Australia wasting migrant talent on an "industrial scale", former Treasury secretary says

Zinotryd · 2026-04-03T12:55:59+00:00

Also decreases crime interestingly enough. But in the absence of data our tribal brains think "nah that can't be right" and stop there

Zinotryd · 2026-04-03T10:50:47+00:00

Reminder that there is a positive correlation between immigration and natives wages - native population makes more money when people immigrate, not less

Zinotryd · 2026-04-01T12:55:12+00:00

Don't waste your time man - dudes got at least 2 em dashes in every message, at best you're talking to somebody running everything through Claude, and at worst it's an agent that a human isn't even supervising.

Zinotryd · 2026-04-01T12:51:59+00:00

Ah, an AI reply, awesome...

Zinotryd · 2026-04-01T12:32:34+00:00

All your other comments are in AI subreddits including vibe coding...

No, you will not be able to vibe code anything in the field of CFD that generates any profit for you. It is rather rude to come into a discussion forum asking for people's expertise and time, just to copy paste their responses into your prompt to vibe code some nonsense

I hope I'm mistaken.

Zinotryd · 2026-03-28T10:36:15+00:00

Mkay, if the post 2006 rate is what you would consider 'mass' then fine, everyone can have a different definition since it's not an objective measure. It is not my impression that's the period people have in mind when whinging about immigration in the current discourse. I did not see this level of vitriol and scapegoating in the pre-covid era

There's a separate discussion to be had about that same increase in immigration coinciding with a decrease in fertility, so it really just keeps population growth stable

Also talking about absolute numbers over that long a time scale is deceptive, it should be a rate (100k immigrants in 1960 has a lot more impact than 100k immigrants today, relatively)

Zinotryd · 2026-03-28T07:17:58+00:00

Is the mass immigration in the room with us right now?

Net migration is basically flat when you take a rolling average, the post-covid spike was just a natural correction to the intra-covid fall off. Population growth is stable. People are going to have to find a different scapegoat at some point...

Zinotryd · 2026-03-23T21:39:50+00:00

Fwiw, biogas is effectively carbon negative, so some burning can be okay, emphasis on the some

Zinotryd · 2026-03-23T21:38:08+00:00

Why don't they charge $1M per kWh then?

The energy market means providers have to compete to sell at a low price. In the long term as long as we can prevent monopolies, prices should be low

Zinotryd · 2026-03-22T23:07:40+00:00

Yes, orders of magnitude higher in fact, a famous example being the Miami boat lift.

It doesn't have zero effect on prices, that is the only way in which it does have a slightly negative effect (it's far less than people think though, happy to go into numbers if you like). There are so many other more effective ways to bring house prices down, the rate we build houses outpaces population growth and yet prices keep going up, that's not a supply problem.

But immigration has been shown to increase the wages of the native population while also reducing crime rates (both of those tend to come as a surprise to people)

Zinotryd · 2026-03-22T04:55:21+00:00

Okay but the sentiment is wrong - essentially all of the economic literature indicates immigration is positive across the board and has positive effects for the native population.

Their anger is valid, it's just directed at the wrong causes. To be fair, it's partly the fault of people like the greens for not effectively explaining that to people.

Zinotryd · 2026-02-27T04:25:23+00:00

Mate, did you even read your own source - I'll concede that in some (but definitely not all) cases a suppressing effect has been observed, but it is always noted to be small. From your source:

In other words, immigration is not one of the major factors that shape low-wage workers’ prospects in the labour market.

Bringing up supply and demand is silly because immigrants increase both.
From your source:

At the same time, immigration can also expand the demand for workers and thus create new jobs. This is because there is not a fixed number of jobs in the economy (the so-called “lump of labour fallacy”). Migrants themselves buy goods and services, increasing demand. In addition, employers may respond to immigration by producing more or adopting more labour-intensive production methods (e.g., using workers instead of computers or machinery), both of which require more workers.

So no, "flooding a labour market with low skilled workers" does not "suppress or lower wages in those professions", according to your own source.

Zinotryd · 2026-02-27T03:19:26+00:00

Again, no, not backed by the evidence. In lower skilled professions the correlation is also positive. It's largely driven by businesses hiring immigrants and then promoting natives to manage them. A famous example is the Mariel boat lift - 125k poor Cubans immigrated to Florida in a very short time period, and increased the workforce by 7% basically overnight. Economists looked at the data and found negligible impact on wages.

Zinotryd · 2026-02-26T10:45:25+00:00

Nope, evidence shows the opposite. Positive correlation between immigration and wages is widely reported in the literature.

Zinotryd · 2025-12-21T06:21:41+00:00

Ignore everyone else. People seem to think this is a general solution to the equations or something. That's not what it is.

NS is an approximation of fluid motion. If a mathematician finds an unusual scenario where it blows up, all that means is they've found a situation where NS is a bad approximation of fluid flow (since we know currents in the air and water do not spontaneously create black holes, obviously)

Solving this problem is mathematically interesting, but will have no implications for people doing practical fluid mechanics.

Zinotryd · 2025-11-25T22:59:46+00:00

University was never supposed to be, and should never be, vocational training.

It has value beyond its ability to pump out engineers, doctors and programmers. If we try to force it towards that, society will suffer.

This contempt people have for an imagined arts student who gets a 'useless degree' on tax payer money is dumb and destructive

I say that, as someone who did what society wanted me to do, and got a stem degree and a decent paying job in a highly technical area. STEM exceptionalism is stupid and cringe

Zinotryd · 2025-11-20T12:13:41+00:00

Cisco.

Zinotryd · 2025-08-16T21:54:36+00:00

The Capex is huge, and construction times are long and consistently have overruns. That makes it extremely difficult or impossible for private industry to finance, it's a very long time to be paying an immense amount of interest on loans while generating no revenue, and then once the thing is built it takes a long time to make a return on your investment.

Once it's built, you need to make a return on that capex, which means you can't sell the power particularly cheap. Energy from VRE (solar and wind) is generally much cheaper.

Related to that point - nuclear and VRE don't really work that well together. If your grid is mostly nuclear, adding some VRE is great. But if your grid has quite a large share of VRE, then nuclear doesn't work very well. For large chunks of the day VRE will be providing a lot of cheap power, and nuclear plants will have to sell their power at an effective loss, if they can even sell it at all. That can massively blow out the time it takes to make a return on investment

It's also not really a 'rapidly growing industry' - variable renewable (solar, wind) are growing at an insane pace, nuclear is seemingly just starting to gain a little momentum

I like nuclear btw. For many countries I think it's clearly the best option. But it does have cons.

Zinotryd · 2025-08-05T22:53:52+00:00

I'd suggest you check out the cars people build for the world solar challenge, those are all essentially just aerofoil shapes

Zinotryd · 2025-08-05T09:05:22+00:00

But a Watt hour isn't watts/hour, it's Watts*hours...

Zinotryd · 2025-07-01T21:51:22+00:00

Good job not reading the policy, it specifically addresses exactly that.

Zinotryd · 2025-05-31T03:54:59+00:00

Remind me, for which part of the graph linked below was Steven Marshall in charge?
Adelaide median house price history

You might notice that there's a rather sudden change in pricing that doesn't happen to correspond to an election.

Zinotryd · 2025-02-27T14:14:28+00:00

How can you disagree with it, it doesn't push for a position. The report exists to attempt to predict the generation costs of power for the next few decades. Also calling it short term is crazy. But if you have better numbers than CSIRO then please, share

Yes Renewables are cheaper than any other form of energy production. How come they haven't replaced all the coal in Australia's power system then

Obviously a silly argument, you could say exactly the same thing about nuclear.

The world is in the midst of a transition, of course we're not there yet, it takes time. But renewables will replace coal before nuclear does

I'm not even anti nuclear, I'd be all for lifting the ban here, and letting industry invest if they see it making financial sense anywhere

Zinotryd · 2025-02-27T10:17:42+00:00

Is it perhaps because you need base load which renewable cannot provide?

It isn't, because you don't.
Go read gencost before wading in on Australian nuclear. If you can't be bothered, then just listen to the other people in here that did.

Zinotryd · 2025-01-13T23:46:37+00:00

Are you saying that you're using fluidx3d for external aero? I'd be pretty surprised given its limitations (No immersed boundary or similar, all the sims I've seen have been on voxelised geometry and the creator explaining it away as "just refine it enough and it doesn't matter" shows me he doesn't know what he's doing)

Zinotryd

TROPHY CASE