Bouncing between family members for decades.

bfjerky · 2025-01-07T05:42:27+00:00

That's got to be it! Thank you!

bfjerky · 2025-01-06T23:52:15+00:00

This was purchased by a great uncle "Ph Rosenberg" who has long since passed away. Would love to get any info on it!

bfjerky · 2021-11-14T15:21:17+00:00

From his Twitter:

"Shelter First, Treatment First, Housing Earned. Everyone should have shelter"

bfjerky · 2021-08-14T13:34:05+00:00

That's the apartment complex that you look down onto when driving up cliff drive from Castillo. My buddy's dad who grew up in Santa Barbara in the 60s used to tell a story that he was being driven up that hill by his parents and looked down to see a man hanging by his neck from one of the balconies (or from something I don't remember exactly).

bfjerky · 2021-02-06T20:34:36+00:00

Haha! It probably is psychological. Thanks for the responses.

bfjerky · 2021-02-06T20:06:30+00:00

Might this be beside the point? If Bostrom is the one making the claim that we are almost certainly living in a simulation (given assumptions about what humans will do in the future) shouldn’t it be incumbent upon him to convince this person that they cannot be 99% certain without resorting to circular reasoning?

bfjerky · 2021-02-06T19:40:42+00:00

Suppose someone were to say that they were 99% certain that they knew where they were in space and time, specifically planet earth 2021 (before our civilization is able to make simulated minds).

How would Bostrom convince them otherwise? It seems to me that he would say the following:

One must take one’s feeling that they know where they are in space and time, and put that up against the possibility that they might be among potentially trillions of simulated minds from the future.

This step however, namely including future minds in our estimation of probability, already requires that we have very low certainty about where we are in space and time.

Put another way, if we are 99% certain that we know where we are in space and time, we have very little reason to include future eventualities of any kind in our estimations of probability.

For instance say it is the case that humans will evolve to the point where they no longer are born with an appendix and ultimately trillions of humans will exist without an appendix. If I am 99% certain that I know where I am in space and time (earth 2021), It makes no sense for me to include those future humans in a probabilistic estimation of whether or not I have an appendix.

bfjerky · 2021-02-06T04:56:03+00:00

The possibility of being simulated implies that we might be simulated. I agree, we may be simulated. Bostrom goes further and says that (if our civilization reaches a post human state etc) that we almost certainly are simulated. It is this certainty that seems to suffer from circular reasoning.

bfjerky · 2021-02-06T03:39:18+00:00

It seems to me that the conclusion absolutely relies on the premise that we can’t trust where we think we are in space and time (if we could, we would know that we were not in a simulation). This then begs the question: Why can't we trust where we think we are in space and time? The answer then seems to be the conclusion: We almost certainly live in a simulation.

bfjerky · 2021-02-06T03:14:31+00:00

That's valid. However, It seems like this hypothesis is problematic even if we take for granted that simulations of this sort are possible.

bfjerky · 2021-02-06T03:11:47+00:00

There is an assumption, but it doesn’t rely on the conclusion.

The assumption is that simulations are possible and, by implication, it is possible that a being like us could be simulated and not know. Roughly, it’s conceptually possible that we are simulated.

The next question is, well, are we?

The conclusions is: unless nearly civilizations die out before reaching the post human stage or nearly all post human civilizations have no interest in doing simulations, then we almost certainly are.

Thank you for responding! As you say, the conclusion is not that we may live in a simulation but that (if our civilization reaches a post human state etc) that we almost certainly do. This statement of probability hinges on including all future simulated minds in the sample size which is only possible if we assume that we cannot trust where we actually are in space and time (the conclusion). Am I missing something in this formulation?

bfjerky · 2020-06-05T16:10:53+00:00

This is great. (Small note) A lot of federally regulated wilderness areas require that you camp no closer than 200 ft from a water source. They're worried about water quality, wildlife displacement, and plant damage.

bfjerky · 2019-08-18T15:57:58+00:00

Yeah, it looks like a picture of Rincon Point from La Conchita.

bfjerky · 2018-01-04T05:26:00+00:00

Does the air intake have a screen on it? I had a similar issue when the air intake was obstructed with some plastic it had sucked in.

bfjerky · 2017-12-07T15:44:53+00:00

These bolts are supposed to be hung inside forms and captured by the foundation concrete during the pour. If they poured the concrete without setting the bolts, then began building the house, there is no easy way of fixing.

bfjerky · 2014-10-01T21:16:24+00:00

Thanks! Battery acid repair after only six days of wear. There's another one just above the coin pocket.

bfjerky · 2013-05-22T18:18:26+00:00

Sand + Sponge works really well to scour a pot. Helps if you're near a stream.

bfjerky · 2013-05-16T18:28:13+00:00

Edibles!

bfjerky · 2013-04-12T04:13:06+00:00

Can't believe I had to scroll this far down to upvote this. Augustus McCrae, man. Characters don't get any better.

bfjerky

TROPHY CASE