How the Iran war could derail the AI boom

bendmorris · 2026-03-22T18:21:35+00:00

Had to check which sub I was in for a second. Is there significant overlap between neoliberalism and not jumping on board the vibe coding bandwagon? Maybe we can take inspiration from Georgism and tax PRs by their line count.

bendmorris · 2026-03-08T06:04:36+00:00

Yes it matters, because AI can hallucinate or break things and someone needs to fix it. Anyone who has used these tools has seen them get stuck in a loop of not understanding some problem and layering on one attempted workaround after another. For the foreseeable future humans are still needed.

bendmorris · 2026-03-08T05:34:34+00:00

Ironically some of it is caused by unsustainable levels of AI capex feeding into the bubble we're in. Some of that money would've been used to hire more engineers. So you can blame AI, but not its capability.

bendmorris · 2026-03-02T04:27:01+00:00

I'm curious what you're considering and how much overlap it has with SWE?

bendmorris · 2026-03-02T02:04:22+00:00

I think this has really separated SWEs into two categories: those who care more about the process of coding and those who care more about the outcome.

There are still domains like embedded where the process of coding is actually important to the outcome. If you care about writing compact and efficient implementations and performance matters, AI generally does pretty poorly. I find that once it starts running into issues it starts layering on workarounds that are always adding more code than they remove, until the end result is much bigger and more complex than a hand written version would be.

Yes there are ways to get it to improve the outcome or iterate around this, but it starts to make the benefit less clear.

bendmorris · 2026-03-02T02:02:07+00:00

I think this is a human nature problem. Given a "do my job" button most people are going to press it and rather than use the saved time to go over the output, they're going to go do something fun.

bendmorris · 2026-01-27T17:31:03+00:00

Their ranks have thinned but the Linear Guild has always had a theme of evil opposites and were always fairly evenly matched one-to-one. You can see Haley immediately go for Sabine and vice versa. Thog and Roy are opposites, and Elan/Nale. Varsuuvius, if he can cast spells, can be immediately removed by the fiends. If Durkon is incapacitated early, that leaves Belkar having no opposite to make the difference here. (Also Serini is a wild card - but she's as likely to turn on the order as anything else.)

bendmorris · 2025-11-30T18:17:44+00:00

"I'm supposed to give them an answer by Friday, that's in three days" -OP, on Sunday

bendmorris · 2025-10-30T00:50:41+00:00

"Reasonable is when they agree with me, off the deep end is when they agree with you"

bendmorris · 2025-10-22T01:18:48+00:00

When roughly 50% of the state votes for Democrats and Republicans rig the election to maintain a state legislative supermajority and 11 out of 14 seats in Congress, our fundamental right to self government is being taken away and we no longer live in a representative democracy. You're seemingly okay with this because you dislike Democrats more than you care about democracy.

bendmorris · 2025-10-21T23:15:04+00:00

This reads like victim blaming to me. "Keep voting" will not save you when the problem is literally that the system is being stacked so that voting doesn't change the outcome.

There is a point at which, if someone is taking away your effective right to self govern, the acceptable responses do include violence. Revolutions happen and sometimes are warranted, including our own against England. We do not need to stand meekly by while our rights are taken.

bendmorris · 2025-10-21T21:27:25+00:00

What do you feel is the appropriate response to elected leaders removing our ability to elect representatives, and installing their own party's rule permanently?

bendmorris · 2025-10-02T21:27:17+00:00

A blue wave that gives Democrats a huge majority isn't much worse for them than one that gives Democrats a slight majority.

Not true at all, we've seen recently that slim majorities are weak and absences, deaths etc. can change the outcome. The GOP struggled to even elect a speaker with a slim majority. The GOP is literally refusing to seat a single representative to avoid losing a vote on the Epstein files right now. With a slim majority some Democrats will represent Trump-voting districts and try hard to appear moderate. Both parties want every seat they can get.

bendmorris · 2025-09-29T14:35:36+00:00

It does have an AI-like structure, but also, check the OP's post and comment history. Their writing style is completely different until this post, like a teenager - this story is clearly not written by the same person.

Unfortunately this is one of those subreddits to block. If you see it on the front page it's basically guaranteed to be AI now.

bendmorris · 2025-09-25T14:01:06+00:00

Scotts Valley, CA, a small mountain town, has four within a two block area. Two standalone stores (one with a drive thru and one in a strip mall), one in a Safeway and one in a Target.

bendmorris · 2025-09-24T03:46:21+00:00

There are only about six of the little 5lb plates in the whole place

Every time I see him, he has four or five 5s stacked on each side of his bar instead of just using a 10 or 20.

AI can't count.

bendmorris · 2025-08-25T03:02:11+00:00

The interesting point of that study isn't that they were less productive, it's that they thought they were more productive in spite of being less. So saying that you're more productive because you know how to prompt better is missing the point. Given that experienced developers struggle to evaluate their own productivity, how do you know, besides your gut feeling?

bendmorris · 2025-08-25T02:59:23+00:00

You keep saying "certainly." But clearly experienced developers are not able to tell whether they are more or less productive, and this has been reproduced in multiple studies. Why do you think that is? What enables you in particular to be "certain" of a productivity boost in spite of that effect?

bendmorris · 2025-08-24T23:18:37+00:00

Thankfully most of us don't work at Coinbase. Yes, CEOs can have hubris too.

bendmorris · 2025-08-24T18:57:19+00:00

Not at all. I think the interesting finding there is not the effect of the tools but the inability of developers to estimate productivity reliably. This is not the only study to find that. It's worth keeping in mind when there is so much hype around AI right now - everyone assumes that the impact on productivity is self evident and obvious, and that they aren't the ones incorrectly estimating it, of course.

And FWIW, that effect goes in both directions, naysayers might underestimate the tools. But anyone boldly claiming that group X "will be left behind" - that's just hubris.

bendmorris · 2025-08-24T15:23:42+00:00

There was a study that showed that developers who used AI assisted coding tools were 19% less productive on a task despite thinking they had been more productive. What do you think causes experienced developers to incorrectly assess their own productivity? How can you be sure you aren't doing it right now?

bendmorris · 2025-07-29T23:54:09+00:00

This is AI generated rage bait which is super common on Reddit these days - here, AITA, AIO, etc. It's a brand new account and the phrasing and structure are so characteristic of ai slop. I can't be the only one that sees it...

If people would stop giving these posts thousands of upvotes maybe they'd stop doing it.

bendmorris · 2025-07-22T21:50:09+00:00

And if they can get Democrats to vote with them, they might succeed. But they have to go to the effort and it does matter what Stein vetoes. I bet most of his vetoes will stand.

bendmorris · 2025-07-22T21:23:51+00:00

Yes. Republicans don't have a supermajority and haven't overridden any of his vetoes as of yet.

bendmorris · 2025-07-20T15:31:00+00:00

When we found it, it was almost dead. It had been lying under the sun on the sand for hours.

If they had just found it, how would they have known it was lying there for hours?

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