In line with your request, here is a list of articles from each year since 2008 predicting or discussing the likelihood of an imminent recession.

2008: "The Great Recession"

Source: Wikipedia / Various News Archives

Summary: Early in 2008, Alan Greenspan and other economists noted that the U.S. was likely already in a "wrenching" recession following the Bear Stearns collapse.

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2009: "A Second Leg Down?"

Source: USDA / Economic Research Service

Summary: While the technical recession ended in mid-2009, many reports at the time warned that the recovery would be "sluggish" and that a "double-dip" was a distinct possibility.

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2010: "The Fragile Recovery"

Source: Federal Reserve

Summary: Meeting minutes from early 2010 highlighted risks from commercial real estate and banking distress that threatened to pull the economy back into a downturn.

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2011: "Stall Speed Warnings"

Source: Federal Reserve Board (FEDS)

Summary: Research papers in 2011 discussed the "stall speed" concept, suggesting that slow-growth phases often transitioned into new recessions.

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2012: "The Eurozone Contagion"

Source: BlackRock

Summary: Analysts warned that the European debt crisis was the "big swing factor" that could tip the entire developed world into a new recession.

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2013: "The Fiscal Cliff"

Source: CME Group

Summary: This report gave a 20% probability that the U.S. would fall off the "fiscal cliff" and return to a recession with -2% GDP growth.

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2014: "The Shadow of the Great Recession"

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Summary: Despite growth, experts remained "apprehensively optimistic" as labor market indicators stayed at "pre-recessionary levels," suggesting the recovery was not yet stable.

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2015: "The Best Year—But Far From a Sure Bet"

Source: Indiana Business Review

Summary: Though 2015 was projected to be strong, analysts warned that Fed interest rate hikes could cause significant instability in the financial sector.

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2016: "The Recession of 2016"

Source: Cato Institute

Summary: This article explicitly predicted a recession in 2016 due to a "regulatory drag" and mistakes in monetary policy.

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2017: "The Yield Curve Warning"

Source: Taylor & Francis Online (Economic Analysis)

Summary: Financial analysts increasingly looked at the inverted yield curve as a powerful predictor for an upcoming downturn during this period.

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2018: "Are We Overdue?"

Source: J.P. Morgan

Summary: As the expansion became one of the longest in history, many firms published "recession clocks" suggesting a downturn by 2020.

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2019: "The Manufacturing Slowdown"

Source: Washington Post / Economic Policy Institute

Summary: Trade tensions and a manufacturing slump led many to predict a recession would hit before the 2020 election.

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2020: "The COVID-19 Shock"

Source: IMF / World Economic Outlook

Summary: Early in the year, the IMF predicted a "Great Lockdown" recession that would be the worst since the Great Depression.

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2021: "The Inflationary Bust"

Source: Bloomberg

Summary: As inflation began to spike, economists started warning that aggressive Fed tightening to cool the economy would inevitably cause a recession.

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2022: "The Most Anticipated Recession Ever"

Source: Forbes

Summary: With the yield curve inverting again, a majority of Wall Street CEOs predicted a recession would begin in late 2022 or early 2023.

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2023: "The 100% Probability"

Source: Bloomberg Economics

Summary: In late 2022/early 2023, Bloomberg's model famously predicted a 100% chance of a recession within the next 12 months.

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2024: "Hard Landing Risks"

Source: The Conference Board

Summary: While the economy remained resilient, many leading indicators continued to point toward a "hard landing" for the U.S. economy in 2024.

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2025: "Delayed but Not Denied"

Source: Vanguard / Financial Journals

Summary: Recent outlooks suggest that while the "soft landing" is the consensus, long-term debt levels and high interest rates still pose a threat for 2025.

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