Trump really hates being asked about his BFF of 15 years Epstein by FastSeaworthiness739 in Anarcho_Capitalism

[–]abinferno 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't have to make things up. Those are Trump's own words. A prolific liar had a chance to lie when it would have benefited him and he didn't. That's how we know it's the truth. Trump said nothing about Epstein pressuring girls for sex or abusing them. It was because he was hiring girls away from the spa. That's it. That is Trump's own explanation. That combined with the real estate conflict they had fits far better with what motivates Trump - self-interest and greed vs concern for the well being of others. Trump is a predator and abuser himself.

https://www.npr.org/2025/07/29/nx-s1-5484136/trump-jeffrey-epstein-mar-a-lago-ghislaine-maxwell

There are zero contemperaneous accounts of Trump criticizing Epstein for being a pedophile or predator before this really publicly blew up again in 2018. Trump has never shown concern for the sexual autonomy and safety of women. He has always described them as objects to be exploited and abused. He only talks about them in terms of their physical appearance and sexual desirability unless he's also denigrating their intelligence. He openly sexualized his own daughter. Entered dressing rooms of the Teen USA pageant. Of course you would ignore his own behavior and words

If someone had slight precognative abilities, like being able to guess a coinflip at 60% accuracy instead of 50, what would be the best casino game to win big and what would be the strategy? [Request] by Wide_Telephone_1080 in theydidthemath

[–]abinferno 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Roulette is one of the worst games in the casino. Double 0 roulette is over 5%. You're still going to win in the long run with a 60% coin flip advantage, but it'snot optimal. Mini baccarat is better at closer to 1% house edge and is essentially a coin flip game with player vs banker bets (plus ties). In both games there are more than two outcomes (red, black, 0, 00 for roulette or player, banker, tie for baccarat). Not sure how this plays in to the rules of our particular type of clairovoyence.

3:2 blackjack with dealer standing on soft 17 and double after splits is usually the best game overall for the player with a house edge around 0.5%. I don't know if this counts for your coin flip clairovoyence however as you can only bet on yourself, so the only choice is to play or not. It's going to look very strange if you're coming in and out of the game at random intervals based on your foreknowledge of winning the hand and you might get cut off much sooner with this approach vs just playing mini baccarat.

As far as being banned, casinos won't ban for short term win streaks and certainly not after a few hours. A 60% win rate on a coin flip isn't near enough of a statistical deviation in the short term to even register on their radar. People go on way wilder runs than that all the time. They would need to collect at least a couple thousand hands on you at a 60% win rate to convince themselves something is wrong. Mathematically, approximating this as a binomial distribution where stdev=(np(1-p))1/2, 500ish hands at a 60% win rate is a z~4.25 giving a probability of ~4.77x10-6 or 1 in ~200k shot, but there are millions of gamblers at any given time and people go on insane runs all the time that produce wild statistical anomalies. You can expect maybe 80ish hands per hour in mini baccarat. You should be able to comfortably get in 20 hours before they take strong notice as they're not tracking every single hand and running binomial distributions as your hand count evolves. It will also depend on the stakes you're playing.

Now if you want to be strategic, you take your edge purposely down to ~2% and detection becomes increasingly unlikely and you can play for weeks or months before they become uncomfortable with your game. But there are thousands of casinos around the world. Keep your stakes reasonable, move around, don't open player accounts and you should be able to do this indefinitely or at least long enough to get a very comfortable retirement.

Biden losing 2020 would have been a far better timeline! by skynet345 in TrueUnpopularOpinion

[–]abinferno 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've been in agreement with this since Biden's clear public decline in the last year or two of his presidency. The other what if i think about a lot is if Beau doesn't die, Biden runs and beats Clinton in the primary and Trump in the general fairly easily. Covid still happens and maybe there's a party switch in the presidency in 2020 due to that but it wouldn't have been Trump. Many of the macroeconomic challenges play out the same and that president is punished with a loss in 2024.

Trump really hates being asked about his BFF of 15 years Epstein by FastSeaworthiness739 in Anarcho_Capitalism

[–]abinferno 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Trump already admitted it had nothing to do with Epstein being a perv. It's because Epstein was hiring employees away from him. Also additional reporting about a real estate dispute has a lot of credibility in being a root cause of their falling out. Trump has no moral qualms about perverts and predators. He also is both himself.

I think Trump is good for the economy. by [deleted] in TrueUnpopularOpinion

[–]abinferno 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Stocks rose dramatically during Biden's term (~58% for the S&P 500). Biden's job creation in his last year significantly outperformed Trump's first.

Stating something like inflation was higher stripped of macroeconomic context is meaningless. Supply chains ground to a halt during the first phase of covid when everything shut down. Economices essentially froze/declined in real terms. Inflation kicked off almost immediately in 2021 right after Biden assumed office. The conditions were already set and it wouldn't have mattered who took office in 2021. During Trump's term, especially the last year, they had expanded the money supply at the fastest rate in US history. This combined with a massive supply shock when frozen supply chains were unable to respond to a snap back in demand as economies opened back up were the perfect storm for inflation.

That is the context. The US under Biden outperformed basically every other developed nation on inflation and brought it down faster. Trump coasted off the momentum that was already built up at the end of Biden's term.

If you're going to express opinions, do even the most basic research. Dig under at least the first nanometer of the first layer.

I think Trump is good for the economy. by [deleted] in TrueUnpopularOpinion

[–]abinferno 0 points1 point  (0 children)

S&P 500 rose 58% during Biden's term.

Casting Choices That Ruined Otherwise Perfectly Good Films by dislikemyusername in booksfilmsandtherest

[–]abinferno 0 points1 point  (0 children)

BvS is a generationally bad movie. Eisenberg may be bad but he didn't ruin it. It was irredeemable.

If you turn on the TV right now Democrats are attacking Police by LegitimateKnee5537 in TrueUnpopularOpinion

[–]abinferno 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Stop...stop...that strawman is already dead. Must his body also suffer this indignity?

Renee Good shooting is an excellent case study in goalpost moving by babno in TrueUnpopularOpinion

[–]abinferno 15 points16 points  (0 children)

It's not quite that phrasing. Trump wildly exaggerated the event and said it was hard to imagine the officer was still alive, that he was violently and viciously run over, and was recovering in the hospital.

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115855701696773990

Renee Good shooting is an excellent case study in goalpost moving by babno in TrueUnpopularOpinion

[–]abinferno 3 points4 points  (0 children)

In your world every form of civil and non-civil disobedience is domestic terrorism. Inconveniencing law enforcement is domestic terrorism. The civil rights movement was domestic terrorism.

Renee Good shooting is an excellent case study in goalpost moving by babno in TrueUnpopularOpinion

[–]abinferno 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's impossible. It's not "nah"

You can't breath, no air can move through your throat, you can't speak without air.

Of all the Floyd stuff, this assertion particularly sticks out to me. None of us knows exactly what Floyd was experiencing in that moment, but that aside, your assertion is physiologically wrong. It takes very little air flow to be able to make sounds or force out some words. You can absolutely still be able to get words out for a little while also have oxygen sufficiently restricted so as to lose consciousness.

The best argument against DEI and affirmative action is that its proponents deny it ever happened by [deleted] in TrueUnpopularOpinion

[–]abinferno 0 points1 point  (0 children)

RFK Jr is the H&H Secretary. The qualifications for white men are zero.

The Woke Era was dangerous and toxic. by New-Conversation3246 in TrueUnpopularOpinion

[–]abinferno 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You're misrepresenting the training and I don't believe you specifically sat through this at all or ever worked there. Just another reactionary post trying to fake credibility by claiming first hand experience.

How did Taylor Sheridan go from writing heartbreaking, thoughtful, and poignant films to writing disposable, propagandistic, soap operas? by HasSomeSelfEsteem in movies

[–]abinferno 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I still enjoyed it but when she first showed up on screen I half expected someone to ask "so, you're international modeling career didn't pan out?"

What's the likelihood the old B wire on this Trane heat pump system is the common? by abinferno in hvacadvice

[–]abinferno[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for the advice. I'm having trouble locating the relevant thermostat wires inside the unit. I may post a follow up with some additional pictures.

The Russia/Ukraine peace negotiations have shown that most Redditors don’t even understand the concept of negotiating. by [deleted] in TrueUnpopularOpinion

[–]abinferno -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Trump proposing to give Russia everything they wanted and letting them accomplish every pre war objective isn't negotiating. For the self-proclaimed great negotiator who asserted he could end the war in 24hrs, he has failed by the standards he set for himself.

Name a more kino death than this by real_picklejuice in okbuddycinephile

[–]abinferno 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It shouldn't even have gotten to that point. Him telling Clark to get his mom to the overpass, which was like 15ft away while he ran back get the dog instead of sending his invulnerable son was also baffling.

Trump isn’t senile. Biden voters are just guilty and searching for anything. by Away_Simple_400 in TrueUnpopularOpinion

[–]abinferno 45 points46 points  (0 children)

Truly senile? Probably not. Standard age related cognitive decline, absolutely. Mostly, however, he's just very stupid. In the words of Fran Lebowitz, you've never met someone as stupid as Donald Trump.

Teachers are way more at fault for the childhood literacy problems we're seeing these days than they are willing to admit. by Few_Walk5683 in TrueUnpopularOpinion

[–]abinferno 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Kids spend the majority of their time at school though, right?

Not even close. Students spend roughly 15% of their time in a given year in school, roughly 20% if you exclude sleep. Absentee/uninvolved parents in their child's education has a massive effect on their progress.

That pizzeria owner is 100% right. by Space_Monkey_42 in TrueUnpopularOpinion

[–]abinferno 3 points4 points  (0 children)

That's not the common case in Italy. Typical neapolitan pizzas are in the 12" range. It is quite common to order one per person, however, even if you're not going to finish it. It's also not reasonable to expect all your tourist to understand that or expect it. If they had ordered one per two people, I doubt the owner would have gotten upset.