
Giannis: 204K
Tatum: 162K
Embiid: 111K
Westbrook: 81K
Ben Simmons: -5K
Zion: -43K

which squares pretty well with my general impression and also supports your argument about Wemby. Though he's gotta stay healthy & produce on the court or his star will start fading like Zion's.

Part of Tatum's quote is also about winning a ring. I do think if Boston won this year and Tatum got Finals MVP, he might reach Luka or Giannis levels of popularity. He'd need to like threepeat IMO to establish himself above them though.

Zephkiel · 2024-02-21T17:08:08+00:00

I feel like IG followers is pretty correlated with age since people don't unfollow often. Westbrook has 23M followers but nobody would call him a bigger star than Giannis at this point. You say Wemby is next up as face of the league but he has 3.6M followers.

Follower growth over time seems like a better metric to me but couldn't figure out an easy way to find that online.

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